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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16604131 times)
tikay
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« Reply #28440 on: January 29, 2013, 01:29:13 PM »

how the hell are Watford evens away to Bristol City? They are missing their best player (ACON).



I believe someone else also mentioned this.

What price would you make Watford?
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The Camel
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« Reply #28441 on: January 29, 2013, 01:34:20 PM »

how the hell are Watford evens away to Bristol City? They are missing their best player (ACON).



I believe someone else also mentioned this.

What price would you make Watford?

The other guy suggested backing Watford at 6/5.

Who is ACON?
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anthonyl
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« Reply #28442 on: January 29, 2013, 01:40:06 PM »

how the hell are Watford evens away to Bristol City? They are missing their best player (ACON).



I believe someone else also mentioned this.

What price would you make Watford?

A similar game say compared to the prem would be QPR V Spurs (Spurs were like 4/6), or you could even look at Norwich V Spurs (5/6).

- Watford have scored the most goals away in the football league (32)
- Bristol City have conceded the most goals at home in the football league (34)
- Watfords last three league away games have been wins at Forest (comfortable), Brighton (comfortable), and Middlesbrough all fairly decent'ish sides.

Asian handicap Watford -1.5 is 11/5 too.

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anthonyl
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« Reply #28443 on: January 29, 2013, 01:41:41 PM »

how the hell are Watford evens away to Bristol City? They are missing their best player (ACON).



I believe someone else also mentioned this.

What price would you make Watford?

The other guy suggested backing Watford at 6/5.

Who is ACON?

African Cup of Nations.

Albert Adomah. Top player.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #28444 on: January 29, 2013, 01:44:35 PM »

I don't see how Watford can be odds on  away from home.  It's the championship after all.

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« Reply #28445 on: January 29, 2013, 01:47:38 PM »

"A similar game say compared to the prem would be QPR V Spurs "

I love this Watford team, but there is surely a significantly different gap in class between Spurs and QPR than there is between Bristol City and Watford.

There is also a possibility Zola will rotate as he has 3 games in a week, which whilst it might not weaken them massively due to the good squad, may leave red hot Vydra on the bench.
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anthonyl
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« Reply #28446 on: January 29, 2013, 02:01:47 PM »

"A similar game say compared to the prem would be QPR V Spurs "

I love this Watford team, but there is surely a significantly different gap in class between Spurs and QPR than there is between Bristol City and Watford.

There is also a possibility Zola will rotate as he has 3 games in a week, which whilst it might not weaken them massively due to the good squad, may leave red hot Vydra on the bench.

I thought it was pretty fair comparison.

Bristol City are awful and Watford are awesome.

If squad rotation is being hinted at then obviously would avoid.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #28447 on: January 29, 2013, 02:08:53 PM »

Hasn't been suggested by Zola and I would keep the same team if I were him to try and keep momentum.  But last time we had 3 games in a week he rotated about 6 players, although we still won 4-1 at Sheff Weds.

Heavy rain in Bristol as well I am told - might be a leveller.
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tikay
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« Reply #28448 on: January 29, 2013, 02:26:16 PM »

Here, with thanks to PokerNews, is Fred's Black Belt Poker's very own Neil Channing, looking remarkably upbeat, during the Aussie Millions Main Event.

Last I heard he had north of 80,000, & was going along nicely.

Do it for Fred please Neil!



« Last Edit: January 29, 2013, 02:29:24 PM by tikay » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #28449 on: January 29, 2013, 02:28:47 PM »



PS - Gotta love the retro shirt.
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« Reply #28450 on: January 29, 2013, 02:30:07 PM »


Here, with thanks to PokerNews, is Fred's Black Belt Poker's very own Neil Channing, looking remarkably upbeat.

Last I heard he had north of 80,000, & was going along nicely.

Do it for Fred please Neil!





Please post all updayes in his diary

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=60171.msg1709194#new

His twitter gave 99k at the end
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #28451 on: January 29, 2013, 02:30:23 PM »

I was surprised by the Watford price to be honest and it does seem short but they are playing very, very well at the moment.
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« Reply #28452 on: January 29, 2013, 02:32:18 PM »

 Actually have just shy of 100k.

 I have just messaged two people who are going to try and get some bets on with 9 Super Bowl prop bets. I will probably have around 25 in total.

 It's a bit tricky to know what to do with them . I would love to tell Fred all about them, but it's so hard to get on and I guess the prices will get smashed-up.

 While I was working on that I got a call to say somebody broke open the front door and burgled us. Apparently the bedroom was a mess. They must have been disturbed before they could touch anything.

 Slightly tilting.
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The Camel
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« Reply #28453 on: January 29, 2013, 02:39:19 PM »

Actually have just shy of 100k.

 I have just messaged two people who are going to try and get some bets on with 9 Super Bowl prop bets. I will probably have around 25 in total.

 It's a bit tricky to know what to do with them . I would love to tell Fred all about them, but it's so hard to get on and I guess the prices will get smashed-up.

 While I was working on that I got a call to say somebody broke open the front door and burgled us. Apparently the bedroom was a mess. They must have been disturbed before they could touch anything.

 Slightly tilting.

That's really bad, sorry to hear that.

It's a pretty sobering thought.

Maybe telling the world via twitter and blogs that you are 10,000 miles away isn't a great idea?

Hopefully it's just a co incidence.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #28454 on: January 29, 2013, 02:43:17 PM »

 I was thinking that. The event is covered by PokerNews though and other people Tweet and stuff, plus it's important to mention it on Black Belt - the whole idea being the site is aspirational.

 I'm so bad at buying stuff, (my TV is about 12 years old and I've been meaning to replace it for about two years now), that it looks like they took one look and gave up. Hard to judge what has gone from here.

 It's the 3rd time I've been robbed in three years after having a good run. Hoping they didn't get the ante-pot betting slip box.
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