Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Am I missing something?

you've just done two bets, One needs Simonsig to win. The other needs Simonsig to lose

this is because both are +EV in their own right?

[horseplayer]

ice-cream question time

Henderson is 4/6 Top Cheltenham trainer

I am looking for a sporting alternative for interest

Nicholls is 10-1 in a spot, I gather edit 9-1

Is that an interesting price, or who would you suggest as an alternative?

thank you


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival/top-trainer

this got missed, or else no one cares

any views please?

If it is value, I care!

I need help on it though.

market has been up a while

for the bet to cop nicholls is going to have to probably win at least a couple of handicaps (his hand in the big 4 races is weaker than usual)

[TightEnd]

ice-cream question time

Henderson is 4/6 Top Cheltenham trainer

I am looking for a sporting alternative for interest

Nicholls is 10-1 in a spot, I gather edit 9-1

Is that an interesting price, or who would you suggest as an alternative?

thank you


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival/top-trainer

this got missed, or else no one cares

any views please?

If it is value, I care!

I need help on it though.

market has been up a while

for the bet to cop nicholls is going to have to probably win at least a couple of handicaps (his hand in the big 4 races is weaker than usual)

thank you

Is there any value anywhere in the top trainer market? (I might just be having addiction problems)

[tikay]

Am I missing something?

you've just done two bets, One needs Simonsig to win. The other needs Simonsig to lose

this is because both are +EV in their own right?

Ask the Elders!

Both +Ev, yes, allegedly.

We have bet against ourselves in several spots actually. We are running withg the hare & hunting with the hounds. We must get something right, right?

[tikay]

ice-cream question time

Henderson is 4/6 Top Cheltenham trainer

I am looking for a sporting alternative for interest

Nicholls is 10-1 in a spot, I gather edit 9-1

Is that an interesting price, or who would you suggest as an alternative?

thank you


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival/top-trainer

this got missed, or else no one cares

any views please?

If it is value, I care!

I need help on it though.

market has been up a while

for the bet to cop nicholls is going to have to probably win at least a couple of handicaps (his hand in the big 4 races is weaker than usual)

thank you

Is there any value anywhere in the top trainer market? (I might just be having addiction problems)

Keep them coming Rich, we may be a day or two early, but I'm sure, in amongst all the Cheltenham Specials, there must be some value, if we can but find it.

There you go, there must be something there. How many Pints of Guinness sold, anyone?

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term

[horseplayer]

ice-cream question time

Henderson is 4/6 Top Cheltenham trainer

I am looking for a sporting alternative for interest

Nicholls is 10-1 in a spot, I gather edit 9-1

Is that an interesting price, or who would you suggest as an alternative?

thank you


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival/top-trainer

this got missed, or else no one cares

any views please?

If it is value, I care!

I need help on it though.

market has been up a while

for the bet to cop nicholls is going to have to probably win at least a couple of handicaps (his hand in the big 4 races is weaker than usual)

thank you

Is there any value anywhere in the top trainer market? (I might just be having addiction problems)

I have no idea tbh have not looked in detail

For anybody other than henderson, mullins or nicholls to win though looks almost impossible (as market says)

[Doobs]

Am I missing something?

you've just done two bets, One needs Simonsig to win. The other needs Simonsig to lose

this is because both are +EV in their own right?

Yep.   FWIW I lumped my free bet on Simonsig.  

[Doobs]

ice-cream question time

Henderson is 4/6 Top Cheltenham trainer

I am looking for a sporting alternative for interest

Nicholls is 10-1 in a spot, I gather edit 9-1

Is that an interesting price, or who would you suggest as an alternative?

thank you


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/cheltenham-festival/top-trainer

this got missed, or else no one cares

any views please?

Nicholls doesn't have a strong team this year.  I don't think he has the favourite for any of the big races.  No idea if is value, but it explains why he is as big as he is.

[OverTheBorder]

Morning Mr T.

Today's rugby between Scotland and Wales could be an entertaining one. Scotland are not very good and Wales like to run the ball, and my internet weather watch says it will be dry up there. I was tempted to go for a Wales win by over 13 points @ 3-1 but I feel that is the correct price so I have gone elsewhere to try and get a nitty profit. I have mentioned before Wales's reliance on their wingers for trys and so I suggest we follow them again and back them both in the anytime try scorer market. If either score, which has happened in each of the games so far, it is a profit and if they both do then it is victory dance time.

We can then look to reinvest the profit in cake ingredients, a watch strap, or Aaron's nice football suggestion. " David it's over to you "

Cuthbert £10 @ 9/4 with Ladbrokes
North £10 @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes.

Can't argue with scotland being bad, I watched the last game, can argue the weather though from my window it looks awful and has been all morning

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Today's rugby between Scotland and Wales could be an entertaining one. Scotland are not very good and Wales like to run the ball, and my internet weather watch says it will be dry up there. I was tempted to go for a Wales win by over 13 points @ 3-1 but I feel that is the correct price so I have gone elsewhere to try and get a nitty profit. I have mentioned before Wales's reliance on their wingers for trys and so I suggest we follow them again and back them both in the anytime try scorer market. If either score, which has happened in each of the games so far, it is a profit and if they both do then it is victory dance time.

We can then look to reinvest the profit in cake ingredients, a watch strap, or Aaron's nice football suggestion. " David it's over to you "

Cuthbert £10 @ 9/4 with Ladbrokes
North £10 @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes.

Can't argue with scotland being bad, I watched the last game, can argue the weather though from my window it looks awful and has been all morning

hector operates from Plymouth, they see things differently in those parts. Sort of like Fen people, but with brains.

[Eso Kral]

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

[TightEnd]

PTC Snooker next Tour event starts Tues, in Northern ireland

The draw is so lopsided it is eye-popping

1    Mark Selby       v       Jack Lisowski         
2    Martin Gould       v       Tom Ford         
3    Marco Fu               v       Mark Joyce         
4    John Higgins       v       Allister Carter         
5    Neil Robertson       v       Jamie Burnett         
6    Barry Hawkins       v       Li Hang         
7    Graeme Dott       v       Xiao Guodong         
8    Judd Trump       v       Alfie Burden   

so the top half has selby, trump, higgins and robertson. These would be the top 4 in the betting pre-draw

     
9    Ding Junhui       v       Andrew Higginson         
10    Robert Milkins       v       Anthony McGill         
11    Mark Allen       v       Mark Davis         
12    Stephen Maguire       v       Joe Swail     

the third quarter has Allen and Maguire, Ding Still much weaker than the top half
   
13    Rod Lawler       v       Cao Yupeng         
14    Ken Doherty       v       Kurt Maflin         
15    Ben Woollaston       v    Mark Williams         
16    Stuart Bingham       v    Joe Perry

the final quarter is extremely weak. Lawler/Doherty and Williams who is out of form.Bingham beat Perry comfortably in Wales

Bingham again. check e/w odds to final. we have a run through to the semi's


check oddschecker

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/players-tour-championship/players-tour-championship-finals/winner

the top four in the market are in the same half of the draw. check

Ding, Maguire, Allen are the next three in the betting. they are in the same quarter. check

Bingham at 22-1 11-1 e/w to final with a run to the semi's that is unusually weak (next lowest odds in his quarter Wollaston 80-1)?

If Bingham can win his quarter we can back to get the stake back on his opponent at the semi


Provisional Rankings for Bingham's quarter

Bingham 9 (from 10)
Perry 18 (from 18)
Wollaston 33 (from 35)
Williams 11 (from 6)
Doherty 27 (from 31)
Lupeng 65 (was 65)
Maflin 66 (from 70)
Lawler 63 (from 66)

Recommend £20 e/w Bingham 22-1.

[booder]

3 bets on Huddersfield is some going when Mr rsgfdc or whatever his name is couldn't even manage one. You do run good.

I shall have to monitor your awakeage this afternoon as I may go for something in the Irish game later, or the rugby league. But sleep is far more important.

I initially thought I'd be cute & get a better price for your bet on Betfair, so I placed the bet, & only then realised it was Unmatched. If I stuck the bet up here Unmatched I'd get some grief, so I bottled it, & decided to keep it for myself. It was Matched minutes later, in full.

Then I stuck the Fred bet on, as advised, & correctly.

Then Joe came on with the Handicap Suggestion for Nits, & I thought if hector fancies it at Levels, I MUST have some with a 12 point start, so I had another £44 @ 10/11 for myself.

So I ended up with THREE bets. I was pretty smug as the match wore on, though I wore out my fingers pressing Refresh. I cleared about £120 overall, which is very nice, & they were my only completed bets yesterday. Nice to hit the weekend with a bit of profit already in the bag.

rfqqbhfghjyygt, aka Adam. Recreational misclicker, not in my league.

No probs with awakeage this afternoon, I cannot have a nap as I have a weekend visitor, so I'll be around all day. Not even tired, slept right through last night for the first time in months. Roaring to go today.

Look forward to more hector rugbyage. 

Thin

[tikay]

Whoops.

Lady from the Allotment Society, needs tending apparently.

[tikay]

A little tongue in cheek obv but dont know if you noticed in the Racing Post yesterday that they put up "Walsall to be promoted" as a selection @ 20/1 Ladbrokes and wondered if we should take a chance on MY selection of Walsall to be relegated that has seen them win 10/14 games since we played?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/promotion

Maybe £3 for stake back obv the middle then loses us £63

How VERY DARE YOU show your face in here!

Walsall to be relegated, my arse.

Good money after bad if you ask me.