Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Only with betnoway I am afraid

7/1 with red shouty man. Just not linked on oddschecker

[TightEnd]

End of November 2017

Year to Date Profit of £1525.90
ROI of 13.1% on 328 completed bets

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39
May £518.59
June £337.40
July £33.01
August -£275.32
September £56.65
October -£502
November -£123.75

so far this year....

Top Sports Cricket +£691 NFL +£536 Darts +£362
Worst sports Golf -£415 Tennis -£297 Basketball -£135

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £14,734.16
ROI of 7.51%
6,450 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £5929 at 13%
Horses £2449 at 5%
Misc £2032 at 24%
NFL £1713 at 13%
MotorSport £1072 at 12%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
Basketball -£428
RU -£357
Snooker -£245
AFL  -£174

Outstanding Bets £1378.90

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

[tikay]

^^^^

Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.

3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.

On we go.

[nellberg]

Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more

Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points

Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.

Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.

How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.

All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake

[nirvana]

Sorry guys, but I must correct you both.

It's not fuming, or flumming - it's fumming.

Let's get it right please.

To be fair, in the Flounce Department, Chompy is world-class, there are very few who possess his flounceability.

He's a worldie in both flouncing & "doing business" or chops, actually.

Utter ledge. He sayed as much himself.

Ha, he'd love to do a chop again some day

[TightEnd]

Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more

Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points

Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.

Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.

How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.

All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake

Thanks but we don't have unibet

[nellberg]

Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more

Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points

Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.

Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.

How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.

All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake

Thanks but we don't have unibet

365/Paddy/Betfair sb same line, 5/6. Not sure if we have any of them either?

[TightEnd]

Moeen Ali Under (105.5)    5/6          
Total stake: 30.00
Potential returns: 55.00

pp

[RED-DOG]

Sorry guys, but I must correct you both.

It's not fuming, or flumming - it's fumming.

Let's get it right please.

To be fair, in the Flounce Department, Chompy is world-class, there are very few who possess his flounceability.

He's a worldie in both flouncing & "doing business" or chops, actually.

Utter ledge. He sayed as much himself.

Ha, he'd love to do a chop again some day

Harsh, but funny.

[Marky147]

^^^^

Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.

3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.

On we go.

You won with me, or rather cut your losses, at least

[PokerBroker]

^^^^

Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.

3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.

On we go.

Needs to be betting more.

[Marky147]

^^^^

Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.

3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.

On we go.

Needs to be betting more.

Yeah, more bets from the shrewdies is all that is required.

Best to reduce stakes, if we're having fewer bets, or am I being muggy?

[hhyftrftdr]

How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?

[HutchGF]

How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?

Like it a lot - a quietly effective team.

[tikay]

How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?

Like it a lot - a quietly effective team.

It's tempting, but Puel seems to have got Leicester playing much better lately.

Agree about Burnley though, they continue to be much underestimated. For me, Dyche was EPL manager of the season last year, amazing what he achieved on such thin financial resources.