Tips for Tikay

[anthonyl]

charlton 7/4 (skybet), 15/8 (betvictor) to beat brighton (£20)

charlton 1-0 brighton 8/1 coral (£5)

we have a lot of players out injured

Bridge (if he plays he is unfit)
Painter
Bruno (if he plays he is unfit)
El Abd (if he plays he is unfit)
Orlandi
Vicente
Dunk

Valley will be buzzing as its their 20th birthday back at the valley too.

[MereNovice]

So, what happened in November?

Fred closed 108 bets with a total of £2,724.50 wagered for a profit of £669.00 and an aggregate ROI of 24.5%.

Fred bet on 13 different sports with football (22 bets), Rugby Union (15 bets) and American Football (14 bets) being most popular.
Football returned a profit of £141.00 and Rugby Union a profit of £265.00 whilst American Football lost £7.00.
The biggest winner was horse racing with a profit of £406.00 and the biggest loser was basketball with a loss of £163.00.

31 different people provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed including 6 first time tipsters.


Overall, we have the following statistics since we started in February:

Fred has placed 874 bets with a total of £32,992.50 wagered for a profit of £623.64 and an aggregate ROI of 1.89%.

Fred has bet on 26 different sports with football (294 bets) still dwarfing all other sports in terms of activity. Next busiest are golf (100 bets), cricket (74 bets) and horses (71).

The statistics for our most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Sport   Total   Profit  Amt Bet   ROI   No.
Football   632.98   11,211.42   5.65   294
RL   541.36   670.00   80.80   29
Misc.   284.70   599.75   47.47   16
...
Boxing   -199.00   595.00   -33.45   12
Formula1   -288.00   405.00   -71.11   14
Basketball   -834.56   1,675.00   -49.82   32

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

96 different people have provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed.


We have punted with 19 different bookies/exchanges.
We have made £452.12 profit with Bet365 whilst losing £451.95 with StanJames.

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


Apologies for the delayed posting of this summary. This was due to technical issues.

[Hawk]

So, what happened in November?

Fred closed 108 bets with a total of £2,724.50 wagered for a profit of £669.00 and an aggregate ROI of 24.5%.

Fred bet on 13 different sports with football (22 bets), Rugby Union (15 bets) and American Football (14 bets) being most popular.
Football returned a profit of £141.00 and Rugby Union a profit of £265.00 whilst American Football lost £7.00.
The biggest winner was horse racing with a profit of £406.00 and the biggest loser was basketball with a loss of £163.00.

31 different people provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed including 6 first time tipsters.


Overall, we have the following statistics since we started in February:

Fred has placed 874 bets with a total of £32,992.50 wagered for a profit of £623.64 and an aggregate ROI of 1.89%.

Fred has bet on 26 different sports with football (294 bets) still dwarfing all other sports in terms of activity. Next busiest are golf (100 bets), cricket (74 bets) and horses (71).

The statistics for our most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Sport   Total   Profit  Amt Bet   ROI   No.
Football   632.98   11,211.42   5.65   294
RL   541.36   670.00   80.80   29
Misc.   284.70   599.75   47.47   16
...
Boxing   -199.00   595.00   -33.45   12
Formula1   -288.00   405.00   -71.11   14
Basketball   -834.56   1,675.00   -49.82   32

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

96 different people have provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed.


We have punted with 19 different bookies/exchanges.
We have made £452.12 profit with Bet365 whilst losing £451.95 with StanJames.

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


Apologies for the delayed posting of this summary. This was due to too much Port for my birthday.

[MereNovice]

I have referred the above post to my lawyers.
We will be discussing it over a bottle of port tomorrow.

[Hawk]

I have referred the above post to my lawyers.
We will be discussing it over a bottle of port tomorrow.

Hope to share a bottle or two with you one day

[BigAdz]

Bit harsh on Charlie Poste Adz, the horse clouted every fence. And just as he was coming back into contention he was nearly brought down by a faller right in front of him.

Professor Dumbledore wouldn't have won on that thing in that race.

Does a jockey not take responsibility for how the horse is presented at a fence, and organising his stride pattern?

But more to the point, his technique between fences was rather like the military riders seen at Sandown.

[Horneris]

Stride pattern yes absolutely and I was going to mention that, but on a lot of them he had the stride pattern fine and the horse just wasn't up for it.

You absolutely despise jockeys!

[Chompy]

Horse looks a shitbag to me. Surprised the price held up as well as it did tbh. No bet at that price obv.

3.10?

Was awful!

U tell him.

Clearly an amateur tipster.

Not a tip!

charlton 7/4 (skybet), 15/8 (betvictor) to beat brighton (£20)

charlton 1-0 brighton 8/1 coral (£5)

we have a lot of players out injured

Bridge (if he plays he is unfit)
Painter
Bruno (if he plays he is unfit)
El Abd (if he plays he is unfit)
Orlandi
Vicente
Dunk

Valley will be buzzing as its their 20th birthday back at the valley too.

Charlton a very poor oufit. Played off the park by Posh last week according to my sources and scored with their only two efforts on goal. Nico will confirm.

[tikay]

So, what happened in November?

Fred closed 108 bets with a total of £2,724.50 wagered for a profit of £669.00 and an aggregate ROI of 24.5%.

Fred bet on 13 different sports with football (22 bets), Rugby Union (15 bets) and American Football (14 bets) being most popular.
Football returned a profit of £141.00 and Rugby Union a profit of £265.00 whilst American Football lost £7.00.
The biggest winner was horse racing with a profit of £406.00 and the biggest loser was basketball with a loss of £163.00.

31 different people provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed including 6 first time tipsters.


Overall, we have the following statistics since we started in February:

Fred has placed 874 bets with a total of £32,992.50 wagered for a profit of £623.64 and an aggregate ROI of 1.89%.

Fred has bet on 26 different sports with football (294 bets) still dwarfing all other sports in terms of activity. Next busiest are golf (100 bets), cricket (74 bets) and horses (71).

The statistics for our most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Sport   Total   Profit  Amt Bet   ROI   No.
Football   632.98   11,211.42   5.65   294
RL   541.36   670.00   80.80   29
Misc.   284.70   599.75   47.47   16
...
Boxing   -199.00   595.00   -33.45   12
Formula1   -288.00   405.00   -71.11   14
Basketball   -834.56   1,675.00   -49.82   32

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

96 different people have provided the tips for the bets which Fred placed.


We have punted with 19 different bookies/exchanges.
We have made £452.12 profit with Bet365 whilst losing £451.95 with StanJames.

The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


Apologies for the delayed posting of this summary. This was due to technical issues.

Thanks for the Monthly Jobbie Vince, & I cannot tell you how much I have missed you!

For those not aware, Vince has been unavoidably AWOL for technical reasons since about last Thursday, so I have been struggling a tad with the Spready, especially on Friday & Saturday, when we made a lot of bets, & I've also been a bit pre-occupied with my day job.

I hope I can resume the Daily Reports now that Mere has tidied up the Spreadsheet. 

I am pleased to say - & Vince will confirm this - that he wrote to me this afternoon & said I had updated the Spready with 100% pinpoint accuracy. (Except for the three mistakes).

[tikay]

It has come to my attention that Arsenal are in danger of becoming the new Liverpool.



No not that Liverpool, this Liverpool

Click to see full-size image.

As the new Liverpool appear to be getting closer to the old one, albeit at a speed that wouldn't put your average three-toed sloth to shame we need to look for new opportunties in the premiership.

Arsenal have won just 3 games at home in the premiership this season, the games were against QPR, Southampton and the game where Tal demonstrated the preils of chirping too early.  In addition they have failed to beat Fulham, Sunderland and Swansea at home.

On Saturday Arsenal play at home to the team that are 5th in the premiership.  For the confused; that is 5 places above Arsenal and 6 above the new Liverpool.

The price we can lay on betfair today is a barely believable 1.52.  The greedy amongst us may even get 1.51, as that price has been laid already.

We have a plethora of recent collateral form: West Brom lost away to Swansea (Arsenal lost at home); West Brom beat Sunderland away (Arsenal drew at home); West Brom beat Chelsea (Arsenal lost).

Now I accept West Brom are on a mini slump of one losing game, but surely we can lay this?

I suggest a lay of £100 at a cost of £52.

Thanks Doobsy. Proper presentation that!

We have laid Arsenal as directed with Betfair.

ON


 Fixtures 08 December / Arsenal v West Brom / Match Odds  Arsenal Lay 23833967577  05-Dec-12
18:21    1.53 100.00  1.53

[tikay]

The Oakland Raiders (+10.5) bet suggested by Kuku, on whivch we had £22, then Neil suggested we press.

The line has been wobbling all day, & although Sporting Bet are now +10, several other firms who were +10 have now gone +10.5, though they go 5/6, not 10/11.

I'll keep an eye on it & plunge slightly mightily if the line moves in our favour & we can get 10/11, failing that I'll get on at +10.5 @ 5/6.

[aaron1867]

Bit harsh on Charlie Poste Adz, the horse clouted every fence. And just as he was coming back into contention he was nearly brought down by a faller right in front of him.

Professor Dumbledore wouldn't have won on that thing in that race.

The horse was already out of contention when other horse fell and hampered him.

The horse definitely was not up for jumping fences, was in two minds to get on & eventually had £20 as it went to threes, then 11/4, nearly died.

[Dubai]

Gomez £40ew first gscorer in Munich game @11/4 bet365. Each way we are taking 1.91 about a 1.7 shot and win bet is neutral ev. Decent bet

[tikay]

London Chess Classic.

Tal,

These are the odds for tomorrow's match ups.

Anything take your eye?


http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/Chess-c210000170

In the Adams - Carlsen game, Carlsen is 7/4. With the draw @ 13/20, presumably the thinking is that he does not need to risk going for the win?

PS - Who do you think sets the Ladbrokes Chess Odds, or advises tham as to likely outcomes? I think it is safe to assume that nobody at Ladbrokes would have the knowledge.

[Dubai]

Thread is running so far below ev on ew first gscorer bets, but they are really decent bets that are always +ev in right situations and this is one of them