Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

They announce the new Doctor this weekend, I believe.

Favourite I hear - or one of them - is Peter Capaldi.

Would love him to tell the Daleks to *%+% off

[redarmi]

Not really a rec but would be interested in Bobby1, Ralph etc opinion........Tiger available at 1.15 on Betfair for this tournament....surely that is value?

[ACE2M]

Not really a rec but would be interested in Bobby1, Ralph etc opinion........Tiger available at 1.15 on Betfair for this tournament....surely that is value?

looks massive

[Doobs]

Greetings from the beautiful Trossachs. 

Sky Lantern is available at 7/4 with Hills mobile, with best odds guaranteed and free bet for 2nd in the 3.15.  £25 is good.

Think we should take the last free bet on Ninjango in the Stewards Cup at 3.50 at 11/1.  It is Hughes/Hannon, is in the centre, has form with Moviesta.  It is 3, so may have some improvement in him.  The race is a bit of a crapshoot, but we are gamblers aren't we?

[tikay]

Greetings from the beautiful Trossachs. 

Sky Lantern is available at 7/4 with Hills mobile, with best odds guaranteed and free bet for 2nd in the 3.15.  £25 is good.

Think we should take the last free bet on Ninjango in the Stewards Cup at 3.50 at 11/1.  It is Hughes/Hannon, is in the centre, has form with Moviesta.  It is 3, so may have some improvement in him.  The race is a bit of a crapshoot, but we are gamblers aren't we?

Morning Doobs. (See my Diary re the Trossachs). You lucky man.......


I will get those two bets on with Wm Hill very shortly.

I only popped on Fred to read the Daily Report, but no sign of it yet. For the last 543 days, it has been uploaded before 7am every morning. Standards slipping, see?

Still, I'm sure it will be worth waiting for. Big cricket expert is Chomps.

[tikay]

Greetings from the beautiful Trossachs. 

Sky Lantern is available at 7/4 with Hills mobile, with best odds guaranteed and free bet for 2nd in the 3.15.  £25 is good.

Think we should take the last free bet on Ninjango in the Stewards Cup at 3.50 at 11/1.  It is Hughes/Hannon, is in the centre, has form with Moviesta.  It is 3, so may have some improvement in him.  The race is a bit of a crapshoot, but we are gamblers aren't we?

Sorted, thanks Doobs.

We have.....

£25 @ 2/1, Guaranteed Price, (note improved price), Wm Hill Mobile, Sky Lantern, 3.15 Goodwood.  FREE £25 BET IF 2nd

£25 (FREE BET REDEEMED) @ 11/1, Guaranteed Price, Wm Hill Mobile, Ninjago. (Presumably, we'd get another Free Bet if 2nd?)

ON



Single To Win


Ninjago @ Guaranteed Price (11/1)WinOpen

3:50 Goodwood

Stake: £25.00Potential Returns: £275.00







Single To Win


Sky Lantern @ Guaranteed Price (2/1)WinOpen

3:15 Goodwood

Stake: £25.00Potential Returns: £75.00

[Karabiner]

Not really a rec but would be interested in Bobby1, Ralph etc opinion........Tiger available at 1.15 on Betfair for this tournament....surely that is value?

Not my sort of bet Stu, 1/10 generally with the books.

Dubai or Flushy are the guys who normally have an opinion on bets like this.

[tikay]

Still no sign of the Daily Report?

Sorry about this guys. Judgement lapse to let him do it.

[Tal]

 

Don't get back til late last night due to playing poker (I wish that were thin, but it isn't). Worried I'd overslept and missed the big reveal.

Farce

[tikay]

Don't get back til late last night due to playing poker (I wish that were thin, but it isn't). Worried I'd overslept and missed the big reveal.

Farce

It is Bin Day minus 3 in the Fens, he is probably prepping for it. Excited, see? Bet he gets his wheelie bin jet-washed every week, too.

[Chompy]

Callum tried to take on Dexter in the mind games stakes, and got the boot from BB

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Dexter now tight at 2/1 for top man. Good news for our tiddle-arsey £36 @ 4/1

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Queen Gina remains slight odds-on ftw

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Michael Clarke smashed the England attack around to go 2/5 for top Aussie batsman

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Swanny now a prohibitive 1/4 to be top home bowler after a five-fer

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Might be a good time to...

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Swedish football bet looking in fine shape, with Redarmi's 1.97 tip Kalmar now as short as 4/11 with Padraig Power

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Time for the rebuff files...

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SDS, more Goodwood bans than winners (sorry Adzy, couldn't resist)

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Superwomble's Wimbledon on the handicap rec (squad photo below)

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Yesterday's total -£3.42. Open bets £6,709.07.

[horseplayer]

Its Banzai time and this could be the biggest one yet.

Plenty of risk involved here so can only suggest the minimum stake.

Vcbet have offered up the worst disciplined player market in the premier league this season. They have not taken many chances but a player has been added by request the last few days (ahem) and i believe they have priced him up to big.

The player is Jordi Amat 100-1 suggest £10 (win only market) He is a tough tackling centre back who comes to Swansea like many others from la liga and had a good season last season. More importantly he collected 12 yellow cards in just 23 la liga games.

The stats below are from last season and show roughly what it will take to win this market. (Games played yellow cards and then red cards)



1                                               
Bradley Johnson   Norwich   M(C)   37      10   
2   
Craig Gardner   Sunderland   D(R),M(CR)   32(1)    10   1   
3   
Luis Suárez   Liverpool   AM(CLR),FW   33      10   
4   
Matthew Lowton   Aston Villa   D(R),M(R)   37      10   -   
5
Dean Whitehead   Stoke   M(CR)   12(14)      9   1   
6   
James Collins   West Ham   D(C)       29   -      9
7   
James Perch   Newcastle United   D(CR),DM(C)      9   
8   
Leon Osman   Everton   M(CLR)   36      9   
9   
Morgan Schneiderlin   Southampton   DM(C)   36   5   -   9   -   
10   
Ryan Shawcross    Stoke   D(C)   37   1   1   9   -   


The market is settled using whoscored.com, others on request. 1 point for a yellow and 3 for a red; but note 2 yellows = 3 points and NOT 4. And that stats above are from whoscored.com for last season.

Rather interestingly 5 of the top 7 players are either no longer in the league or perhaps will not be in a few weeks time.

So the main downside for Amat is he does not look a first choice starter for Swansea. However he started against Malmo on Thursday and has started most pre season friendly games ahead of Chico. Ashley Williams will play every game but there are always rumours he will be snapped up by a top 4 club and if Amat continues to impress (close to man of the match on Thursday according to a lot of the forums) they may feel they now have cover to take a big fee for Williams.

Laudrup is not afraid to change a winning formula and there are a few soft quotes suggesting he is happy with Amat and he may get his chance. The stats above suggest you do need to play at least 75% of games to have a chance and this is the main question mark over this bet. I should also point out it is easier to get booked in La Liga than over here but he got booked against Malmo on Thursday and is a very aggressive defender who tries to win the ball at every opportunity.

Diego Lugano who has joined WBA overnight will be a big runner in this market if he gets added to it and im not sure he will play enough games as the centre backs have a settled partnership there.

Diego Costa if he finalises his move to Liverpool will be well worth backing if he is placed anywere other than a clear favourite again if added to the market.

At 100-1 this bet will probably be either out with the washing after 3 weeks or has potential to look a 25-1 shot a few weeks in. It is obviously a slight lottery market with so many players very close to eachother and decided by very small margins.

Suggest £10 win Amat at 100-1 with vcbet

Hopefully other firms will price this market up soon if they do i may suggest a couple more.

If Costa joins Liverpool and is anything other than clear fav he will be worth adding to.

[tikay]

Ha!

I so wanted to diss Chomps big time, & technically, that Daily Report is utter crap, no Profit or Loss, no pretty blue or red numbers, & we have no idea if we won or lost yesterday.

But in fact I lolled big time.

Very good Mr Chomps, very good. 8.5.

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[horseplayer]

Tikay that was the afternoon alert post

I do not think the price will last to long myself

[tikay]

Tikay that was the afternoon alert post

I do not think the price will last to long myself

It has gone already! 66/1 now. But I'm on @ 66/1 anyway, details to follow. Still worth a tenner @ 66/1, & as you say, it'll be dead or a 20/1 goer within the month.