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MereNovice
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« Reply #9810 on: June 28, 2012, 09:59:27 AM » |
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2 out of 5 matches have been draws in the knock out stages of Euro 2012- very close to the 42% that Mr Pullein predicted. 4 out of 5 have had less than 2 1/2 goals. I feel the extra rest that the Germans have had will be important and will be a case of is the Italian defence able to withstand the German assault and get to penalties? My gut feeling is not. Not yet looked at prices but expect lots of Italian bookings, few Italian shots/goals. The Germans created shed loads of chances against Greece and they were meant to have a decent defence.
All 3 golfers started well. Did you really do McDowell e/w and not win? It's no biggie but it does make greening out harder to do. And we know how much our leader enjoys a good green out.
Guilty as charged - couldn't help myself. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9811 on: June 28, 2012, 10:00:48 AM » |
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How well does Ivo Karlovic play nowadays?
Is Murray really going to win in 3 sets?
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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henrik777
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« Reply #9812 on: June 28, 2012, 10:21:34 AM » |
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Aside from the Greece game Gemany have lost corners in 3 games. Italy have won Corners 3 times and lost to Spain.
Bet365 are standout @ 15/8. It's 5/4 with Bluesq and 888.
Sandy
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9813 on: June 28, 2012, 10:33:34 AM » |
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Aside from the Greece game Gemany have lost corners in 3 games. Italy have won Corners 3 times and lost to Spain.
Bet365 are standout @ 15/8. It's 5/4 with Bluesq and 888.
Sandy
On.Can't resist these corner bets. Took better price at Betfair. henrik777 Betfair Football Germany v Italy Italy 3.05 £50 Fixtures 28 June / Germany v Italy / Corners Match Bet Italy Back 20666802747 28-Jun-12
10:27 3.05 50.00 3.05 |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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TightEnd
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« Reply #9814 on: June 28, 2012, 10:51:32 AM » |
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Mr Novice
an 11/1 special is available for Murray, Ward, Baltacha and Keovathong to all win at least one set this pm
trap bet? possible? avoid?
ty
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9815 on: June 28, 2012, 11:16:16 AM » |
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Mr Novice
an 11/1 special is available for Murray, Ward, Baltacha and Keovathong to all win at least one set this pm
trap bet? possible? avoid?
ty
Avoid at all costs. Quite likely only Murray will win a set unless I'm mis-reading something. |
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superwomble
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« Reply #9816 on: June 28, 2012, 11:50:29 AM » |
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9817 on: June 28, 2012, 12:28:23 PM » |
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Euro2012 Finalists Virtual Bet.
I believe that the first thing that needs to happen is for Spain to win their group today. If they come second they would end up with a semi-final against Germany assuming both teams got that far.
The current best odds for this are 1.21 on Betfair so I have invested ten groats on this.
It was a close run thing but we got there when Jesus Navaz scored in the 88th minute for Spain. We now have 12 groats (after Betfair commission). The next game for this "accumulator" is on Friday when Germany meet Greece. Germany are currently 1.17 on Betfair to qualify (also StanJames and Ladbrokes). I'll wait to see if the odds improve before re-investing my 12 groats. We have 12 groats on Germany to qualify at 1.17 with Ladbrokes. The best price now available is 1.14. We now have 14 groats. I have placed it all on Spain to qualify against France @ 1.4 on Ladbrokes. We now have 19.6 groats. Spain are currently 1.47 on Betfair to qualify against Portugal. I have placed 19.6 groats on Spain to qualify @ 1.49 on Betfair We now have 28.74 groats (after Betfair commission). I'm placing it all on Germany to qualify @ 1.44 on Betfair. |
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redarmi
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« Reply #9818 on: June 28, 2012, 12:47:25 PM » |
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Doesn't that actually conclude the point of the exercise because we now know that if Germany win the combined odds would have paid more than the 13/5 we were originally advised to bet? It is just over 3/1 before commission.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9819 on: June 28, 2012, 12:56:18 PM » |
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Doesn't that actually conclude the point of the exercise because we now know that if Germany win the combined odds would have paid more than the 13/5 we were originally advised to bet? It is just over 3/1 before commission.
You are totally right. I was wondering whether to post that. Thanks for your earlier post on this topic too. Presumably it is a general feature that these markets like "name the finalists" are not good prices. It's just that not many of us are able to price up the individual markets as accurately as you so we make errors in our judgements. |
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Horneris
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« Reply #9820 on: June 28, 2012, 01:10:36 PM » |
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Levine is being a dickhead. Huge call went against him at 4-5 30-40 in the second set when he appeared to have hit an ace which was called out and since then hes just melted.  |
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The Camel
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« Reply #9821 on: June 28, 2012, 01:16:34 PM » |
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Levine is being a dickhead. Huge call went against him at 4-5 30-40 in the second set when he appeared to have hit an ace which was called out and since then hes just melted. Was absolutely crushing Goffin until then too. |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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redarmi
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« Reply #9822 on: June 28, 2012, 01:18:30 PM » |
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We need an appearance from Roger to boost morale!
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aaron1867
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« Reply #9823 on: June 28, 2012, 01:36:10 PM » |
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I am just tipping Germany for an outright win at 10/11.
Also, cards bet Italy over 3 was 29/20 last time I looked. Clean slate for Italians regards to cards, up against tournament favourites and they average 2.75 a match. I am however thinking that prices is not as big as it should be.
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #9824 on: June 28, 2012, 01:53:37 PM » |
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did u get on red's cards bet last night? Yellows were flying everywhere
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Author