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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427041 times)
tikay
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« Reply #33075 on: March 09, 2013, 01:56:03 PM »

I've been trying to find some value spots in our game today, before I head over to the Etihad to witness the carnage.

Considering that Barnsley are 25/1 to win with Pinnacle, this has been remarkably difficult, as I can't even honestly suggest a banzai at that price with any confidence.

Two spots for consideration though:

Chris Dagnall is 8/1 in the Anytime Goalscorer market with Ladbrokes, who are out of line with the other firms.  He'll probably play upfront for the full 90 and he'd be our likely penalty taker if we managed to get that far up the pitch, so there's probably a bit of value in a price that looks like a first or last goalscorer number:

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/man-city-v-barnsley/anytime-goalscorer

Also, much as I fear for the outcome if it happens, City leading after 15 minutes is 2/1 with Ladbrokes (the draw is favourite at 2/5).  The equivalent 30 minute price is 5/6, so the favouritism switches between 15 and 30 minutes.

We've started poorly in all our recent games since the MK Dons cup-tie and have conceded at the following times since then (most recent first):
Burnley (A) - 9 minutes
Bolton (H) - 15 minutes
Bristol C (A) - 16 minutes
Wolves (H) - 7 minutes

2/1 looks too big to me, given the relative gulf in quality, much as I want to say otherwise.

Technically, we're 90 minutes away from a Wembley semi-final but it feels a million miles away to me.  Hope I'm wrong, but a miracle today is too much to ask.  I'm just hoping for a respectable scoreline and maybe a chance to celebrate a goal.

Thanks Curtis.

I don't think Man City will score early today, just enjoy your big day, and I hope you win, or at least keep the score respectable.
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tikay
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« Reply #33076 on: March 09, 2013, 02:01:35 PM »

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

How VERY DARE YOU show your face in here!

Walsall to be relegated, my arse.

Good money after bad if you ask me.

Just had a look at the table and they are two off the play offs.  They are on way better form than the two teams above them.  I can easily see them creeping in the play offs.  20/1 seems like some value to me and I am taking some.

Of course we would have to put them in a double with Huddersfield relegation for japes.  

Walsall to go down, Huddersfield to go up. What were we thinking?
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« Reply #33077 on: March 09, 2013, 02:05:13 PM »

Darts bet for tonight.
Pallett to beat Lewis.
Lewis won his match last night 6/5 with a 89 average against a Plqyer who doesn't even have a world ranking while Pallett beat Nicholson 6-3 with a 100+ average.
It's  first to 6 which probably helps the bet.
Pallett can be bet to win this @ 5/1 with blue square which looks huge.
« Last Edit: March 09, 2013, 02:07:05 PM by Snowball » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #33078 on: March 09, 2013, 02:05:13 PM »

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

You are having a laugh, Rich, but Doobsy is on now, so I had to follow him in.

Cannot c & p the betslip until later, but we have.....

£5 @ 20/1, Ladbrokes, Walsall to be promoted from League One.

Just think of the abuse you will get if this one gets home.

We were stuck for £60, so for a fiver more we can get out of it with a bit to spare. Incred.


EDIT  BetSlip Added

ON

Selection          Selection Details       Result    
   
1
 
         
English
League One 2012/13
To be promoted
2013-03-09 15:00:00
Walsall @ 20/1
      Pending    
      Channel          WAP    
      Bet Placed At          09/03/2013    
      Bet Type          Single    
      Stake Per Line          £5.00    
      Number Of Lines          1    
      Total Stake Paid          £5.00    
      Total Tax @0.00% (Stake)          £0.00
« Last Edit: March 09, 2013, 05:01:45 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #33079 on: March 09, 2013, 02:10:35 PM »

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

You are having a laugh, Rich, but Doobsy is on now, so I had to follow him in.

Cannot c & p the betslip until later, but we have.....

£5 @ 20/1, Ladbrokes, Walsall to be promoted from League One.

Just think of the abuse you will get if this one gets home.

We were stuck for £60, so for a fiver more we can get out of it with a bit to spare. Incred.

I knew a fellow baldy would help me out!

I posted slightly in jest as the stick you gave me over the past few weeks and also after "Hedgegate" so redding out but with a potential small downside didnt seem to bad.
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« Reply #33080 on: March 09, 2013, 02:11:38 PM »

Darts bet for tonight.
Pallett to beat Lewis.
Lewis won his match last night 6/5 with a 89 average against a Plqyer who doesn't even have a world ranking while Pallett beat Nicholson 6-3 with a 100+ average.
It's  first to 6 which probably helps the bet.
Pallett can be bet to win this @ 5/1 with blue square which looks huge.

Thanks Snowy.

The 5/1 has gone, some 9/2 is available but only at Stan James.

Anyway, I had some 4/1 with Blue Square, but they restricted me to a tenner.

Copy of betslip later.

We have £10 @ 4/1, Blue Square, Pallett to beat Lewis, tonight, UK Masters.

EDIT - BetSlip Added

ON


Selection 1    David Pallett @ 4/1 To Win - Not Settled
Market    Match Winner
Event    European Tour
Adrian Lewis v David Pallett
22:00 09/03/2013
Bet Type    Single
Unit Stake    £10.00
Number of Units    x1
Stake    £10.00
Time and Date Placed    13:57 09/03/2013
Receipt Number    O/0891659/0000194
« Last Edit: March 09, 2013, 05:04:40 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #33081 on: March 09, 2013, 02:44:10 PM »

Off we go.

Cuthbert and North, one try each please.
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« Reply #33082 on: March 09, 2013, 03:12:32 PM »

Lovely timing for betty to break down....
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« Reply #33083 on: March 09, 2013, 03:16:49 PM »

Lovely timing for betty to break down....

standard sat kick-off crash

If Laddies get betdaq going BF is going to be in real trouble.
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« Reply #33084 on: March 09, 2013, 03:17:53 PM »

You can bet on the website.

Just got on.

Think it is only the app that has broken.
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« Reply #33085 on: March 09, 2013, 03:20:17 PM »

Kazlian could start the weekend well for me...
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« Reply #33086 on: March 09, 2013, 03:31:22 PM »

Bugger.
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« Reply #33087 on: March 09, 2013, 03:40:14 PM »

To whom it concerns: been raining here in Dublin for last hour or so now, feels like it's down for the evening, getting chilly now too but not much wind.
Heading Aviva shortly. Heart roars, 'Come on Ireland!' Wallets whispers, 'Allez les Bleus!'
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« Reply #33088 on: March 09, 2013, 03:42:55 PM »

To whom it concerns: been raining here in Dublin for last hour or so now, feels like it's down for the evening, getting chilly now too but not much wind.
Heading Aviva shortly. Heart roars, 'Come on Ireland!' Wallets whispers, 'Allez les Bleus!'

Half of blonde have rushed over to Dublin to give hector a weather report.

No pressure, hector. Fred awaits......

Enjoy the game KP, the Murrayfield affair is a bit messy, but your game should be a corker.
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« Reply #33089 on: March 09, 2013, 03:48:07 PM »

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

You are having a laugh, Rich, but Doobsy is on now, so I had to follow him in.

Cannot c & p the betslip until later, but we have.....

£5 @ 20/1, Ladbrokes, Walsall to be promoted from League One.

Just think of the abuse you will get if this one gets home.

We were stuck for £60, so for a fiver more we can get out of it with a bit to spare. Incred.

ON


Walsall have just pulled level at Swindon after letting in an early goal.  And more good news for the other half of the double*, Huddersfield are losing at home.

* I didn't do the double either. Sad
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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