Tips for Tikay

[Karabiner]

I'm sure I'm going to be in the minority here, but I don't find Townsend too bad.  Find his voice soothing, and he's okay at his analysis. 

+1 About you being in the minority.

[TightEnd]

4 seamers, no specialist spinner

Surely have to prepare something quick with some grass on


its a 2 match series, and a bet would be weather dependent. dry, sunny etc fancy SL to do the series treble after the T20/ODI, and once again they are underdogs. On something green and miserable overhead, less inclined to back them

[horseplayer]

(courtesy of TheChipPrince)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/argentina/most-player-booking-points

Marcos Rojo. Starts LB for Argentina at the WC.

Booked x6/sent off x2 since Xmas in 14 games for Sporting Lisbon. 12/1 most Arg bookings

obviously its a competitive heat with Mascherano, Zabaleta, De Michelis et al, but it looked an interesting spot

perhaps horsey would have an idea.

Looks like a classic case of the veeeceeee "trader" pricing up players he has heard of first.

Demichelis wont play unless suspension/injury so 8/1 is an awful price on him. (Lord Martin)

Two joint favs look correctly priced will play every game and obviously get booked a lot,

Rojo at 12's looks possibly worthy of a small bet certainly should not be the same price as Garay who despite being a centre back usually gets booked 5 times max a season.

Would add he has "only" been booked 3 times for Argentina probably as for Lisbon he gets forward lots (scored a few) and gets caught forward more probably. Obviously for Argentina his job is to defend not get forward.

[ripple11]

As Tighty said Maxwell returns to T20 action tonight with Hampshire, live on Sky

A Hants top 7 of Carberry,Vince,Adams,Maxwell,Shah,Wheater,Ervine looks very powerful....but at 8/15 to win, no sort of price to back.

Rumour has it they are using the same pitch as the Essex match a week ago....which had quite a short boundary on one side. Hants chased only 145 and their were 9 sixes. The line tonight is 9.5 best atm.... sigh, was hoping for a touch lower.

The other thought was doing Hants highest 1st 6 overs ...they do go hard first 6, but best price is only 8/11.

Will keep an eye out....maybe something later.

[Tonji]

At auction today

Sir A F gone teetotal?

[scotty2hatty]

Tighty, surely Murray can't be 5/1 against Nadal? Or is that because it isn't going to be windy? He's meant to be the favourite.

[TightEnd]

Tighty, surely Murray can't be 5/1 against Nadal? Or is that because it isn't going to be windy? He's meant to be the favourite.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/mens/rafael-nadal-v-andy-murray/winner

obviously they've checked the Beaufort scale projections for Roland De Wolfe's courts tomorrow

Gulbis 13/2 v Novak, btw

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/mens/ernests-gulbis-v-novak-djokovic/winner

[horseplayer]

Italy made 11 tackles last night....

Wow that is low

[Ironside]

Italy made 11 tackles last night....

Wow that is low

thats cause they had the ball most of the time and passing it back and forward

[Ironside]

Italy made 11 tackles last night....

Wow that is low

is thats cause they had the ball most of the time and passing it back and forward?

FMP

[Peter-27]

As promised, my F1 bets for this weekend copied over from the Sky Poker Community.

Note: I've added some reasoning here seeing as you guys are more bet savvy, and also the stakes are small because my challenge over on Sky Poker is only betting £10 per race. If you wish to copy the bets and adjust the stakes, go ahead :-)

Race 7: Canada

Bet Victor
Points Finish: Daniil Kyvat @ 15/8 - £1 ... Pretty much always in the points region, plus his driving style should suit the circuit (high speed circuit, heavy breaking zones).
To Reach Qualifying Session Three: Kevin Magnussen @ EVS - £1 ... Canada will suit the Mercedes powered cars, including McLaren and Kevin, good price.
No Points Finish: Kimi Raikkonen @ 9/4 - 50p ... Ferrari engine could well struggle to cope with the high-speed nature of Canada, plus Raikkonen has been struggling with the new brake-by-wire system this season.

Stan James
Points Finish: Romain Grosjean @ 2/1 - 50p ... Bet placed more for the value than anything. Quick driver, points possible with a little luck on his side.

Sky Bet
Top 6 Finish: Nico Hulkenberg @ 15/8 - £1 ... Pretty strong bet for reasons already discussed previously. Very consistent driver in a Mercedes powered car.
Hat Trick (Pole, Win, Fastest Lap): Lewis Hamilton @ 9/4 - £1.25 ... Another strong bet, Lewis is fantastic at this track and in the best car.

William Hill
Top 6 Finish: Jenson Button @ 5/2 - £1 ... Canada is often a chaotic race but Jenson is experienced and will be able to keep his head under pressure. Mercedes Power. Good Price.

Paddy Power
Group C (Bot/Mas/But/Mag): Jenson Button @ 12/5 - 50p ... Same reasons as above.
Double Points Finish: Force India @ 11/10 - £1 ... Consistent all season, almost certain to happen if they both finish the race.
W/O Mercedes: Nico Hulkenberg @ 20/1 - 25p ... Outside chance, but fantastic price. Best price for a podium for him was 16/1 which makes no sense, value!

Bwin
Double Points Finish: McLaren @ 2/1 - £1 ... Again, Mercedes engine, two quick drivers.
Lotus Total Finishers: 1 @ 6/5 - 50p ... Their car is horrible to drive, sometimes the brakes just don't work and they run wide! Highly unlikely to both finish, but one might.
Sauber Total Finishers: 1 @ 11/10 - 50p ... Not particularly unreliable, but very slow. Gutierrez always looks unstable on track whereas Sutil is a street-style circuit specialist - only Sutil to finish from Sauber.

Total staked: £10.00
To be settled: £10.00
Returned: £0
Profit/Loss: £0

[Peter-27]

Another bet you may wish to consider that I did not put money on:

Safety Car? - Yes @ 3/5 with Bwin. Saftey car is more a probability rather than a possibility in Canada, I am amazed at the 3/5 price! Would put on a good £50 bet if I wasn't limited to £10 because of my challenge.

[exstream]

Another bet you may wish to consider that I did not put money on:

Safety Car? - Yes @ 3/5 with Bwin. Saftey car is more a probability rather than a possibility in Canada, I am amazed at the 3/5 price! Would put on a good £50 bet if I wasn't limited to £10 because of my challenge.

Got stats?

[TightEnd]

Another bet you may wish to consider that I did not put money on:

Safety Car? - Yes @ 3/5 with Bwin. Saftey car is more a probability rather than a possibility in Canada, I am amazed at the 3/5 price! Would put on a good £50 bet if I wasn't limited to £10 because of my challenge.

Got stats?

The chances of a safety car at Montreal are estimated at 56% by the UBS Strategy briefing.

Seven of the last 12 Canadian Grands Prix have featured at least one safety car.

This is because, with the track lined with walls and several blind corners, there are frequent accidents and the conditions for the marshals when clearing debris from an accident are dangerous.

I personally don't think 3/5 leaves much to go at, its not a 1/4 or 1/5 job

[TightEnd]

As promised, my F1 bets for this weekend copied over from the Sky Poker Community.

Note: I've added some reasoning here seeing as you guys are more bet savvy, and also the stakes are small because my challenge over on Sky Poker is only betting £10 per race. If you wish to copy the bets and adjust the stakes, go ahead :-)

Race 7: Canada

Bet Victor
Points Finish: Daniil Kyvat @ 15/8 - £1 ... Pretty much always in the points region, plus his driving style should suit the circuit (high speed circuit, heavy breaking zones).
To Reach Qualifying Session Three: Kevin Magnussen @ EVS - £1 ... Canada will suit the Mercedes powered cars, including McLaren and Kevin, good price.
No Points Finish: Kimi Raikkonen @ 9/4 - 50p ... Ferrari engine could well struggle to cope with the high-speed nature of Canada, plus Raikkonen has been struggling with the new brake-by-wire system this season.

Stan James
Points Finish: Romain Grosjean @ 2/1 - 50p ... Bet placed more for the value than anything. Quick driver, points possible with a little luck on his side.

Sky Bet
Top 6 Finish: Nico Hulkenberg @ 15/8 - £1 ... Pretty strong bet for reasons already discussed previously. Very consistent driver in a Mercedes powered car.
Hat Trick (Pole, Win, Fastest Lap): Lewis Hamilton @ 9/4 - £1.25 ... Another strong bet, Lewis is fantastic at this track and in the best car.

William Hill
Top 6 Finish: Jenson Button @ 5/2 - £1 ... Canada is often a chaotic race but Jenson is experienced and will be able to keep his head under pressure. Mercedes Power. Good Price.

Paddy Power
Group C (Bot/Mas/But/Mag): Jenson Button @ 12/5 - 50p ... Same reasons as above.
Double Points Finish: Force India @ 11/10 - £1 ... Consistent all season, almost certain to happen if they both finish the race.
W/O Mercedes: Nico Hulkenberg @ 20/1 - 25p ... Outside chance, but fantastic price. Best price for a podium for him was 16/1 which makes no sense, value!

Bwin
Double Points Finish: McLaren @ 2/1 - £1 ... Again, Mercedes engine, two quick drivers.
Lotus Total Finishers: 1 @ 6/5 - 50p ... Their car is horrible to drive, sometimes the brakes just don't work and they run wide! Highly unlikely to both finish, but one might.
Sauber Total Finishers: 1 @ 11/10 - 50p ... Not particularly unreliable, but very slow. Gutierrez always looks unstable on track whereas Sutil is a street-style circuit specialist - only Sutil to finish from Sauber.

Total staked: £10.00
To be settled: £10.00
Returned: £0
Profit/Loss: £0

can you give me the best two or three of these please?

please bear in mind that skybet, stan james, paddy power are off limits either for tikay or restriction reasons, so for those I would have to go elsewhere

it would be a great help for future lists if you could prioritise, help me sort through them, thanks