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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16388726 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #9315 on: June 20, 2012, 06:36:37 PM »

Good luck us.
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Dubai
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« Reply #9316 on: June 20, 2012, 06:47:02 PM »

Good luck me Smiley
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TightEnd
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« Reply #9317 on: June 20, 2012, 07:59:52 PM »

It is steady drizzle tonight in Port Elizabeth. My spy tells me it resembles The Gower Peninsula in October.

Slow down the SA power for Saturday, England win 18-15.
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« Reply #9318 on: June 20, 2012, 08:24:47 PM »

Can't bring myself to do it but Essex are a lay at 5-6, pitch is good 165/170 is par.
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« Reply #9319 on: June 20, 2012, 09:39:16 PM »

England v Italy to be decided on penalties is 9/2.

The best price for a draw is 9/4, I have no idea how this market is priced up but surely double that for an additional 30 mins is too big?

£40 on this unless my theory can be blown out of the water.
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bobby1
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« Reply #9320 on: June 20, 2012, 09:50:46 PM »

England v Italy to be decided on penalties is 9/2.

The best price for a draw is 9/4, I have no idea how this market is priced up but surely double that for an additional 30 mins is too big?

£40 on this unless my theory can be blown out of the water.

Its a bad price Teacake, to win it obv has to be a draw at ft and a draw after extra time. At 9/4 the draw at ft, the 9/2 to be decided on pens makes the draw price in extra time about 1.69 which is miles too short. Draw would be about evens unless it had been a truly awful tight game but even then it wouldn't be as short as 1.69

At 9/4 the draw at ft and evens the draw should it go to extra time then it should be 11/2 to go to pens.

cheers
« Last Edit: June 20, 2012, 09:54:24 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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MereNovice
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« Reply #9321 on: June 20, 2012, 10:08:04 PM »

Essex 158/6 Kent 155

Kent needed 6 off the last 4 balls with 2 wickets in hand.
Close but no cigar.
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« Reply #9322 on: June 20, 2012, 10:10:38 PM »

England v Italy to be decided on penalties is 9/2.

The best price for a draw is 9/4, I have no idea how this market is priced up but surely double that for an additional 30 mins is too big?

£40 on this unless my theory can be blown out of the water.

Its a bad price Teacake, to win it obv has to be a draw at ft and a draw after extra time. At 9/4 the draw at ft, the 9/2 to be decided on pens makes the draw price in extra time about 1.69 which is miles too short. Draw would be about evens unless it had been a truly awful tight game but even then it wouldn't be as short as 1.69

At 9/4 the draw at ft and evens the draw should it go to extra time then it should be 11/2 to go to pens.

cheers

Thanks Bobby that makes sense when you break it down like that.
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bobby1
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« Reply #9323 on: June 20, 2012, 10:31:47 PM »

Np mate
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« Reply #9324 on: June 20, 2012, 10:44:56 PM »

Essex 158/6 Kent 155

Kent needed 6 off the last 4 balls with 2 wickets in hand.
Close but no cigar.

We won?
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« Reply #9325 on: June 20, 2012, 10:55:43 PM »

Essex 158/6 Kent 155

Kent needed 6 off the last 4 balls with 2 wickets in hand.
Close but no cigar.

We won?

Guess again.
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« Reply #9326 on: June 21, 2012, 12:03:37 AM »

Kent needed more really but apparently Essex got a time penalty which was nearly crucial. Thin but oi oi oi
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« Reply #9327 on: June 21, 2012, 01:50:51 AM »

England v Italy to be decided on penalties is 9/2.

The best price for a draw is 9/4, I have no idea how this market is priced up but surely double that for an additional 30 mins is too big?

£40 on this unless my theory can be blown out of the water.

Its a bad price Teacake, to win it obv has to be a draw at ft and a draw after extra time. At 9/4 the draw at ft, the 9/2 to be decided on pens makes the draw price in extra time about 1.69 which is miles too short. Draw would be about evens unless it had been a truly awful tight game but even then it wouldn't be as short as 1.69

At 9/4 the draw at ft and evens the draw should it go to extra time then it should be 11/2 to go to pens.

cheers

Thanks Bobby that makes sense when you break it down like that.
Enjoy it when someone like Bobby breaks this stuff down, I was with Teacake in thinking that looked like a rick. The one problem I have with it tho is that is it really evens a goal in extra time? Of all the games I've seen go to extra time I'd be shocked if one in two had any goals in them at all. If I knew where to get some stats to back them up I would find them. I defo wouldn't wanna lay anyone evens that a match that is level at 90 mins finishes level aet. Maybe I should just back every game I watch to be a draw aet to test my theory
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9328 on: June 21, 2012, 01:52:47 AM »

England v Italy to be decided on penalties is 9/2.

The best price for a draw is 9/4, I have no idea how this market is priced up but surely double that for an additional 30 mins is too big?

£40 on this unless my theory can be blown out of the water.

Its a bad price Teacake, to win it obv has to be a draw at ft and a draw after extra time. At 9/4 the draw at ft, the 9/2 to be decided on pens makes the draw price in extra time about 1.69 which is miles too short. Draw would be about evens unless it had been a truly awful tight game but even then it wouldn't be as short as 1.69

At 9/4 the draw at ft and evens the draw should it go to extra time then it should be 11/2 to go to pens.

cheers

Thanks Bobby that makes sense when you break it down like that.
Enjoy it when someone like Bobby breaks this stuff down, I was with Teacake in thinking that looked like a rick. The one problem I have with it tho is that is it really evens a goal in extra time? Of all the games I've seen go to extra time I'd be shocked if one in two had any goals in them at all. If I knew where to get some stats to back them up I would find them. I defo wouldn't wanna lay anyone evens that a match that is level at 90 mins finishes level aet. Maybe I should just back every game I watch to be a draw aet to test my theory

Use groats, it's cheaper.
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« Reply #9329 on: June 21, 2012, 01:58:05 AM »

Glad to hear u took in the NBA Finals game teeks, it really was a good game, OKC started so intense but somehow Miami sneaked back in there. Westbrook, who you'll remember we backed for assists in the last series as he was playing a team role, getting others involved, is back to playing how he played all season, basically taking the ball up court, going to the basket and scoring every possession. Weird, neither team really has a traditional point guard, I guess u need to see one playing to see what I mean. Think the Thunder may be done now, but they've been counted out before, remember in the Western Finals they were 2-0 down to San Antonio, the team with the best record in the regular season, but won the next four in a row. They're saying Lebron only has cramps and will play in game five, watch this space....
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