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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16334307 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #48195 on: August 14, 2013, 06:23:06 PM »

I'd ask Shane Warne if he will play and act accordingly. Someone bound to know him in poker well enough

Dubai made a good point though

the price on Harris has gone

If Harris does not play, Siddle shortens a lot

If he does play, Siddle may win the bet anyway

Looks a two way punt to me.

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tikay
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« Reply #48196 on: August 14, 2013, 06:26:40 PM »

4 out of the last 5 years when the Wyndham has been at Sedgefield have produced a hole in one. (last year we won here too)

8/11 paddy 4/6 elsewhere.

Sandy

PS last time i was able to access tipsters on spreadsheet it said, iirc, i had 17 bets but i only get 15 when searching through it although May 2012 looks a bit sparse. 5/6 on hole in ones is that correct ?

Thanks Sandy.

Bugger. Unless I am missing something - more than likely - PP seem to have withdrawn the market.

I cannot bet with SkyBet, & don't have an Account with Betway.

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/wyndham-championship/hole-in-one

Was never on odschecker but was under tournament specials on PP.

Betvictor had it at 4/6 as i recall.

Sandy

Ta.

Still can't see it on PP, but I can get that 4/6 with BetVictor.

If 4/6 is acceptable, we'll get on.
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tikay
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« Reply #48197 on: August 14, 2013, 06:31:17 PM »

I'd ask Shane Warne if he will play and act accordingly. Someone bound to know him in poker well enough

Dubai made a good point though

the price on Harris has gone

If Harris does not play, Siddle shortens a lot

If he does play, Siddle may win the bet anyway

Looks a two way punt to me.



Noted. I cannot find the Market on Oddschecker at present. I'll look again later.

Anyway, tea is ready.
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« Reply #48198 on: August 14, 2013, 06:36:57 PM »

I was looking at the season handicaps after the recent discussion and bet victor seem way out of line for an ew punt on wba..

they have WBA + 36 at 28/1 ( 29/1 when i took it yesterday ) whereas 365 have them at 15/1

over the past 10 years average points for 4th place in the premiership is 68.4....with a high of 76... WBA in the 3 seasons they have been back have averaged 47.6..

They are a good solid team with a good manager in Clarke..have brought in Anelka and Vydra ( who i really like ) up front where they tended to lack..assuming they would, worst case scenario , have to get 77 at the most to finish 4th they would only need to gain 41 points... more likely 71 will do it meaning 35 will get them home..

I say this not that i think the handicap will place them as winners but reaching top 4 seems very realistic with that handicap at 28/1 effectively giving us a 7/1 shot? seems a value bet ? thoughts....

No feedback on this?



they got 49 points last season

Minus Lukaku and his 17 goals and add Anelka and Vydra as I was posting about yesterday

They have spent no money this offseason and Swansea, West Ham, Norwich etc all spent £20m+.

Thats no guarantee that WBA will be worse this campaign but I think the middle reaches of the premier League will be more competitive 

Personally I see them falling back a bit. Anyway lets give them 50 points to be optimistic, plus the 36 point handicap gives them 86 which isn't a top 4 finish on the handicap, in past seasons

That said, BetVictor have a lot of handicap prices minus any overround and 28/1 is certainly a striking price if you were more bullish on them than I am
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tikay
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« Reply #48199 on: August 14, 2013, 06:38:18 PM »

It feels more than likely that Rooney will score tonight. Point to prove, no baggage in Engkand shirt etc.
9/2 @ W Hill, 7/2 Betfair as FGS
Or evens to score anytime on both which is beaten by backing ew at 4/1 with Bet365 at 1/3 odds for any time.
The 4/1 still beats bf although I understand that their price may not be the arbiter in this market.

Suggest £x ew at Bet365 where £10<= x <= £25




Rooney is 5/1 with Betfair (well 4.9/1).  I think you must be looking at their dreadful fixed odds prices in error.  He is about 6/4 to score anytime.  

There may be a slight edge over Betfair by backing him to score first at Hills, as 2nd scorer is a free bet.  The Bet365 price beats neither the first goalscorer and the place price on Betfair.  

Are we suggesting we get on Rooney, as per David, but via Hills with the Concession?

Think it is marginal, but OK.  Edit. Put the £25 on.  

ON, & down to david3103. Thanks Gents.

£25 @ 9/2, Wm Hill, Rooney, FGS v Scotland tonight. If Rooney scores 2nd, (but NOT 1st) we get a £25 Free Bet.

ON


14 Aug 2013 - England v Scotland - First Goalscorer

Tip It

Wayne Rooney @ 9/2

Stake : £25.00


Estimated Returns : £

137.50



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000518/F
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« Reply #48200 on: August 14, 2013, 06:39:17 PM »

I'd ask Shane Warne if he will play and act accordingly. Someone bound to know him in poker well enough

Dubai made a good point though

the price on Harris has gone

If Harris does not play, Siddle shortens a lot

If he does play, Siddle may win the bet anyway

Looks a two way punt to me.



Noted. I cannot find the Market on Oddschecker at present. I'll look again later.

Anyway, tea is ready.

Here is the oddschecker page

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/england-v-australia-%5B5th-test%5D/top-australia-bowler

5/2 Siddle, if Joe and Dave etc want it for the thread

What does Joe B think?
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« Reply #48201 on: August 14, 2013, 06:40:30 PM »

I have been looking through some hefty bunker bets for tomorrow's internationals, but had a look at the correct scores market for the very short priced teams and there doesn't even seem to be much big prices, even for such games as Licheinstein v Croatia, and they are 2/17.

But found some interesting spots for some decent sweats.

Chile have named a pretty strong team for their 'home' game against Iraq tomorrow. Chile very close to qualification for Brazil and Iraq already confirmed no chance of been seen in Brazil. Chile sit in 21st in the rankings, whilst Iraq a lowly 104th. It is of course very likely going to be a Chile win, but by how many? Looking through the other markets for "big wins" on short prices doesn't offer such prices as these ones & I think we have a very good opportunity here. Iraw not been up against a high ranked team for quite a while, lost by the odd goal to the Aussies, twice, however looking at recent results it seems they don't find the net that often, even against teams of a similar quality.

Therefore I recc a small interest in Chile to win 5-0 & 6-0.

5-0 is 40's with Stan James (lol)- 43's with You Win (?)

6-0 is 80's witj Stan James (lol) - 167/2 with YouWin (?)



aaron, this is looking like a great pick but can you please ask Chile to slow down?

After 44mins it is already 4-0!!!

I have a small interest on 5-0 and 6-0 at 40s and 80s thanks to you.

You can bet about 11/4 over 6.5 goals on Betfair as a hedge as I type.
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« Reply #48202 on: August 14, 2013, 06:41:04 PM »

OMG Chile 5-0 after 45 mins
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« Reply #48203 on: August 14, 2013, 06:43:46 PM »

was I the only one that mised the Chile post yesterday?

these things need bumping!
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« Reply #48204 on: August 14, 2013, 06:44:29 PM »

OMG Chile 5-0 after 45 mins

That is so gonna hurt......
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« Reply #48205 on: August 14, 2013, 06:45:15 PM »

I'd ask Shane Warne if he will play and act accordingly. Someone bound to know him in poker well enough

Dubai made a good point though

the price on Harris has gone

If Harris does not play, Siddle shortens a lot

If he does play, Siddle may win the bet anyway

Looks a two way punt to me.



Noted. I cannot find the Market on Oddschecker at present. I'll look again later.

Anyway, tea is ready.

Here is the oddschecker page

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/england-v-australia-%5B5th-test%5D/top-australia-bowler

5/2 Siddle, if Joe and Dave etc want it for the thread

What does Joe B think?

3/1 with Sky and I know you can't take that so I would leave it I think.
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« Reply #48206 on: August 14, 2013, 06:46:53 PM »

I'd ask Shane Warne if he will play and act accordingly. Someone bound to know him in poker well enough

Dubai made a good point though

the price on Harris has gone

If Harris does not play, Siddle shortens a lot

If he does play, Siddle may win the bet anyway

Looks a two way punt to me.



Noted. I cannot find the Market on Oddschecker at present. I'll look again later.

Anyway, tea is ready.

Here is the oddschecker page

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/england-v-australia-%5B5th-test%5D/top-australia-bowler

5/2 Siddle, if Joe and Dave etc want it for the thread

What does Joe B think?

3/1 with Sky and I know you can't take that so I would leave it I think.

Marv......

I just had £40 @ 5/2 with Wm Hill.

I'll keep that off-thread. Stone cold banker now.
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« Reply #48207 on: August 14, 2013, 06:46:59 PM »

Very little money in the market, but >8.5 goals is 7.2
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« Reply #48208 on: August 14, 2013, 06:47:20 PM »

I'l take 11/4 if you wanna lay Siddle Joe?
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« Reply #48209 on: August 14, 2013, 06:47:36 PM »

I am only on for 5-0 and 6-0, so if Chile continue to press I am going to be gutted. I can not seem to get on Betfair, can't work out what is annoying me more! A perfect would have been 4-0, but they knocked one just before like Joe said, leep quiet for 30 mins please Chile!

In other news I like Iceland to win to nil @ 10/11 v Faroes, but I can't do a write up as I am pretty busy trying to get on some ridic scores myself
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