Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Five of the last seven Tests at this ground have been draws - in the last two Tests New Zealand made 459 in their first innings and Sri Lanka put on 760!

There'll be no rain but the risk is if England show any batting backbone then a draw looks likely. However, the Indians have deliberately stifled England's preparation (playing poor teams, not bowling any spin) so how England will play is a big unknown, therefore I couldn't recommend a bet here.

One place where I would recommend a tickle for Fred is in the top England bowler. The natural assumption when on a tour of India is OMGSPINNERSFTW, which is why Swann is favourite, but he's best priced 15/8. EDIT: Also India don't allow DRS in their Tests so that hurts Swann.

Our other spinners (Patel and Panesar) are not much kop so there is scope for Jimmy Anderson to get some wickets if he can get some reverse swing going (as Dale Steyn has done in India in the past). He'll also open the bowling. Finn is going to miss the 1st Test and Broad also has a niggle so may not play all games.

Therefore recommend Anderson at 4/1 with Ladbrokes or Blue Squirrel

Thanks Andrew.

5 ot the last 7 Tests at this ground (First Test) have been draws? Whoops, there goes our 4-0 & 3-1.

The Jimmy Anderson bet is for the SERIES, I am assuming (hoping). How can we refuse, after your Electoral College Coup?

We have £25 with Blue Square @ 4/1, Jimmy Anderson Top England Bowler, India v England Test Series.

ON

James Anderson @ 4/1 
Market
 Top England Series Wicket Taker
 
Event
 India v England
Test Series Betting
2012-11-15 04:00:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £25.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £25.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-11-13 19:19:40
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000136
 

[Doobs]

Might Mike v The Count

Ted Hankey is 5/2 with betfair to beat van Gerwen, but is largely 11/5, 15/8 and 2/1 elsewhere.

Seems like a price to me.

Would rather back Van Gerwen at 2/5 with 3 firms.  He is clearly the man in form, and betting this way also has the clear advantage that I don't have to cheer home Hankey. Always nice to beat the Betfair price. 

[AndrewT]

Yes, Anderson bet is for series - I should have explicitly stated as I forgot Fred has form here.

[Tal]

That's Jimmy Anderson, rather than Gary, Bob or John (Gladiators fans).

Are we absolutely sure he doesn't have a mid-tour hair appointment, a tortoise to walk or playing the DTD deepstack weekend?

[AndrewT]

That's Jimmy Anderson, rather than Gary, Bob or John (Gladiators fans).

Are we absolutely sure he doesn't have a mid-tour hair appointment, a tortoise to walk or playing the DTD deepstack weekend?

Doh - I forgot that his pub darts team made it through to the county final and he's flying home during the 3rd Test to play in it.

[Waz1892]

Tranmere 4/6 to beat Braintree?

Tranmere top of league 1, Braintree bottom 7 in blue sq (albeit a tight table at present)

Tranmere won last 2 games to nil, Braintree by own admission making changes as they had a big effort against Gateshead.

8/5 with Braintree +1

Thanks Wazzy. I'll need some supprt for that, the price feels - to me - about right.

Tranmere are top of League One, desperate to go up, & away to a little "non-League" club who will be all revved up for it. Not sure that makes them much better than 4/6, has the feel of a potential banana-skin to me.

Views, anyone?

2-0, after 54mins.  guess they were right, just thought 4/6 was still too big.

[The Camel]

Tranmere 4/6 to beat Braintree?

Tranmere top of league 1, Braintree bottom 7 in blue sq (albeit a tight table at present)

Tranmere won last 2 games to nil, Braintree by own admission making changes as they had a big effort against Gateshead.

8/5 with Braintree +1

Thanks Wazzy. I'll need some supprt for that, the price feels - to me - about right.

Tranmere are top of League One, desperate to go up, & away to a little "non-League" club who will be all revved up for it. Not sure that makes them much better than 4/6, has the feel of a potential banana-skin to me.

Views, anyone?

2-0, after 54mins.  guess they were right, just thought 4/6 was still too big.

Unless you have inside info about the strength of the league team, I wouldn't touch any League 1/2 club at that sort of price away from home at a conf team at 4/6.

Too many league clubs make wholesale changes.

[Waz1892]

Tranmere 4/6 to beat Braintree?

Tranmere top of league 1, Braintree bottom 7 in blue sq (albeit a tight table at present)

Tranmere won last 2 games to nil, Braintree by own admission making changes as they had a big effort against Gateshead.

8/5 with Braintree +1

Thanks Wazzy. I'll need some supprt for that, the price feels - to me - about right.

Tranmere are top of League One, desperate to go up, & away to a little "non-League" club who will be all revved up for it. Not sure that makes them much better than 4/6, has the feel of a potential banana-skin to me.

Views, anyone?

2-0, after 54mins.  guess they were right, just thought 4/6 was still too big.

Unless you have inside info about the strength of the league team, I wouldn't touch any League 1/2 club at that sort of price away from home at a conf team at 4/6.

Too many league clubs make wholesale changes.

fair enough

[Tal]

Walsall go 2-1 down in extra time.

 

[tikay]

Walsall go 2-1 down in extra time.

 

...and lose 2-3.

We need a Walsall fan to explain that.

Don't forget Eso Kral gave us Walall to be relegated, and we await Camel talking to his Walsall Corry.

[redarmi]

Going to preface this with the fact I am genuinely awful on international football and am a long term losing punter.  Two years ago I made the decision not to bet on it anymore outside of exceptional circumstances.  I think tonights England game is excpetional circumstances though.  This is a big game for Sweden.  It is the opening of their national stadium and the game is a big deal for them.  It isnt for England.  If anything it is a major inconvenience for England and I think that will reflect in the general attitude of the players.   I think 2.60 on Betfair is too big about Sweden given the differing motivations.

[maldini32]

Going to preface this with the fact I am genuinely awful on international football and am a long term losing punter.  Two years ago I made the decision not to bet on it anymore outside of exceptional circumstances.  I think tonights England game is excpetional circumstances though.  This is a big game for Sweden.  It is the opening of their national stadium and the game is a big deal for them.  It isnt for England.  If anything it is a major inconvenience for England and I think that will reflect in the general attitude of the players.   I think 2.60 on Betfair is too big about Sweden given the differing motivations.

England team: Hart; Johnson, Cahill, Caulker, Baines; Gerrard, Cleverley, Osman; Sterling, Welbeck, Young

[maldini32]

New York Knicks -6.5 @ Orlando Magic. (-7 in some)

Knicks have had a pretty awesome start to the season being 4-0 and beating some decent teams (inc the champions Miami) They look like they have really worked on their defence while still keeping their explosive offence. They are winning by an average of 17 points a game over a small sample of course but its still something to look at.

Magic on the other hand now Howardless go from looking average at best to god damn awful. They have started 2-4 for the season with some real drubbings mixed in there. They are dead last in points scored and I dont expect that to get any better vs the Knicks tight defence. I don't see how they keep up with Carmelo and co in scoring.

Knicks havent played since friday so they will be completley rested. Magic played on sunday.

This one feels like a steal on the face of it so hopefully can get there.

Good shout

[Waz1892]

Going to preface this with the fact I am genuinely awful on international football and am a long term losing punter.  Two years ago I made the decision not to bet on it anymore outside of exceptional circumstances.  I think tonights England game is excpetional circumstances though.  This is a big game for Sweden.  It is the opening of their national stadium and the game is a big deal for them.  It isnt for England.  If anything it is a major inconvenience for England and I think that will reflect in the general attitude of the players.   I think 2.60 on Betfair is too big about Sweden given the differing motivations.

Only cavaet to this is Stevie Gs 100th cap. He'll want it to be a special night

[Tal]

Walsall go 2-1 down in extra time.

 

...and lose 2-3.

We need a Walsall fan to explain that.

Don't forget Eso Kral gave us Walall to be relegated, and we await Camel talking to his Walsall Corry.

Yes, shame no one mentioned that

My Walsall fan says they always have a bad run this time of year, but a few January loans usually do enough for them to put a run together.

He is, however, pessimistic about tonight's match at Lincoln. He says they have a history of drawing at home in the cup to lower league opposition and losing the replay because players are rested.