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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16370621 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #44580 on: July 04, 2013, 07:26:03 PM »

Still a bit of 6/1 about Gina knocking around, with Baldfred and Baddies. Anyone yet to partake might want to have a look. It won't be there much longer.

Just say when (and what price) we should lay her on Betfair.
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Chompy
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« Reply #44581 on: July 04, 2013, 07:30:34 PM »

^^^ Desperate to get out...


Freddy insta-trimmed to 5/1. Someone got a tenner on, oi oi!
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #44582 on: July 04, 2013, 07:34:34 PM »

^^^ Desperate to get out...


Freddy insta-trimmed to 5/1. Someone got a tenner on, oi oi!

I was desperate to get out the moment I saw those videos.
I've long since gone past that point.
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Tal
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« Reply #44583 on: July 04, 2013, 08:46:44 PM »

Good dodge on Snakebite.

Wright goes down to Colin "Jaws" Lloyd in round one.
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« Reply #44584 on: July 05, 2013, 09:24:39 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £60

Outstanding Bets £1487

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&pli=1#gid=27

No bets completed yesterday

Today Murray and Djokovic play in the WImbledon semi's. If both make the final, we are guaranteed a profit on the Mens singles

German Grand Prix practice is underway

Tour De France stage 6 later, the last stage before the Mountains

Gina is BB favourite ahead of tonight's evictions

Michael Clarke scored a quick century for Australia against Worcestershire yesterday

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hector62
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« Reply #44585 on: July 05, 2013, 09:40:11 AM »

Morning Mr M.

There is a rugby league price for tonight that is a score OOL at present.

Suggest £24 over 47.5 points in the Warrington/Leeds game @ 5/6 with Bwin.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #44586 on: July 05, 2013, 10:09:00 AM »

Morning Mr M.

There is a rugby league price for tonight that is a score OOL at present.

Suggest £24 over 47.5 points in the Warrington/Leeds game @ 5/6 with Bwin.

Odds actually 83/100 (!) on the site so took £25.

On

bwin

7/5/2013 11:05 AM    Single bet   
Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos (Totals) Over 47,5 ?    25.00    83/100   
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« Reply #44587 on: July 05, 2013, 10:39:32 AM »

On the Watford bet front, looks like the deals for the players will be tied up this weekend.  Still a couple of spots to resolve but looks strong

http://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/sport/watfordfc/watfordfcnews/10528085.They_re_back__Several_Udinese_players_to_sign_permanent_deals_with_Watford

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« Reply #44588 on: July 05, 2013, 10:42:03 AM »

Hamilton a second clear of the the field, Rosberg eight tenths clear of the field in first practice at the Nurburbring

Early days, but encouraging

Brundle "The Mercs looked mighty, no problems with the tyres, still pumping in fastest laps at the end of the session"
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« Reply #44589 on: July 05, 2013, 12:25:12 PM »

Big Brother fret over.

Gina now tight at 6-1 and still on target to be favourite by Friday evening. Oi oi!
Sam 6.0
Gina 6.0
Jack and Joe 6.4

Choo Choo.  Chompy is The Greatest.

Gina 5.1/5.5
Sam 6.0/6.2
J and J 6.6/6.8

Lewis Hamilton now best 14s, think that train went through without stopping.  Still some 33s Nico Rosberg this afternoon.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #44590 on: July 05, 2013, 04:46:39 PM »

Morning All.

Was going to wait a tad longer but the price is being nibbled at.

£20 ew Paul Lawrie for The Open at Muirfield.

Last couple of years has seen his game at its best, and is always seemingly buzzing around somehwer near the action. Muirfield and the rough they have in situ this year looks ideal for him, as a straight off the tee merchant. Last Muirfield Open he was 59th but he is a better player since then. Constantly working on his game, his latest blog notes he is working hard to get his swing plane lower as it was starting to rise. This is good, as he is still playing well anyway.
Very much a straightforward player suited to attritional courses, I see him as a sort of last man standing type bet, and he looks good value @80s but 120s(win only) on Betty(was 200s a few days ago)

Also think Thomas Bjorn looks good too at 66s. Playing well and finished high up last time at Muirfield and knocking on the door every week atm. Maybe £10 ew him.

Thanks. GL

Got 100/1 on Paul Lawrie so took it.

On

SpreadEx

Single
Bet Selections
1.   21/07/2013 - The Open - Tournament Winner
Paul Lawrie @ 100/1   Open
Bet Details Bet Placed: 30/06/2013 11:22 
Bet ID: 757019 
Stake Per Line: 5.00 
Number of Lines: 2 
Total Stake: 10.00 
Potential max return: 625.00


Initially restricted to 79p (!) but a helpful gentleman on the phone allowed me £5 e/w - 1/4 odds 1-5.
First time they've ever allowed me more after calling.

Lots of firms offering 66/1 on Bjorn so will leave it for some comment if anyone feels so inclined.
I don't have a clue about golf betting personally.

Just managed a sneaky look at French Open. I see TB doing v well(joint leader) and what I understood of commentary and look of the course, it looks windy and linksy. Just checked and a lot of the 66s has gone.
If he continues to do well, I expect he will be 40s at best by Monday.

GL
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hector62
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« Reply #44591 on: July 05, 2013, 05:33:59 PM »

Bwin price has moved to 52.5 in tonight's Warrington/Leeds game, in line with everyone else, so we have a small piece of value pie.
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« Reply #44592 on: July 05, 2013, 05:50:29 PM »

Stats summary for Murray v Janowitz in Evening Standard. Murray:

Return of serve games won 24.
Break points won 24.

Oddly the Janowitz stats are the same, too.
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« Reply #44593 on: July 05, 2013, 06:25:23 PM »

BBC just reported the break points won as per these stats: http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/extrastats/brk_pts_won_ms.html

So either they or ES are wrong. You'd think it would be easy enough to get right!
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« Reply #44594 on: July 05, 2013, 06:29:09 PM »

BBC just reported the break points won as per these stats: http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/extrastats/brk_pts_won_ms.html

So either they or ES are wrong. You'd think it would be easy enough to get right!

Sorry. What I meant was that they published stats for games won against serve AND for break points, when they are the same thing.

Janowicz has fewer of both, you're right.

Cheesy
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