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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16427682 times)
Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37365 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:19:42 PM »
Maybe should have added an option e) £5312.50 for the optimists
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Eso Kral
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37366 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:24:01 PM »
Quote from: adnmdv on April 12, 2013, 03:16:21 PM
Instinctively, would suspect a) is the way you'd maximise growth, though I haven't crunched the numbers.
I get b,c,d but how do we arrive at a?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #37367 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:24:20 PM »
really its all academic isn't it, as very little chance of tikay betting even strong fancies in half-Kelly amounts without much prompting?
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adnmdv
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #37368 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:24:46 PM »
Initial bankroll+EV of the bet
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Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37369 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:25:03 PM »
Quote from: Eso Kral on April 12, 2013, 03:24:01 PM
Quote from: adnmdv on April 12, 2013, 03:16:21 PM
Instinctively, would suspect a) is the way you'd maximise growth, though I haven't crunched the numbers.
I get b,c,d but how do we arrive at a?
A is our current bankroll plus equity in bet we have placed
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Eso Kral
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37370 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:25:45 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on April 12, 2013, 03:25:03 PM
Quote from: Eso Kral on April 12, 2013, 03:24:01 PM
Quote from: adnmdv on April 12, 2013, 03:16:21 PM
Instinctively, would suspect a) is the way you'd maximise growth, though I haven't crunched the numbers.
I get b,c,d but how do we arrive at a?
A is our current bankroll plus equity in bet we have placed
gotcha
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Andrew Charles Blacklock - Lived for those he loved and those he loved remember.
MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37371 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:26:26 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 12, 2013, 03:24:20 PM
really its all academic isn't it, as very little chance of tikay betting even strong fancies in half-Kelly amounts without
much prompting
hacking his account and placing the bet for him?
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Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37372 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:26:46 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 12, 2013, 03:24:20 PM
really its all academic isn't it, as very little chance of tikay betting even strong fancies in half-Kelly amounts without much prompting?
This thread had little chance of existing couple years ago. Imagine if 2 years time after aggressive staking if Tikay was one of the most feared names on the bookies lips. The autobiography sales will be through the roof
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FUN4FRASER
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37373 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:27:20 PM »
Why are Delhi so short in the Cricket ?
Bent Game ?
Sehwag back maybe one reason
«
Last Edit: April 12, 2013, 03:29:42 PM by FUN4FRASER
»
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Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37374 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:31:14 PM »
They actually drifted after team news and WINNING toss funnily enough
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Eso Kral
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37375 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:33:34 PM »
Quote from: MereNovice on April 12, 2013, 03:26:26 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 12, 2013, 03:24:20 PM
really its all academic isn't it, as very little chance of tikay betting even strong fancies in half-Kelly amounts without
much prompting
hacking his account and placing the bet for him?
Maybe Vince could run a spreadsheet for a dummy Kelly account to see how they would perform against each other
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Andrew Charles Blacklock - Lived for those he loved and those he loved remember.
millidonk
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37376 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:37:00 PM »
I go D ainec.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37377 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:38:45 PM »
Quote from: Eso Kral on April 12, 2013, 03:33:34 PM
Quote from: MereNovice on April 12, 2013, 03:26:26 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 12, 2013, 03:24:20 PM
really its all academic isn't it, as very little chance of tikay betting even strong fancies in half-Kelly amounts without
much prompting
hacking his account and placing the bet for him?
Maybe Vince could run a spreadsheet for a
dummy Kelly
account to see how they would perform against each other
For a moment, I thought you had typed "Dummy Kendall".
PS - Scunthorpe play Walsall tomorrow. Do we want them to win, or lose? All so confusing.
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Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37378 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:40:14 PM »
Quote from: millidonk on April 12, 2013, 03:37:00 PM
I go D ainec.
Problem with D, it assumes all our bets are losers and if we have the same opportunity we would then be betting less and less on each one whilst the others arent settled which would therefore mean our bets although all the same ev, would have differing impacts on our roll and the earlier the bet was placed the more important it would turn out to be. Which basically just adds unnecessary variance and definitely slowths our overall growth, only imo obviously, as its an answer I can understand a lot of people would pick and could make a reasonable argument for
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millidonk
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I'm supposed to wear a shell.. I don't - SLUG LIFE
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #37379 on:
April 12, 2013, 03:41:17 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on April 12, 2013, 03:40:14 PM
Quote from: millidonk on April 12, 2013, 03:37:00 PM
I go D ainec.
Problem with D, it assumes all our bets are losers
and if we have the same opportunity we would then be betting less and less on each one whilst the others arent settled which would therefore mean our bets although all the same ev, would have differing impacts on our roll and the earlier the bet was placed the more important it would turn out to be. Which basically just adds unnecessary variance and definitely slowths our overall growth, only imo obviously, as its an answer I can understand a lot of people would pick and could make a reasonable argument for
Welcome to my life.
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WC2014 WOTN:
http://1drv.ms/1s7Bcqh
Get rich like a N!T:
http://sdrv.ms/RDOMxQ
http://twitter.com/BigDaveMilligan
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