Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

How did you suss that one out?

I heard it a few weeks ago and forgot completely about it till today and then did a bit of research and BINGO!
[/quote]

It feels like there should be some correlation.  You achieved the pinnacle, manager unexpectedly stays and then you take the foot off the gas.  But then you look at Wigan and construct a v similar argument.  Dunnno,  but think it is better to comment on this rather than the bets already placed.  Tikay can get tetchy. 

[TightEnd]

Got to admire a bet where one of the corroborating statistics goes back 32 years.

Even though there should be no correlation whatsover

Good stuff, Brains

[tikay]

Got to admire a bet where one of the corroborating statistics goes back 32 years.

Even though there should be no correlation whatsover

Good stuff, Brains

Nottingham Forest 1st game 1980/81  LOST 2-0

What an amazing stat!

The internetz  - sorry, internet my friend - had not even been invented for the general public back then, & half of the blondes were not even born.

This will make your eyes water....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1982

[redsimon]

Forest do tend to start very slowly in the League. Maybe a lay of Nottingham Forest vs Bristol City 1.95 on betfair is worth a small punt?

[tikay]

Forest do tend to start very slowly in the League. Maybe a lay of Nottingham Forest vs Bristol City 1.95 on betfair is worth a small punt?

How did I know that mention of Forest would have you here in 30 seconds flat, Simon?!

Can't really do that bet, it requires a tad more logic I'm afraid. I don't back anything that moves, you know.

[Dubai]

1982 was a great year, I was born. Problem being so was Flushy, that's gods way of evening it out

[redsimon]

Trying to drag up stats (ie looking at old programmes) Would a little more research tempt you

[TightEnd]

Simon, long suffering forest fan....

Simon Cox for Champo golden boot, 25-1?

[ripple11]

Yep our leader is needed to clarify. Bingo must be finishing soon so he will be with us shortly...

Nowt wrong with Bingo.
As students we went every Friday, as you could win a joint of meat for the weekend.....and they gave you a free drink if it was always your birthday.

[tikay]

Trying to drag up stats (ie looking at old programmes) Would a little more research tempt you

Yes, but I I need you to to go back to at least this era.....

[redsimon]

I know we won on first day of 1977/78 and won league but unless my memories really bad (possible!) we have drawn or lost opening league game for last 7/8 seasons. I might have it has my crowning bet in the buying sh!t thread

[redsimon]

Trying to drag up stats (ie looking at old programmes) Would a little more research tempt you

Yes, but I I need you to to go back to at least this era.....

My first game was 1971 so that team is familiar

[superwomble]

Statistical discussion about opening games of the season reminded me of a stat I checked last season about Wimbledon. Before last season's opening game we had not lost an opening game since 1996/7, when we lost 3-0 at home to ManUre, the game in which Beckham scored THAT goal.

Unfortunately, we lost last season's opener, but still, 1997-2010 inclusive is a pretty long time! 14 seasons unbeaten :-)

[Longy]

Forest do tend to start very slowly in the League. Maybe a lay of Nottingham Forest vs Bristol City 1.95 on betfair is worth a small punt?

Forest side has been put together very last minute, they had about 5 players a few weeks ago. So they may well take time to gel, I would expect them to start slowly again this year and improve.

[tikay]

I am at Ayr today and looking forward to it.  I haven't actually been on track for a while.  I placed 3 bets last nigh, and one I am definitely dining out on value on runs in the opener.  

ALWILDA ran a fairly decent race at Kempton last week finishing 4th on debut.  In doing so it separated a pair of Godolphin horses and finished ahead of a short priced fav.  Sir Mark's horses often get better with experience and I see no reason why it won't win today.  The trainers record up at Ayr is also worth noting.  

With these races, its sometimes difficult to know just where we are on the form lines as there isn't a lot to go on, and the newcomers could be anything.  When I initially looked at the race and priced it up I wen't 8/13 ALWILDA  and the main danger for me was AL THUMAMA if there was any market support but that one is as big as 18/1 in a place.  

My selection can still be backed at 5/6 with Padraig Power.  I would still be happy to back this at 8/13.  

We have our first, & hopefully last loser of the day, unforch.

1st  3 Asgardella (IRE)  9/2  
2nd  5 Reggae Star  14/1  

ALWILDA started at 8/13, so that's tonight's Value Pie sorted for dinner.