Tips for Tikay

[TL900]

Thinking of absolutely pounding Chicago Bulls -2.5 vs Lakers tonight.

Only available with Bwin atm I think come gametime the line will be closer to 4-5 http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-chicago-bulls/point-spread

Lakers have lost their last 5 road games and 8 of their last 10 total games and what was once looking like a mini revival for the squad has quickly vanished.

Bulls have won 7 of their last 10 and are just playing solid, nothing fancy but getting the job done basketball which starts from playing great defence.

Bulls had the day off yesterday whereas Lakers have travelled to Canada to play the Raptors yesterday where they were thoroughly outplayed the entire game and didn't lead at any point except 2-0 after which they will of had to jump straight on a plane to Chicago with little/no preparation for this game.

Kobe is misfiring the last few games and having to clutch it in the 4th Q to get even close to respectable numbers, the bulls defence will be able to limit him to low % shots which when he isn't shooting very well he will find very hard to make.

Anyone got any thoughts on this?

Blue Sq going Bulls -1 @ 10/11. Top scorer Deng doubtful (hamstring)

Hm, IF deng doesn't play then it is 100% a no bet game, but if he does play -1 is an abso steal imo. Ima try do some research

[TL900]

People are jumping on -1 with Pinny line is ready to move there it looks like. From what I can see it looks like Deng won't play atm, but I will keep an eye on it throughout the evening.

[doubleup]

Interesting how the brain works, I didn't like the sound of Stan James. He sounds like a thug. So I didn't open an account. Fred sounds much more friendly

Mr Fred Done, the BetFred big cheese, is really really popular in these parts.

Talking of which it appears he has been caught cheating.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showpost.php?p=36753805&postcount=3

If you want to debate the use of the word "cheat" - then what wold you call someone who ran a casino game for years, made loads of money from it throughout that period, when in fact it was designed to have 100% payout.  Did they think they were just being lucky year after year?

[chelseaboy]

Boxing Bet....

I am a huge boxing fan and growing up as a kid I lived in Montreal, Canada for 8 years while my mother was married to Russ Anber! Russ has trained multiple world champions and worked the corner for many greats.

He has been doing a lot of work with Deontay Wilder at the minute who I believe will be in for a real shout at a title fight come the end of the year, he is a real bruiser with devastating power. I have been talking to him quite a bit lately about our British fighters, and he thinks that Kell Brook is the real deal and will have far to much power, strength and speed for Alexander on the 23rd of Feb.

This being said I think the 13/8 offered by fred is huge... I know he is going to Detroit and fighting in his back yard, and how corrupt a business boxing is but I still think that this is a very good price. I would of took 5/4 even with this against him.

I will have more inside info on the Pascal v Dawson fight in the late summer aswell...

I have only posted one other bet on here before so I dont have any past history... Happy to hear your thoughts!!!

[kinboshi]

Boxing Bet....

I am a huge boxing fan and growing up as a kid I lived in Montreal, Canada for 8 years while my mother was married to Russ Anber! Russ has trained multiple world champions and worked the corner for many greats.

He has been doing a lot of work with Deontay Wilder at the minute who I believe will be in for a real shout at a title fight come the end of the year, he is a real bruiser with devastating power. I have been talking to him quite a bit lately about our British fighters, and he thinks that Kell Brook is the real deal and will have far to much power, strength and speed for Alexander on the 23rd of Feb.

This being said I think the 13/8 offered by fred is huge... I know he is going to Detroit and fighting in his back yard, and how corrupt a business boxing is but I still think that this is a very good price. I would of took 5/4 even with this against him.

I will have more inside info on the Pascal v Dawson fight in the late summer aswell...

I have only posted one other bet on here before so I dont have any past history... Happy to hear your thoughts!!!

Alexander has only lost once, and that against a very-talented Bradley after a technical decision when the fight was stopped in the 10th round after a clash of heads.  He's been fighting at a higher level than Brook for a while now.

Brook is definitely talented, but just how good he will be against Alexander who is definitely a step up in class?  13/8 sounds like the right price to me, especially as the fight is in Detroit and Brook has only fought outside the UK once in his career.  If it was in Sheffield, then I'd fancy Brook's chances a lot more.  Brook is definitely the bigger puncher, so there might be value in going for Brook win by stoppage, but against that would be that Alexander has never been stopped (other than from the cut from an accidental clash of heads). Also, Brook looked relatively average against Jones last year in a fight that didn't suggest he was a class above the American journeyman.

[chelseaboy]

I agree about the step up in class... but Alexander quit against Bradley... other than that he fought urango and maidana... lets be honest Bailey wasnt a real challenge and he still took him the 12 rounds... when he fought Maidana it was at 147 when he is really a 140lbs fighter.

I agree also about the Jones fight, Kel was punch perfect for 6 rounds and then ran out of gas... but since then he has a dietician and seems to be doing things the right way, I have no doubt that he will have too much on the night for Alexander.

I think he is the most exciting technically gifted fighter we have had come out of this country for some time.

[a.sparrow]

Thinking of absolutely pounding Chicago Bulls -2.5 vs Lakers tonight.

Only available with Bwin atm I think come gametime the line will be closer to 4-5 http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-chicago-bulls/point-spread

Lakers have lost their last 5 road games and 8 of their last 10 total games and what was once looking like a mini revival for the squad has quickly vanished.

Bulls have won 7 of their last 10 and are just playing solid, nothing fancy but getting the job done basketball which starts from playing great defence.

Bulls had the day off yesterday whereas Lakers have travelled to Canada to play the Raptors yesterday where they were thoroughly outplayed the entire game and didn't lead at any point except 2-0 after which they will of had to jump straight on a plane to Chicago with little/no preparation for this game.

Kobe is misfiring the last few games and having to clutch it in the 4th Q to get even close to respectable numbers, the bulls defence will be able to limit him to low % shots which when he isn't shooting very well he will find very hard to make.

Anyone got any thoughts on this?

I don't know much about NBA, apart from its pretty fun to watch.  I went to a Magic vs Celtics play off game a year or two ago and thoroughly enjoyed it.  If the Bulls top scorer is out (Deng?) and you say they are pretty solid and will restrict Kobe, plus he is misfiring of late, does the unders line appeal? 

[TL900]

Thinking of absolutely pounding Chicago Bulls -2.5 vs Lakers tonight.

Only available with Bwin atm I think come gametime the line will be closer to 4-5 http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-chicago-bulls/point-spread

Lakers have lost their last 5 road games and 8 of their last 10 total games and what was once looking like a mini revival for the squad has quickly vanished.

Bulls have won 7 of their last 10 and are just playing solid, nothing fancy but getting the job done basketball which starts from playing great defence.

Bulls had the day off yesterday whereas Lakers have travelled to Canada to play the Raptors yesterday where they were thoroughly outplayed the entire game and didn't lead at any point except 2-0 after which they will of had to jump straight on a plane to Chicago with little/no preparation for this game.

Kobe is misfiring the last few games and having to clutch it in the 4th Q to get even close to respectable numbers, the bulls defence will be able to limit him to low % shots which when he isn't shooting very well he will find very hard to make.

Anyone got any thoughts on this?

I don't know much about NBA, apart from its pretty fun to watch.  I went to a Magic vs Celtics play off game a year or two ago and thoroughly enjoyed it.  If the Bulls top scorer is out (Deng?) and you say they are pretty solid and will restrict Kobe, plus he is misfiring of late, does the unders line appeal?  

I don't really have an opinion on the total tbh. It started at 196 and is at 194.5 now and that looks about right tbh. Lakers still have some good scorers and if they heat up from 3pt land like jamison has been doing recently then it could very well go over. Lakers defence has been leaking points everywhere too so I would just stay away from the total in this game. If i HAD to pick a side it would be the under, but as I say I'd just keep away from it.

There is a totals bet i do kinda like though and thats U172 (paddypower/BV) Pacers @ Grizzlies most other firms 170-171, two best defences in the league with pretty poor offences.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/indiana-pacers-at-memphis-grizzlies/point-spread

The problem with lines this small (and this is the smallest I have ever seen I think) is that one hot quarter of 50+ points and its near impossible to keep it under. So I wouldn't suggest this bet to Fred, but I will be having a small little wager myself.

Lots of early games in the NBA tonight. Pacers/Grizzlies starts in 5 minutes.

[Bazzaboy]

Boxing Bet....

I am a huge boxing fan and growing up as a kid I lived in Montreal, Canada for 8 years while my mother was married to Russ Anber! Russ has trained multiple world champions and worked the corner for many greats.

He has been doing a lot of work with Deontay Wilder at the minute who I believe will be in for a real shout at a title fight come the end of the year, he is a real bruiser with devastating power. I have been talking to him quite a bit lately about our British fighters, and he thinks that Kell Brook is the real deal and will have far to much power, strength and speed for Alexander on the 23rd of Feb.

This being said I think the 13/8 offered by fred is huge... I know he is going to Detroit and fighting in his back yard, and how corrupt a business boxing is but I still think that this is a very good price. I would of took 5/4 even with this against him.

I will have more inside info on the Pascal v Dawson fight in the late summer aswell...

I have only posted one other bet on here before so I dont have any past history... Happy to hear your thoughts!!!

Alexander is beatable.  His record says he has only lost once to Bradley but it is widely accepted that he lost to Kotelnik and Matthysse (that one was very painful as I had a big bet on Matthysse) and was the beneficiary of hometown decisions.  He isn't fighting in St Louis this time but will still be the "home fighter".  It's a pretty massive step up for Brook though as he hasn't been in with anyone near world class.  In the main he has looked impressive beating what has been put in front of him but I could give you a lengthy list of fighters that have looked good against average opposition only to be found wanting at the top level.  Brook doesn't bang hard enough to stop him and I don't fancy his chances on the cards if it's close.  I'd need a bit bigger than 13/8 to get involved here.

[The Camel]

Kaepernick porn

[AndrewT]

Kaepornick

[kinboshi]

Boxing Bet....

I am a huge boxing fan and growing up as a kid I lived in Montreal, Canada for 8 years while my mother was married to Russ Anber! Russ has trained multiple world champions and worked the corner for many greats.

He has been doing a lot of work with Deontay Wilder at the minute who I believe will be in for a real shout at a title fight come the end of the year, he is a real bruiser with devastating power. I have been talking to him quite a bit lately about our British fighters, and he thinks that Kell Brook is the real deal and will have far to much power, strength and speed for Alexander on the 23rd of Feb.

This being said I think the 13/8 offered by fred is huge... I know he is going to Detroit and fighting in his back yard, and how corrupt a business boxing is but I still think that this is a very good price. I would of took 5/4 even with this against him.

I will have more inside info on the Pascal v Dawson fight in the late summer aswell...

I have only posted one other bet on here before so I dont have any past history... Happy to hear your thoughts!!!

Alexander is beatable.  His record says he has only lost once to Bradley but it is widely accepted that he lost to Kotelnik and Matthysse (that one was very painful as I had a big bet on Matthysse) and was the beneficiary of hometown decisions.  He isn't fighting in St Louis this time but will still be the "home fighter".  It's a pretty massive step up for Brook though as he hasn't been in with anyone near world class.  In the main he has looked impressive beating what has been put in front of him but I could give you a lengthy list of fighters that have looked good against average opposition only to be found wanting at the top level.  Brook doesn't bang hard enough to stop him and I don't fancy his chances on the cards if it's close.  I'd need a bit bigger than 13/8 to get involved here.

If Brook is going to win, do we think it'll be a stoppage win?  That might be a bet with value. Alexander has been down before, and he doesn't punch that hard. So maybe looking at Brook in the first half of the fight, or Alexander to win on points if the price is right?

[The Camel]

Kaepernick porn

How can we hedge against this?

Confirmed all time hero.

[Tal]

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

[The Camel]

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.