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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16351526 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #38265 on: April 17, 2013, 02:09:58 PM »

Sigh @ Black Caviar, just sigh.

7/2 > Evs > 2/5 > Infinity coz of retirement. Nice to run good.

No damage to my impeccable spreadsheet stats though, this one was part of the rebuff files.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
ripple11
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« Reply #38266 on: April 17, 2013, 02:25:13 PM »

I've a greyhound recommendation for tomorrow evening's Sky card at Kinsley but before placing the bet I hope to get a little feedback from other greyhound backers, perhaps Dubai or lee h are about, as I just want confirmation that the price is too big.

Excuse the somewhat formal tone of the below but it is something I wrote for elsewhere....

Six quality dogs line up in the 9:19pm final of the Gymcrack, ran over 462m at Kinsley, having battled through two previous rounds of the competition but Sidaz Scotty is a worthy short priced favourite. In the heats it has ran sectionals of 5:10 and 5:12 as well as 5:11 in a trial before the competition began.

When compared to the other dogs in the race that looks like it will get Scotty, at the very least, a length advantage at the first bend which is obvious a bonus as it is likely to avoid any drama which Kinsley is somewhat known for. When leading at the first bend, Scotty will take all the catching, having ran 27:49secs and 27:39secs in two of its last three runs with the third run also being a respectable 27:61secs.

None of the other dogs in the race have got within about a length and a half of those times and a repeat will see Sidaz making all on his way to claiming the trophy for his owners.

The only slight negative is that the dog in trap 5, Droopys Odell, has a horrific draw as it seems to be one of the tightest railers in racing and will dive left out the boxes. However, trap 4 should feel the force of that and the selection should be quick enough away to avoid any drama.

Without that possibility, Scotty would be a recommend as short as 4/6, a price that it might still go off at tomorrow. It is already a fair bit shorter elsewhere.

Gymcrack Final - 9:19pm Kinsley - 17th April

Recommend £30 Sidaz Scotty at Evens with Paddy Power.



William Hill take my ice cream pocket money.....and then push it out to 5/4!
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Dubai
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« Reply #38267 on: April 17, 2013, 02:30:52 PM »

At evens i was umming and ahhing a little bit, but at 5/4 it looks a bet to me, but I have a woeful sky record on northern dogs meetings
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TightEnd
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« Reply #38268 on: April 17, 2013, 03:05:19 PM »

Pune lose 6 wickets in 13 balls to fail to chase 120 against Sunrisers.

That will be a loss then.
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« Reply #38269 on: April 17, 2013, 03:12:44 PM »

Wow. Just wow.

I have seen a lot of cricket in my time but what I have seen over the last week takes the cake. My advice for next year is do not bet on the IPL. I'm not a conspiracy theorist but it just seems like all of the recent games have been bent. Maybe its variance but there are batsmen playing shots that would be ridiculed in playgrounds, bowlers bowling no balls and wides at ridiculous times and run outs that arent even close. Neither of today's teams are likely to make the semis so realistically the pressue was minimal and yet Pune still lost 6 wickets in two overs. they were very nearly a 1.01 job! That was ridiculous.
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bookiebasher
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« Reply #38270 on: April 17, 2013, 03:20:54 PM »

I know Fred is restricted on Stan James but you can back Leicester top 6 @ two spades and
lay back on betfair at 5-4.

Strange one because they adjusted their prices last night to evens then this morning seem
to have reverted back to the prices before last nights results. Dont know if it's an account
buster or not but deffo wrong price. Everyone else odds on.
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MajorMajor
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« Reply #38271 on: April 17, 2013, 03:23:51 PM »

Just bet on the outsider on every IPL match. Then again at the end of the first innings! You'll make a mint!
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Chompy
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« Reply #38272 on: April 17, 2013, 03:24:30 PM »

I know Fred is restricted on Stan James but you can back Leicester top 6 @ two spades and
lay back on betfair at 5-4.

Strange one because they adjusted their prices last night to evens then this morning seem
to have reverted back to the prices before last nights results. Dont know if it's an account
buster or not but deffo wrong price. Everyone else odds on.

^ Plopable error imo
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Dubai
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« Reply #38273 on: April 17, 2013, 03:24:54 PM »

I know Fred is restricted on Stan James but you can back Leicester top 6 @ two spades and
lay back on betfair at 5-4.

Strange one because they adjusted their prices last night to evens then this morning seem
to have reverted back to the prices before last nights results. Dont know if it's an account
buster or not but deffo wrong price. Everyone else odds on.

Palpable surely
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bookiebasher
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« Reply #38274 on: April 17, 2013, 03:30:06 PM »

I know Fred is restricted on Stan James but you can back Leicester top 6 @ two spades and
lay back on betfair at 5-4.

Strange one because they adjusted their prices last night to evens then this morning seem
to have reverted back to the prices before last nights results. Dont know if it's an account
buster or not but deffo wrong price. Everyone else odds on.

Palpable surely

You would obviously think that but I asked them to check the price with the trader and it was ok.

I must be an ice cream.
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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #38275 on: April 17, 2013, 03:30:30 PM »

I know Fred is restricted on Stan James but you can back Leicester top 6 @ two spades and
lay back on betfair at 5-4.

Strange one because they adjusted their prices last night to evens then this morning seem
to have reverted back to the prices before last nights results. Dont know if it's an account
buster or not but deffo wrong price. Everyone else odds on.

Palpable surely
I got £100 through and it took a long time, if its been referred to a trader they shouldn't have a leg to stand on right?
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Chompy
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« Reply #38276 on: April 17, 2013, 03:35:44 PM »

"I just have to refer this bet to a trader"

means...

"I'm just going to put you on hold for 5mins so we can either knock you back to £10 or shamefully change the price."
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
bookiebasher
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« Reply #38277 on: April 17, 2013, 03:38:27 PM »

"I just have to refer this bet to a trader"

means...

"I'm just going to put you on hold for 5mins so we can accept 1k at 2-1."

fyp
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Dubai
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« Reply #38278 on: April 17, 2013, 03:40:59 PM »

My stan james account was closed for and i quote "betting Phil Mickleson to win the masters and some horse called Nebuchadnezzar to win Chief Ramsbottom"
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tikay
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« Reply #38279 on: April 17, 2013, 03:49:06 PM »

My stan james account was closed for and i quote "betting Phil Mickleson to win the masters and some horse called Nebuchadnezzar to win Chief Ramsbottom"

Ridiculous. Not like you were connected or anything.
 
Fine looking horse too, if I may say so. Little small for Aintree maybe.



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