Tips for Tikay

[EvilPie]

Daily Summary.

Barnet play Swindon tonight. We really need a bad result for Barnet here.

No other action today.

I am working tonight, so will be unavailable for wagering purposes from Noon until Midnight.

Masters Bets?

One has been placed already (£20), & at least one other will be placed today or tomorrow,  hp's "debutant" bet.

I'm reminded of back in the day, when I punted a lot. Every year, when it neared Cheltenham time, all those great horses, great races, I used to invest every penny I could lay my hands on. Most years, like almost everyone else, I did my brains.

The Masters betting frenzy reminds me of that, so many "great bets", great golfers, great track.....

The 'roll is only £1,000, & I don't want to unbalance it on a single event, so I'll not be investing more than £100, £150 max, come what may.

Keep the tips coming, though, I've only used £20 + 1 bet to place (small), so we still have money to invest, & anway, others may be able to take advantage of the welter of tips for it on here.

Not much more from me today, the day job beckons.

There's something not quite right with this statement.

It made me smile though

You ALWAYS smile, Mr Russell. You can come to my home & have dinner with me. I make nice dieters dinners.

Thanks mate. I can bring my own hammer if that helps.

[bobby1]

Would you mind  answering a question re ew bettng on a 90 runner golf
event Mr C?

[TightEnd]

Lay the cricket draw at 3.0 now

Sri Lanka are best 2.24 and I think they will go odds on in the next 24 hours barring miracles in the last hour here

If SL get 350+ England will have to bat better than they have shown all winter on a turner to survive

[bobby1]

How would you see this Neil?

Using the garrigus bet suggested above, betting ew in 15 runner events at three places on the place part is usually a poor place bet, although that market does have a bit of dead wood at the bottom of the market to make it look slightly less competitive.

How would you relate that to an ew bet in a golf market this week in a 90 runner market, how much weight would you factor in for the 6th place available in the outright.

The real question i am pondering is this. I fancy a bet at a big price(300/1) that i think is more like a 150/1 chance, i feel its an ew bet because at the place terms of 1/4 the first 5 iam getting 75/1 the place part on him running in the first 5, and i think he is only 150/1 to win it.i am getting dble the price i think he is to win it. In that spot given the price of the place part is so big is taking it ew given i am betting 5 places in a 90 runner market poor?

[TightEnd]

Jayawardene out, price gone. 3.65 the draw


 

(Swann turned one by two stumps width)

[horseplayer]

Using the garrigus bet suggested above, betting ew in 15 runner events at three places on the place part is usually a poor place bet, although that market does have a bit of dead wood at the bottom of the market to make it look slightly less competitive.

How would you relate that to an ew bet in a golf market this week in a 90 runner market, how much weight would you factor in for the 6th place available in the outright.

The real question i am pondering is this. I fancy a bet at a big price(300/1) that i think is more like a 150/1 chance, i feel its an ew bet because at the place terms of 1/4 the first 5 iam getting 75/1 the place part on him running in the first 5, and i think he is only 150/1 to win it.i am getting dble the price i think he is to win it. In that spot given the price of the place part is so big is taking it ew given i am betting 5 places in a 90 runner market poor?

tricky one

as i have said before i am by no means a big or an expert golf punter. However with eway betting on golf you have to factor in the quite high likelihood of a tie as well which will obviously reduce returns

personally if i fancy a golfer at a three figure price i will back on betdaq/betfair and then trade out if i get the opportunity, alternatively there are plenty of golfers who just dont win (for whatever reason) but quite regularly hit the top ten or even top twenty for which there is quite often value in those markets.

[TightEnd]

draw out to 4.3 4.9 edited



 

[horseplayer]

feel a lot better now

now have a nice green screen which is always good

unfourtantley the main fate of my day will revolve around the 3.20 at southwell

[tikay]

Lay the cricket draw at 3.0 now

Sri Lanka are best 2.24 and I think they will go odds on in the next 24 hours barring miracles in the last hour here

If SL get 350+ England will have to bat better than they have shown all winter on a turner to survive

Been in meetings, and offline, so missed this, and the lay on Betfair is now 4.9, so I have missed the boat, and that price holds no appeal.

Hope others got on though!

[doubleup]

Using the garrigus bet suggested above, betting ew in 15 runner events at three places on the place part is usually a poor place bet, although that market does have a bit of dead wood at the bottom of the market to make it look slightly less competitive.

How would you relate that to an ew bet in a golf market this week in a 90 runner market, how much weight would you factor in for the 6th place available in the outright.

The real question i am pondering is this. I fancy a bet at a big price(300/1) that i think is more like a 150/1 chance, i feel its an ew bet because at the place terms of 1/4 the first 5 iam getting 75/1 the place part on him running in the first 5, and i think he is only 150/1 to win it.i am getting dble the price i think he is to win it. In that spot given the price of the place part is so big is taking it ew given i am betting 5 places in a 90 runner market poor?

If there was 91 runners and the odds of each runner was 90-1, the place odds would be 22.5-1, so backing everyone for a place would return 5 x 23.5 = 117.5 for 91 invested.  So wouldn't that further enhance the 75-1?

[horseplayer]

if anybody is interested corals are laying 6-1 tiger woods for the masters between 1pm and 2pm today

no idea for how much (doubt a lot) but hopefully somebody can benefit from this

[Eso Kral]

Although a mere Novice Chaser amid the seasoned handicappers on here I thought i would post a selection for perusal!

Walsall to beat Chesterfield at Evens this Saturday on the basis that

Chesterfield are dire at the moment and were punted against by you on here vs Sheff Utd last week and over the last 9 games have Lost 5 Drawn 3 and Won 1 and currently are on a 3 game losing run.
Walsall over the same period despite being down the bottom echelons are P9  Won 2 Drawn 6 Lost 1 and have beaten Sheff Utd at home 3-2 and were winning away at Sheff Weds 2-1 until a 95th minute equaliser in that run.

I would suggest £25 win at Evens with your Skybet colleagues unless the "Judges" decide against it.

[bobby1]

Hi horse,

Im on the iphone so cant quote properly.

In the outright i would usually bet win only but have the same on for the win as an ew bet would have cost me, i would then use the extra win stakes to lay a little if my guy got into serious contention. That way i can take some profit by him being in and around the places even if he doesnt eventually place.

The bet i am mulling over is in the end of first round leader market and i doubt there will be the liquidity in the BF market to play with it in running.

[hummuspie]

Tonights games

Leyton Orient v Huddersfield    11/10
Barnet v Swindon   3/4

Pays 2.68 / 1

Huddersfield need a win to keep automatic promotion hopes alive, granted they have drawn LOT of games but tonight is very important.

Swindon I think have lost last 2 games away but they have been difficult, however Barnet cant seem to find anywhere at home right now.

I'm sticking on 200 to win back 735 (pay my UKIPT entry!!)

[Matt50]

Been reading this thread every day and loving it, and now it is time for me to put forward my first tip.

Mumbai Indians to win the IPL @ 9/2 (Bet365, Betfred, BlueSquare)
Starts tomorrow with a match between Mumbai and reigning champions Chennai

Mumbai were losing semi-finalists in this last season and then went on to win the 2011 Champions League T20

They have made a number of decent signings, including South African opening batsman Levi, Wicket keeper batsman Karthik and two of the highest IPL Wicket takers RP Singh and Ojha.
Add those to the already impressive squad including Tendulkar, Pollard, Harbihjan Singh and Malinga and in my opinion they should be favourites.
Tendulkar has stepped down as captain to concentrate on his game leaving the way for Harbihjan to captain the side as he did to the Champions League title.

Will leave the bet amount up to you Tikay if you decide to go for it.