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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16348885 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #84540 on: August 02, 2014, 10:08:26 PM »

Commonwealth Games road race
« Sent to: TightEnd on: Today at 09:50:33 PM »
   
In the Commonwealth Games road race tomorrow, the odds go something like this:
Mark Renshaw      7/2
Caleb Ewan              6/1
Geraint Thomas           7/1
Greg Henderson         10/1
Peter Kennaugh         10/1
Ian Stannard         12/1
Nathan Haas         16/1
http://www.oddschecker.com/commonwealth-games/cycling/mens-road-race/winner

A case can be made for all of these riders, always with one or two caveats, but there is one cyclist that stands out by virtue of having no apparent drawbacks (well, at least none that I can think of).

Peter Kennaugh is in the form of his life thanks to the fire that was lit inside his belly when Sky decided to leave him out of their Tour de France line-up. Kennaugh promptly responded by winning the 2014 British national road race title, followed by the Tour of Austria. Most recently, he won the silver medal in the Commonwealth's track cycling points race.

Kennaugh is an aggressive and tactically aware rider, which he needs to be in order to combat the threat from better sprinters like Renshaw, Henderson and Haas. Saying this however, he did manage to beat Ben Swift in a head-to-head sprint to win the 2014 British nationals, so he does have a decent turn of speed. Furthermore, having raced this circuit in the 2013 British nationals (finishing 4th from a breakaway including his fellow Manxman Mark Cavendish, Stannard and Millar), he also has course pedigree.

I am pretty confident that Kennaugh will finish on the podium tomorrow (hopefully on top of it), and therefore recommend that Fred puts £10 e/w @ 10/1 on the chap.



coral

Peter Kennaugh 10/1 Men's Road Race - 03/08/2014
Each Way 1/4 1,2,3
Stake £20.00


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tikay
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« Reply #84541 on: August 02, 2014, 10:16:21 PM »

Commonwealth Games road race
« Sent to: TightEnd on: Today at 09:50:33 PM »
   
In the Commonwealth Games road race tomorrow, the odds go something like this:
Mark Renshaw      7/2
Caleb Ewan              6/1
Geraint Thomas           7/1
Greg Henderson         10/1
Peter Kennaugh         10/1
Ian Stannard         12/1
Nathan Haas         16/1
http://www.oddschecker.com/commonwealth-games/cycling/mens-road-race/winner

A case can be made for all of these riders, always with one or two caveats, but there is one cyclist that stands out by virtue of having no apparent drawbacks (well, at least none that I can think of).

Peter Kennaugh is in the form of his life thanks to the fire that was lit inside his belly when Sky decided to leave him out of their Tour de France line-up. Kennaugh promptly responded by winning the 2014 British national road race title, followed by the Tour of Austria. Most recently, he won the silver medal in the Commonwealth's track cycling points race.

Kennaugh is an aggressive and tactically aware rider, which he needs to be in order to combat the threat from better sprinters like Renshaw, Henderson and Haas. Saying this however, he did manage to beat Ben Swift in a head-to-head sprint to win the 2014 British nationals, so he does have a decent turn of speed. Furthermore, having raced this circuit in the 2013 British nationals (finishing 4th from a breakaway including his fellow Manxman Mark Cavendish, Stannard and Millar), he also has course pedigree.

I am pretty confident that Kennaugh will finish on the podium tomorrow (hopefully on top of it), and therefore recommend that Fred puts £10 e/w @ 10/1 on the chap.



coral

Peter Kennaugh 10/1 Men's Road Race - 03/08/2014
Each Way 1/4 1,2,3
Stake £20.00




I assume that was Mr Wetty?

Good work, thank you.
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« Reply #84542 on: August 02, 2014, 10:20:15 PM »

A seriously disappointing day in the T20 cricket

we went 0 for 3 in the quarter-finals to do the lot, having looked to have a sweat or two for finals day

wouldn't have guessed that at the start of the day.

It happens Tighty, disappointing but one of those things.

No different to those two horses tonight, if we keep identifying good value, we will make money in the long term.

Next case.
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« Reply #84543 on: August 02, 2014, 10:23:07 PM »

12/1 now with the same bookie.

Press?
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« Reply #84544 on: August 02, 2014, 10:32:00 PM »

A seriously disappointing day in the T20 cricket

we went 0 for 3 in the quarter-finals to do the lot, having looked to have a sweat or two for finals day

wouldn't have guessed that at the start of the day.

Glamorgan and Worcester were brilliant picks. It's the nature of t20. One bad performance and your out. Thanks for the sweat. Glarmogan most disappointing they should have got home.
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« Reply #84545 on: August 02, 2014, 10:37:33 PM »

12/1 now with the same bookie.

Press?

Not possible, went to 9/1 when I went to the site.  Shy will only lay £4 at 11/1, and wetbed is a local bookie for local people.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #84546 on: August 03, 2014, 07:48:29 AM »

On the weather bet what is currently the hottest recorded temp during july?  

As far as I know it was 91 degrees.

Almost.

As this may become quite an important issue for many of us with bets, I guess we can reasonably assume the Bookies will settle the Market on official Met Office Data.

Below is a link to the official Met Office Blog which includes....


Highest (July 2014) temperature: 32.3C at Gravesend, Kent on the 18th

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/

I believe 32.3c equates to 90.14f, though I would assume the bet will be settled in Centigrade.
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« Reply #84547 on: August 03, 2014, 10:46:47 AM »

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/5800018/Samuel-Etoo-fought-over-by-Tottenham-and-West-Ham.html

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/samuel-eto-o/club-after-summer-transfer-window
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« Reply #84548 on: August 03, 2014, 10:49:13 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £374.41

Outstanding Bets £3218.66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=28


This doesn't make pretty reading

A loss of £276 yesterday

£200 from T20 cricket

- Worcestershire lost in the quarter finals  -£90. Very below par performance with the bat

- Essex lost in the quarter finals -£40 Disappointing performance with the ball, gave the batsmen too much to do.#

 Click to see full-size image.


- Glamorgan lost in the quarter finals -£20. This was a horror. Restricted Lancs to 137 and were 100-3 with 5 overs to go. It began to rain. Ahead on DL Glamorgan then lost three wickets in an over to a bowler with a T20 average of 55, Jordan Clark. They went behind on DL. Got back on with Rudolph 50*, needed 15 off the last over. Needed 6 off the last ball and the fast bowler Andrew Salter batting ten smacked it. One bounce, four, lost by one run.

 Click to see full-size image.


- Worcestershire at Surrey Sixes. 9 required, 8 achieved -£50. As above, Worcestershire only hit three sixes with a short boundary. Jason Roy of Srrey did his best to get us there single handed



also

- Andriego at Thirsk -£30

- AKollontai (backed at 9/1 off at 6/1 finished a length second) and Econonic crisis at Hamilton -£40

- Gasquet lost in the ATP Citi semi final having won the first set -£6


In the MLB last night the Orioles and Royals lost, the Yankees won, so thats 0 of 3 there too

Seamus Buckley receives special recognition from Duke of Richmond after 20 yrs of watering ahead of rain

 Click to see full-size image.


In cycling Valverde claims victory at the Clasica San Sebastian yesterday for Movistar, but a week ago was incapable of keeping up in time trial

Lulu is singing in the Commonwealth games closing ceremony tonight, just in case we thought Sunday was going to be any better

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #84549 on: August 03, 2014, 10:56:46 AM »

On the weather bet what is currently the hottest recorded temp during july?  

As far as I know it was 91 degrees.

Almost.

As this may become quite an important issue for many of us with bets, I guess we can reasonably assume the Bookies will settle the Market on official Met Office Data.

Below is a link to the official Met Office Blog which includes....


Highest (July 2014) temperature: 32.3C at Gravesend, Kent on the 18th

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/

I believe 32.three clubs equates to 90.14f, though I would assume the bet will be settled in Centigrade.

Cheers Tikay.  That was exactly what i was looking for but couldn't find it despite googling the subject for hours.  I just made the easiest £6 ever on betfair laying 85-90 as the hottest temp of the summer as they have a market with 5 temp bands on it the next band being 90.01-95.  The 4/6 has gone overnight and is now back to 4/7 so i assume someone on here had a lump around 3am which forced the price change.

85.01 to 90   3.67   £6.00   £16.00
« Last Edit: August 03, 2014, 10:59:34 AM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #84550 on: August 03, 2014, 10:57:24 AM »


Behave!

More chance of us signing Tomlin
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« Reply #84551 on: August 03, 2014, 11:12:37 AM »

Keegan BRADLEY

£25 free bet at 20-1

after 3 rounds T4th, -8 six shots off Garcia

http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/bridgestone-invitational/leaderboard.html
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tikay
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« Reply #84552 on: August 03, 2014, 11:29:07 AM »

On the weather bet what is currently the hottest recorded temp during july?  

As far as I know it was 91 degrees.

Almost.

As this may become quite an important issue for many of us with bets, I guess we can reasonably assume the Bookies will settle the Market on official Met Office Data.

Below is a link to the official Met Office Blog which includes....


Highest (July 2014) temperature: 32.3C at Gravesend, Kent on the 18th

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/

I believe 32.3c equates to 90.14f, though I would assume the bet will be settled in Centigrade.

Cheers Tikay.  That was exactly what i was looking for but couldn't find it despite googling the subject for hours.  I just made the easiest £6 ever on betfair laying 85-90 as the hottest temp of the summer as they have a market with 5 temp bands on it the next band being 90.01-95.  The 4/6 has gone overnight and is now back to 4/7 so i assume someone on here had a lump around 3am which forced the price change.

85.01 to 90   3.67   £6.00   £16.00

Awesome freeroll, though I hope I have correctly converted the 32.3c.
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« Reply #84553 on: August 03, 2014, 11:33:26 AM »


- Glamorgan lost in the quarter finals -£20. This was a horror. Restricted Lancs to 137 and were 100-3 with 5 overs to go. It began to rain. Ahead on DL Glamorgan then lost three wickets in an over to a bowler with a T20 average of 55, Jordan Clark. They went behind on DL. Got back on with Rudolph 50*, needed 15 off the last over. Needed 6 off the last ball and the fast bowler Andrew Salter batting ten smacked it. One bounce, four, lost by one run.


Strrewth, thats how to statch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Yes, a bad day, but as far as I can see, the bets were all good value. It's a bit unfortunate when we lose so many good spots in a single day, but it makes no difference overall really.

We must keep backing these value spots, & we'll continue to be profitable in the long-term.

Ride the punches, we'll be fine.

   
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« Reply #84554 on: August 03, 2014, 11:35:18 AM »

Commonwealth Games road race
« Sent to: TightEnd on: Today at 09:50:33 PM »
   
In the Commonwealth Games road race tomorrow, the odds go something like this:
Mark Renshaw      7/2
Caleb Ewan              6/1
Geraint Thomas           7/1
Greg Henderson         10/1
Peter Kennaugh         10/1
Ian Stannard         12/1
Nathan Haas         16/1
http://www.oddschecker.com/commonwealth-games/cycling/mens-road-race/winner

A case can be made for all of these riders, always with one or two caveats, but there is one cyclist that stands out by virtue of having no apparent drawbacks (well, at least none that I can think of).

Peter Kennaugh is in the form of his life thanks to the fire that was lit inside his belly when Sky decided to leave him out of their Tour de France line-up. Kennaugh promptly responded by winning the 2014 British national road race title, followed by the Tour of Austria. Most recently, he won the silver medal in the Commonwealth's track cycling points race.

Kennaugh is an aggressive and tactically aware rider, which he needs to be in order to combat the threat from better sprinters like Renshaw, Henderson and Haas. Saying this however, he did manage to beat Ben Swift in a head-to-head sprint to win the 2014 British nationals, so he does have a decent turn of speed. Furthermore, having raced this circuit in the 2013 British nationals (finishing 4th from a breakaway including his fellow Manxman Mark Cavendish, Stannard and Millar), he also has course pedigree.

I am pretty confident that Kennaugh will finish on the podium tomorrow (hopefully on top of it), and therefore recommend that Fred puts £10 e/w @ 10/1 on the chap.



coral

Peter Kennaugh 10/1 Men's Road Race - 03/08/2014
Each Way 1/4 1,2,3
Stake £20.00




I have no idea what time this starts, but our man is now 7/1 best.

Good luck all.
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