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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16572840 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #31125 on: February 23, 2013, 12:03:02 PM »


Adzy - I assume you are not planning to go to Kempton today?

1) It clashes with England France at Twickers, barely 5 miles away, & the traffic will be gridlocked.

2) It is currently snowing heavily here (3 miles from Kempton), so the Meet may not even go ahead. 


Fraid not, wife to be's Birthday, of which I was only reminded about yesterday.......oooops
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« Reply #31126 on: February 23, 2013, 12:05:31 PM »

Christian benteke 10/1 to score first today he has scored in his last 4 games 3 of them fgs,Arsenal have also fell behind in quite a few games this season recommend £10 ew
Also think there's a bit value in Aston Villa H.T Arsenal F.T at 18/1 £5
Both prices are with bet365


 

Any input or feedback on this, please?

I rather fancied 4-0 to the Arsenal today. Wink

I fancy Arsenal to produce a decent performance today after a couple of poor ones.

I've even made Giroud captain of my FF team.

The trouble is Villa blow hot and cold almost as much as we do and predicting our games has become extremely difficult as has watching them if you happen to share the gooner-love.
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« Reply #31127 on: February 23, 2013, 12:07:21 PM »

Right, got a cracking Posh-based punt. Make it a max if you like as the price is plain wrong.

Boydy has now left the building and there's a very strong chance Tommy Rowe will play left wing rather than left-back. Our two more recognised left-backs are just coming back from injury, and Craig Alcock could well start after playing 90mins in a reserve match in the week.

Rowe has scored in four of our last eight league matches, including both in the 2-1 win over Barnsley, but is still 6-1 to score at any time with Coral. 5-1 with Hills or Sky is also too big.

Joe Nwell?

Joe Newell is a possible but please no, he's not Championship class and has gone backwards this season. Even if Tommy doesn't play further forward he still shouldn't be 6-1. This ain't gonna be 0-0.
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tikay
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« Reply #31128 on: February 23, 2013, 12:08:46 PM »

Right, got a cracking Posh-based punt. Make it a max if you like as the price is plain wrong.

Boydy has now left the building and there's a very strong chance Tommy Rowe will play left wing rather than left-back. Our two more recognised left-backs are just coming back from injury, and Craig Alcock could well start after playing 90mins in a reserve match in the week.

Rowe has scored in four of our last eight league matches, including both in the 2-1 win over Barnsley, but is still 6-1 to score at any time with Coral. 5-1 with Hills or Sky is also too big.

Morning Fen Bloke.

Corals now go 9/2, not 6/1.

WmHill are still 5/1, so on the pretence that the odds are smaller, I have reduced the suggested £150 MAXIMUM to £20. Seems reasonable......

We have £20 @ 5/1, Tommy Rowe, ANYTIME Goalscorer, Peterborough v Birmingham.

ON

23 Feb 2013 - Peterborough v Birmingham - Anytime Goalscorer

Tip ItTommy Rowe @ 5/1

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £120.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000272/F
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Tal
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« Reply #31129 on: February 23, 2013, 12:09:23 PM »

If it's snowing in Twickers, would Farrell > 13.5points at Evens with Ladbrokes be a good bet?

If handling is a problem, that must be an issue for Les Bleus.

Would someone offer some help on this market: is that usually where the line is or has it already moved?
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tikay
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« Reply #31130 on: February 23, 2013, 12:10:53 PM »

Right, got a cracking Posh-based punt. Make it a max if you like as the price is plain wrong.

Boydy has now left the building and there's a very strong chance Tommy Rowe will play left wing rather than left-back. Our two more recognised left-backs are just coming back from injury, and Craig Alcock could well start after playing 90mins in a reserve match in the week.

Rowe has scored in four of our last eight league matches, including both in the 2-1 win over Barnsley, but is still 6-1 to score at any time with Coral. 5-1 with Hills or Sky is also too big.

Joe Nwell?

Joe Newell is a possible but please no, he's not Championship class and has gone backwards this season. Even if Tommy doesn't play further forward he still shouldn't be 6-1. This ain't gonna be 0-0.

Posh are in the Championship?

That explains why I had trouble finding the bet on Oddchecker. I assumed they were in League Two.
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tikay
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« Reply #31131 on: February 23, 2013, 12:12:09 PM »

If it's snowing in Twickers, would Farrell > 13.5points at Evens with Ladbrokes be a good bet?

If handling is a problem, that must be an issue for Les Bleus.

Would someone offer some help on this market: is that usually where the line is or has it already moved?

No idea if the snow will persist, but I can promise you it will be bloody cold. Just been for my daily jog, jeez it is cold.
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MajorMajor
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« Reply #31132 on: February 23, 2013, 12:16:54 PM »

Sky are into 7-2 on Rowe. They must be monitoring the thread!
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« Reply #31133 on: February 23, 2013, 12:17:07 PM »

If it's snowing in Twickers, would Farrell > 13.5points at Evens with Ladbrokes be a good bet?

If handling is a problem, that must be an issue for Les Bleus.

Would someone offer some help on this market: is that usually where the line is or has it already moved?

No idea if the snow will persist, but I can promise you it will be bloody cold. Just been for my daily jog, jeez it is cold.


I have yet to back the Froggies, but in view of our stance on French constitution, should I now consider shelving the bet?
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« Reply #31134 on: February 23, 2013, 12:17:14 PM »

If it's snowing in Twickers, would Farrell > 13.5points at Evens with Ladbrokes be a good bet?

If handling is a problem, that must be an issue for Les Bleus.

Would someone offer some help on this market: is that usually where the line is or has it already moved?

No idea if the snow will persist, but I can promise you it will be bloody cold. Just been for my daily jog, jeez it is cold.

You have an outside toilet?
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tikay
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« Reply #31135 on: February 23, 2013, 12:18:17 PM »

If it's snowing in Twickers, would Farrell > 13.5points at Evens with Ladbrokes be a good bet?

If handling is a problem, that must be an issue for Les Bleus.

Would someone offer some help on this market: is that usually where the line is or has it already moved?

No idea if the snow will persist, but I can promise you it will be bloody cold. Just been for my daily jog, jeez it is cold.

You have an outside toilet?

No, but I have to walk to the car.
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Tal
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« Reply #31136 on: February 23, 2013, 12:18:23 PM »

Not a Fred thing - Fred has his own bit on this market - but I'm  now investing modestly on France +6.5. The more I look at this, the more I agree with TightEnd. This is the France side I backed at the start of the tournament but didn't really think I'd see after the first game.

I've said before I'm excited about this England team but this will be a bigger test than I thought it would be a week ago.
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« Reply #31137 on: February 23, 2013, 12:26:20 PM »

Not a Fred thing - Fred has his own bit on this market - but I'm  now investing modestly on France +6.5. The more I look at this, the more I agree with TightEnd. This is the France side I backed at the start of the tournament but didn't really think I'd see after the first game.

I've said before I'm excited about this England team but this will be a bigger test than I thought it would be a week ago.

What price is France +6.5?  That handicap looks a bit miserly to me.  Edit.  You should be looking to get +7 or + 7.5 as 7 is a significant number too.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #31138 on: February 23, 2013, 12:27:52 PM »

Orlandi FGS 20/1.

Scored about five this season for Brighton.

Should be about 12-14/1.

Coral.....

Also pop £5 on Brighton 4-0 @ 45/1 same site. We will smash someone soon and want revenge for going down to 9 men after 11 mins at home to burnley last season.
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Tal
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« Reply #31139 on: February 23, 2013, 12:31:45 PM »

Not a Fred thing - Fred has his own bit on this market - but I'm  now investing modestly on France +6.5. The more I look at this, the more I agree with TightEnd. This is the France side I backed at the start of the tournament but didn't really think I'd see after the first game.

I've said before I'm excited about this England team but this will be a bigger test than I thought it would be a week ago.

What price is France +6.5?  That handicap looks a bit miserly to me.  Edit.  You should be looking to get +7 or + 7.5 as 7 is a significant number too.

I recognise 7 is another big number. 2.2 seemed compensation, tbh. If I've got bad value, so be it, I suppose.
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