Tips for Tikay

[ripple11]

Thoughts on Ealing and possible value?

 Very close on 2105 figures. However....

Huq is Labours sitting MP against a new tory candidate (local councillor)

 Green party have agreed not to stand....they won 1.8k votes last time.

 A large majority of remainers in the constituency:

Total Ealing

 Number of ‘Remain  a member of the European Union’ votes   90,024
 Number of ‘Leave the European Union’ votes 59,017


 .....so will the tory remainers come out in support of May or abstain or vote Libdem?

Do the UKIP votes all transfer to Tory?...cancelling out the green to labour votes?

Sky have labour at a stand out 7/2.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/ealing-central-and-acton/winning-party


2015 result

Huq, Rupa Labour Party   22,000

Bray, Angie Conservative   21,728

Ball, Jon Liberal Democrat   3,106

Florence, UK Independence Party 1,926

Sharman, Tom Green Party 1,841




 

[bergeroo]

Anyone with Betweigh and PP or Betfayre, get stuck in!
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/richmond-park/winning-party

Ah... price with the Irish now gone and shortened on BF on the LDs.

Incidentally I think 5/4 on the Tories is a good bet. This isn't a by election, I'd make Goldsmith the fave.

[TightEnd]

Sunrisers lost yesterday, good news

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Thoughts on Ealing and possible value?

 Very close on 2105 figures. However....

Huq is Labours sitting MP against a new tory candidate (local councillor)

 Green party have agreed not to stand....they won 1.8k votes last time.

 A large majority of remainers in the constituency:

Total Ealing

 Number of ‘Remain  a member of the European Union’ votes   90,024
 Number of ‘Leave the European Union’ votes 59,017


 .....so will the tory remainers come out in support of May or abstain or vote Libdem?

Do the UKIP votes all transfer to Tory?...cancelling out the green to labour votes?

Sky have labour at a stand out 7/2.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/ealing-central-and-acton/winning-party


2015 result

Huq, Rupa Labour Party   22,000

Bray, Angie Conservative   21,728

Ball, Jon Liberal Democrat   3,106

Florence, UK Independence Party 1,926

Sharman, Tom Green Party 1,841




 

This is Neil Channing's constituency and Neil being Neil    I see quite a lot of Ealing stuff retweeted onto my timeline

hard working up and coming local MP for sure,i would be tempted to think 7/2 is attractive because there isn't a big UKIP vote to transfer across to the tories and her very strong rep might protect some remain vote from going LibDem.

A number of these local constituency markets are very interesting because its such an unusual election with the likelihood of lots of local tactical voting mixed in with leave/remain sentiment. Think we'll see some unusual results that are quite tough to predict and my default (before really taking a deep look at it) will be to avoid too many shorties from extrapolating from 2015. completely different this time.

[Doobs]

Thoughts on Ealing and possible value?

 Very close on 2105 figures. However....

Huq is Labours sitting MP against a new tory candidate (local councillor)

 Green party have agreed not to stand....they won 1.8k votes last time.

 A large majority of remainers in the constituency:

Total Ealing

 Number of ‘Remain  a member of the European Union’ votes   90,024
 Number of ‘Leave the European Union’ votes 59,017


 .....so will the tory remainers come out in support of May or abstain or vote Libdem?

Do the UKIP votes all transfer to Tory?...cancelling out the green to labour votes?

Sky have labour at a stand out 7/2.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/ealing-central-and-acton/winning-party


2015 result

Huq, Rupa Labour Party   22,000

Bray, Angie Conservative   21,728

Ball, Jon Liberal Democrat   3,106

Florence, UK Independence Party 1,926

Sharman, Tom Green Party 1,841




 

This is Neil Channing's constituency and Neil being Neil    I see quite a lot of Ealing stuff retweeted onto my timeline

hard working up and coming local MP for sure,i would be tempted to think 7/2 is attractive because there isn't a big UKIP vote to transfer across to the tories and her very strong rep might protect some remain vote from going LibDem.

A number of these local constituency markets are very interesting because its such an unusual election with the likelihood of lots of local tactical voting mixed in with leave/remain sentiment. Think we'll see some unusual results that are quite tough to predict and my default (before really taking a deep look at it) will be to avoid too many shorties from extrapolating from 2015. completely different this time.

I am thinking of giving it a miss, it seems very difficult to call on a local basis.  She does seem like a decent MP to me from reading Neil's twitter.  Though I also discovered I am a misogynistic bigot for making fun of Diane Abbot yesterday, so maybe that adds some context.

[TightEnd]

Pune beat KKR yesterday

the play off places are almost decided

Click to see full-size image.

[booder]

Just checked my Will Hill account and was pleased to see some money in there.


Many thanks to whoever tipped  Millwall for top London club League 1.

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

This could be another Hull KR/ Wigan moment from years ago, but tonight I feel we have to back a superleague team that at best can be described as functional, who are playing a team that are playing some of the most fluid rugby league I have ever seen. The match in question is Huddersfield against Castleford. Last week Castleford defeated Wigan by 50 points and looked like they could score whenever they wanted.

But I think there are good reasons to oppose them tonight. Most importantly the match is at Huddersfield. In addition there are massive changes to the Castleford team because of international call ups. They are without both half backs in Gale and Roberts, as well as their full back Hardaker. Castleford have had to recall 3 players on loan to other clubs for this fixture, while Huddersfield only have McGilvary called up to play for England.

It could all go wrong of course but this is not the Castleford team of this season, and we can get over 3 to 1 for Huddersfield tonight.

Suggest £20 Huddersfield @ 10/3 with betfred.

Anyone who wants a try scorer bet should back Jake Mamo of Huddersfield @ 15/8 with betfred.

[TightEnd]

Morning Tighty.

This could be another Hull KR/ Wigan moment from years ago, but tonight I feel we have to back a superleague team that at best can be described as functional, who are playing a team that are playing some of the most fluid rugby league I have ever seen. The match in question is Huddersfield against Castleford. Last week Castleford defeated Wigan by 50 points and looked like they could score whenever they wanted.

But I think there are good reasons to oppose them tonight. Most importantly the match is at Huddersfield. In addition there are massive changes to the Castleford team because of international call ups. They are without both half backs in Gale and Roberts, as well as their full back Hardaker. Castleford have had to recall 3 players on loan to other clubs for this fixture, while Huddersfield only have McGilvary called up to play for England.

It could all go wrong of course but this is not the Castleford team of this season, and we can get over 3 to 1 for Huddersfield tonight.

Suggest £20 Huddersfield @ 10/3 with betfred.

Anyone who wants a try scorer bet should back Jake Mamo of Huddersfield @ 15/8 with betfred.

Bet placed

Huddersfield v Castleford
Match Betting (80 Mins)
   Huddersfield   10/3   
Total stake   20.00
Estimated return   86.67

[SuuPRlim]

Premier League Darts.

Garry Anderson vs James Wade.

Garry -2.5 at 11/10 and 1/1 all over.

Just look at these two players, Garry lost to MVG on the weekend averaging 110, then beat MVG and won the tournament next, Wade lost to John Bowles and Ted Evetts neither of whom played that great. Garry averaged 103 all PL, Wade's averaged a touch under 95. Wade should be lucky to polish Garry's darts they are streets apart.

I advocate betting a reasonable amount.

[tikay]

Morning Tighty.

This could be another Hull KR/ Wigan moment from years ago, but tonight I feel we have to back a superleague team that at best can be described as functional, who are playing a team that are playing some of the most fluid rugby league I have ever seen. The match in question is Huddersfield against Castleford. Last week Castleford defeated Wigan by 50 points and looked like they could score whenever they wanted.

But I think there are good reasons to oppose them tonight. Most importantly the match is at Huddersfield. In addition there are massive changes to the Castleford team because of international call ups. They are without both half backs in Gale and Roberts, as well as their full back Hardaker. Castleford have had to recall 3 players on loan to other clubs for this fixture, while Huddersfield only have McGilvary called up to play for England.

It could all go wrong of course but this is not the Castleford team of this season, and we can get over 3 to 1 for Huddersfield tonight.

Suggest £20 Huddersfield @ 10/3 with betfred.

Anyone who wants a try scorer bet should back Jake Mamo of Huddersfield @ 15/8 with betfred.

We are in with a chance here, boks excepted, Huddersfield currently leading 18-12 early in the 2nd half.

Those who got on Mamo try scorer are in clover anyway - he scored all 3 of Huddersfield's tries.

[Ant040689]

Premier League Darts.

Garry Anderson vs James Wade.

Garry -2.5 at 11/10 and 1/1 all over.

Just look at these two players, Garry lost to MVG on the weekend averaging 110, then beat MVG and won the tournament next, Wade lost to John Bowles and Ted Evetts neither of whom played that great. Garry averaged 103 all PL, Wade's averaged a touch under 95. Wade should be lucky to polish Garry's darts they are streets apart.

I advocate betting a reasonable amount.

Great tip. Nice one.

[sonour]

Premier League Darts.

Garry Anderson vs James Wade.

Garry -2.5 at 11/10 and 1/1 all over.

Just look at these two players, Garry lost to MVG on the weekend averaging 110, then beat MVG and won the tournament next, Wade lost to John Bowles and Ted Evetts neither of whom played that great. Garry averaged 103 all PL, Wade's averaged a touch under 95. Wade should be lucky to polish Garry's darts they are streets apart.

I advocate betting a reasonable amount.

Great tip. Nice one.

Thank you Dave

[tikay]

Premier League Darts.

Garry Anderson vs James Wade.

Garry -2.5 at 11/10 and 1/1 all over.

Just look at these two players, Garry lost to MVG on the weekend averaging 110, then beat MVG and won the tournament next, Wade lost to John Bowles and Ted Evetts neither of whom played that great. Garry averaged 103 all PL, Wade's averaged a touch under 95. Wade should be lucky to polish Garry's darts they are streets apart.

I advocate betting a reasonable amount.

Great tip. Nice one.

Lovely job Mr N.

[tikay]

Morning Tighty.

This could be another Hull KR/ Wigan moment from years ago, but tonight I feel we have to back a superleague team that at best can be described as functional, who are playing a team that are playing some of the most fluid rugby league I have ever seen. The match in question is Huddersfield against Castleford. Last week Castleford defeated Wigan by 50 points and looked like they could score whenever they wanted.

But I think there are good reasons to oppose them tonight. Most importantly the match is at Huddersfield. In addition there are massive changes to the Castleford team because of international call ups. They are without both half backs in Gale and Roberts, as well as their full back Hardaker. Castleford have had to recall 3 players on loan to other clubs for this fixture, while Huddersfield only have McGilvary called up to play for England.

It could all go wrong of course but this is not the Castleford team of this season, and we can get over 3 to 1 for Huddersfield tonight.

Suggest £20 Huddersfield @ 10/3 with betfred.

Anyone who wants a try scorer bet should back Jake Mamo of Huddersfield @ 15/8 with betfred.

We are in with a chance here, boks excepted, Huddersfield currently leading 18-12 early in the 2nd half.

Those who got on Mamo try scorer are in clover anyway - he scored all 3 of Huddersfield's tries.

Uh-oh - 18-18 now. Bok in progress.