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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13439217 times)
Marky147
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« Reply #131025 on: November 26, 2017, 06:28:47 PM »

Vettel bet returned £95 for Fred.

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tikay
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« Reply #131026 on: November 26, 2017, 07:07:42 PM »

Vettel bet returned £95 for Fred.



Nice one.

Was that the Dooobs recommend?
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Marky147
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« Reply #131027 on: November 26, 2017, 07:20:40 PM »

Vettel bet returned £95 for Fred.



Nice one.

Was that the Dooobs recommend?

Pretty sure it was. Yes.
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tikay
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« Reply #131028 on: November 26, 2017, 08:40:46 PM »

Bengals Elders...

Browns +7.5 is available. Are the teams that far apart right now?

That's the same line as they were last week against the Jags. Now granted there's a home/away swing there, but Cleveland hasn't exactly been a fortress this year. Weather was bad last week, but this is a divisional game against a team that will be glad for a win of any kind.

Views welcome

Nail-biter in progress.
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Tal
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« Reply #131029 on: November 26, 2017, 09:24:40 PM »

Bengals Elders...

Browns +7.5 is available. Are the teams that far apart right now?

That's the same line as they were last week against the Jags. Now granted there's a home/away swing there, but Cleveland hasn't exactly been a fortress this year. Weather was bad last week, but this is a divisional game against a team that will be glad for a win of any kind.

Views welcome

Nail-biter in progress.

Loser.

Mariota bet also went down. Much lower scoring game than I had expected.
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« Reply #131030 on: November 26, 2017, 10:16:03 PM »

Bengals Elders...

Browns +7.5 is available. Are the teams that far apart right now?

That's the same line as they were last week against the Jags. Now granted there's a home/away swing there, but Cleveland hasn't exactly been a fortress this year. Weather was bad last week, but this is a divisional game against a team that will be glad for a win of any kind.

Views welcome

Nail-biter in progress.

Loser.

Mariota bet also went down. Much lower scoring game than I had expected.
Sorry only just looked at thread.Wouldn’t back the Browns in any remaining games due to massive problems at tackle both sides.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #131031 on: November 27, 2017, 06:12:58 PM »

Vettel bet returned £95 for Fred.



Nice one.

Was that the Dooobs recommend?

Pretty sure it was. Yes.

Wasn't mine, so think it is probably the work of Doobs 
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tikay
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« Reply #131032 on: November 27, 2017, 06:24:42 PM »

The Stoke to be relegated bet.

I think we placed this bet with a view to trading out because Stoke had a tough start.
I'm not quite sure why we are letting the bet run now.
We can trade out now for a small free roll and I really can't see Stoke getting much shorter.
Can't remember whose bet it is, Maybe Arb / Tighty.

Hi Lisa,

I'm not sure, but I think Tighty has his name on the bet, & if memory serves me correctly, I think Chompy also seconded it.

Whether it was intended as a "bet to trade" I really don't recall.

Tighty will respond in due course, think he's been a bit busy with his day job.
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« Reply #131033 on: November 27, 2017, 08:33:06 PM »

It's Tighty's bet, but I think it was done as a back to lay.

Now strikes me as a good time to get out, coz they ain't never going down.

Up to Tighty though.
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« Reply #131034 on: November 28, 2017, 06:55:36 AM »

A couple of updates.

Carolina Panthers are 8-3 in the NFC South. They're looking better, but far from the finished product. Importantly, they're finding ways to win.

They are tied with the New Orleans Saints, who lost against the Rams. Fans of big games will keep an eye on the 9.25 kick off on Sunday: Carolina @ New Orleans.

Carolina are underdogs; the Saints are a better team, though the O-Line isn't looking as dominant as it has been. We've got a nice sweat, even if the Saints have surprised us.



In other news, the Cleveland Browns can no longer finish third in the AFC North. That was not my finest hour.
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« Reply #131035 on: November 28, 2017, 08:38:20 AM »

The Stoke to be relegated bet.

I think we placed this bet with a view to trading out because Stoke had a tough start.
I'm not quite sure why we are letting the bet run now.
We can trade out now for a small free roll and I really can't see Stoke getting much shorter.
Can't remember whose bet it is, Maybe Arb / Tighty.

Hi Lisa,

I'm not sure, but I think Tighty has his name on the bet, & if memory serves me correctly, I think Chompy also seconded it.

Whether it was intended as a "bet to trade" I really don't recall.

Tighty will respond in due course, think he's been a bit busy with his day job.

It was originally done at 7/1 as an outright bet then turned into a "back to lay" on concerted advice that that is what it should be

a) It would currently cost £1200 to lay them back and lock in a small profit. Not an email i particularly want to send :-)

and anyway

b) they are bottom six, three points clear of 18th, having just lost to the bottom side

c) none of the promoted sides look especially likely to struggle,so the three relegation places are wide open. Add to that "candidates" such as Burnley and Watford are clear of trouble

d) Stoke are patient,so if they did need to change Hughes its unlikely to be with alacrity, meanwhile Palace are picking up a bit, Everton should under Sam,maybe even west ham will. west brom have changed managers .Swansea could change managers, Bournemouth have recovered.

do we think Stoke are markedly better than any of these sides? I don't, and didn't in August.

I know this is a minority view but i reckon we'll have a nice sweat deep into the season here and in all probability get a chance to close shorter (and less expensively) if we need to

Hence i like to run it

(that is the green light to confidently back them to beat Liverpool tomorrow)


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« Reply #131036 on: November 28, 2017, 07:40:58 PM »

Watford 5.4 at home to Man U.  Aren't they near evenly matched these days?  And aren't Brighton still better than Palace?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #131037 on: November 28, 2017, 07:42:27 PM »

Watford 5.4 at home to Man U.  Aren't they near evenly matched these days?  And aren't Brighton still better than Palace?

Agree, I've backed both.

Watford seems particularly attractive at over 4/1.
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« Reply #131038 on: November 28, 2017, 07:44:40 PM »

Watford 5.4 at home to Man U.  Aren't they near evenly matched these days?  And aren't Brighton still better than Palace?

Agree, I've backed both.

Oh no...

please say nothing 5 minutes from the whistle.

As an aside, can Tony Bloom back Brighton, or are there rules against it?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #131039 on: November 28, 2017, 07:47:51 PM »

Watford 5.4 at home to Man U.  Aren't they near evenly matched these days?  And aren't Brighton still better than Palace?

Agree, I've backed both.

Oh no...

please say nothing 5 minutes from the whistle.

As an aside, can Tony Bloom back Brighton, or are there rules against it?

No further comment M'Lord.

Bloom backing Brighton? No, not permitted, and he has said that he does not, though I imagine he could get round the rules quite easily if he so wished. I would imagine Mr Camel might have the inside line on that.
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