Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Well I wasted £40, but still a great win for us.

[cheapwetsuit]

Here's a nice read before bedtime:

In cycling, the 2013 edition of the Tour of Beijing will likely be decided by tomorrow's mountainous fourth stage (so likely, in fact, that tomorrow's Stage 4 odds are analogous to the GC odds (which I am still waiting on)). Whereas in previous years, the ToB has been mostly a flat affair, the introduction of a "queen stage" has made this year's event one for the climbers. Tomorrow will see the riders tackling a Cat 1, Cat 2 and a Cat 3 climb before dealing with the final 12.6km (ave. gradient 5.7%) grind up to the summit finish of Mentougou Miaofeng mountain.

As a result, the riders fancied by the bookies for the general classification are all very good climbers: Daniel Martin (2/1) is in great form and is one of the top one-day classics riders in the world; Rui Costa (6/1) is the new world champion and has a very strong team behind him; Christophe Riblon (oddly 50/1) won the Alpe d'Huez stage in this year's Tour de France, and Richie Porte (also oddly 50/1) is the obvious successor to Chris Froome at Sky.

There is one very good climber that has seemingly been ignored by the bookies: Benat Intxausti of Movistar. The most likely reason for the long odds (150/1 @ PP; 125/1 @ Bet365) is that he is the teammate of Costa, and is thus expected to ride in support of him. However, there are a few factors that go against Costa as the favoured Movistar rider:

(1) He has just achieved a major goal by winning the World Championships in Florence, and may feel that he has done enough for the year (and for his team's reputation).

(2) This is his last race for Movistar before joining Lampre in 2014 because he felt he did not get enough opportunities under Valverde and Quintana (could possibly act as motivation to show them what they'll be missing, though).

(3) Intxausti is arguably a better climber than Costa: He finished ahead of Majka, Roche and Konig in Stage 20 of the Vuelta (which he rode as a domestique for Valverde), and placed 8th overall in the Giro, including a stage win.

(4) Costa reportedly contracted a cold/flu in the week between the World Championships and the Giro di Lombardia (in which he rode in support of Valverde). Even though he is a top professional, he might be feeling a little burned out.

All the above makes me think that Benat Intxausti for the general classification (in other words, Stage 4) of the Tour of Beijing represents excellent value. I recommend £5 e/w at 150/1 with PP (or 125/1 with Bet365).

[tikay]

Think the Taylor bet was down to marky, he the man, very nice, thanks.

[Marky147]

Taylor probably said 'You can blame Rod for that', when he shook Chisnall's hand

[Snowball]

Its maybe time to reinvest some of these winnings on Taylor to win the Worlds.
Only Bwin and Sky have 2/1 left.
Can see him being 6/4 or below come mid December

Is that a Recommend?

I cant access Bwin at the mo, but Boyles go 15/8.

It'll all be gone as soon as the compilers wake up.

Bwin have went 6/4 anyway.
Yeah take £80 @15/8 for the World Champs.
Their's 2 more Tv Tournaments before it, one of which is a new Tournament with the top 16 involved, Taylor loves to be the first name on a new Trophy and he will take all the beating again.
Surprisingly he's 2/1 for that but without seeing the draw I would leave it at the moment.

[tikay]

Its maybe time to reinvest some of these winnings on Taylor to win the Worlds.
Only Bwin and Sky have 2/1 left.
Can see him being 6/4 or below come mid December

Is that a Recommend?

I cant access Bwin at the mo, but Boyles go 15/8.

It'll all be gone as soon as the compilers wake up.

Bwin have went 6/4 anyway.
Yeah take £80 @15/8 for the World Champs.
Their's 2 more Tv Tournaments before it, one of which is a new Tournament with the top 16 involved, Taylor loves to be the first name on a new Trophy and he will take all the beating again.
Surprisingly he's 2/1 for that but without seeing the draw I would leave it at the moment.

Details later, busy right now, but.....

BET PLACED

[Tal]

For completeness of record, Ben Cohen did not get kicked into touch this week. A good try, though.

Of interest, the bottom weight, Julian Macdonald, survived at the expense of Vanessa Feltz. This should mean the market makes him a big odds on favourite as next to go. He will probably have a ballroom dance next and, I have to say, performed much better in the dance off. He is still not very good, but he might give us room for picking the next to go at a decent price, once we know who's dancing what next week.

I'll ask Tighty to contact his consultant in due course.

[BigAdz]

For completeness of record, Ben Cohen did not get kicked into touch this week. A good try, though.

Of interest, the bottom weight, Julian Macdonald, survived at the expense of Vanessa Feltz. This should mean the market makes him a big odds on favourite as next to go. He will probably have a ballroom dance next and, I have to say, performed much better in the dance off. He is still not very good, but he might give us room for picking the next to go at a decent price, once we know who's dancing what next week.

I'll ask Tighty to contact his consultant in due course.

Ironic. They kept bombed Vanessa on one Novelty show, and saved her on the other!

[tikay]

For completeness of record, Ben Cohen did not get kicked into touch this week. A good try, though.

Of interest, the bottom weight, Julian Macdonald, survived at the expense of Vanessa Feltz. This should mean the market makes him a big odds on favourite as next to go. He will probably have a ballroom dance next and, I have to say, performed much better in the dance off. He is still not very good, but he might give us room for picking the next to go at a decent price, once we know who's dancing what next week.

I'll ask Tighty to contact his consultant in due course.

Wonder who that is?......

[tikay]

Here's a nice read before bedtime:

In cycling, the 2013 edition of the Tour of Beijing will likely be decided by tomorrow's mountainous fourth stage (so likely, in fact, that tomorrow's Stage 4 odds are analogous to the GC odds (which I am still waiting on)). Whereas in previous years, the ToB has been mostly a flat affair, the introduction of a "queen stage" has made this year's event one for the climbers. Tomorrow will see the riders tackling a Cat 1, Cat 2 and a Cat 3 climb before dealing with the final 12.6km (ave. gradient 5.7%) grind up to the summit finish of Mentougou Miaofeng mountain.

As a result, the riders fancied by the bookies for the general classification are all very good climbers: Daniel Martin (2/1) is in great form and is one of the top one-day classics riders in the world; Rui Costa (6/1) is the new world champion and has a very strong team behind him; Christophe Riblon (oddly 50/1) won the Alpe d'Huez stage in this year's Tour de France, and Richie Porte (also oddly 50/1) is the obvious successor to Chris Froome at Sky.

There is one very good climber that has seemingly been ignored by the bookies: Benat Intxausti of Movistar. The most likely reason for the long odds (150/1 @ PP; 125/1 @ Bet365) is that he is the teammate of Costa, and is thus expected to ride in support of him. However, there are a few factors that go against Costa as the favoured Movistar rider:

(1) He has just achieved a major goal by winning the World Championships in Florence, and may feel that he has done enough for the year (and for his team's reputation).

(2) This is his last race for Movistar before joining Lampre in 2014 because he felt he did not get enough opportunities under Valverde and Quintana (could possibly act as motivation to show them what they'll be missing, though).

(3) Intxausti is arguably a better climber than Costa: He finished ahead of Majka, Roche and Konig in Stage 17 of the Vuelta (which he rode as a domestique for Valverde), and placed 8th overall in the Giro, including a stage win.

(4) Costa reportedly contracted a cold/flu in the week betwen the World Championships and the Giro di Lombardia (in which he rode in support of Valverde). Even though he is a top professional, he might be feeling a little burned out.

All the above makes me think that Benat Intxausti for the general classification (in other words, Stage 4) of the Tour of Beijing represents excellent value. I recommend £5 e/w at 150/1 with PP (or 125/1 with Bet365).

A thing of beauty, thank you. We got restricted to a comical degree with both, but still worth it, thanks.

Details later.

BETS PLACED

[tikay]

My three written up yesterday included Baltimore+3

Of Neil's, we have Jacksonville covered

Baltimore is his biggest tip, so makes sense to do that

Kukushkin was sweet on the Houston unders on the NFL thread earlier

suggest those two if you are perming a couple

Amazingly, Paddy Power, my only opton for the Ravens @ +3, would have permitted me up to....£203!  


BETS PLACED

One loser, & one winner - just!

Small profit, but I'll take that, happy.

[tikay]

First quarter, Broncos lead the Jags 14-0.

[superwomble]

Here's a nice read before bedtime:

In cycling, the 2013 edition of the Tour of Beijing will likely be decided by tomorrow's mountainous fourth stage (so likely, in fact, that tomorrow's Stage 4 odds are analogous to the GC odds (which I am still waiting on)). Whereas in previous years, the ToB has been mostly a flat affair, the introduction of a "queen stage" has made this year's event one for the climbers. Tomorrow will see the riders tackling a Cat 1, Cat 2 and a Cat 3 climb before dealing with the final 12.6km (ave. gradient 5.7%) grind up to the summit finish of Mentougou Miaofeng mountain.

As a result, the riders fancied by the bookies for the general classification are all very good climbers: Daniel Martin (2/1) is in great form and is one of the top one-day classics riders in the world; Rui Costa (6/1) is the new world champion and has a very strong team behind him; Christophe Riblon (oddly 50/1) won the Alpe d'Huez stage in this year's Tour de France, and Richie Porte (also oddly 50/1) is the obvious successor to Chris Froome at Sky.

There is one very good climber that has seemingly been ignored by the bookies: Benat Intxausti of Movistar. The most likely reason for the long odds (150/1 @ PP; 125/1 @ Bet365) is that he is the teammate of Costa, and is thus expected to ride in support of him. However, there are a few factors that go against Costa as the favoured Movistar rider:

(1) He has just achieved a major goal by winning the World Championships in Florence, and may feel that he has done enough for the year (and for his team's reputation).

(2) This is his last race for Movistar before joining Lampre in 2014 because he felt he did not get enough opportunities under Valverde and Quintana (could possibly act as motivation to show them what they'll be missing, though).

(3) Intxausti is arguably a better climber than Costa: He finished ahead of Majka, Roche and Konig in Stage 17 of the Vuelta (which he rode as a domestique for Valverde), and placed 8th overall in the Giro, including a stage win.

(4) Costa reportedly contracted a cold/flu in the week betwen the World Championships and the Giro di Lombardia (in which he rode in support of Valverde). Even though he is a top professional, he might be feeling a little burned out.

All the above makes me think that Benat Intxausti for the general classification (in other words, Stage 4) of the Tour of Beijing represents excellent value. I recommend £5 e/w at 150/1 with PP (or 125/1 with Bet365).

A thing of beauty, thank you. We got restricted to a comical degree with both, but still worth it, thanks.

Details later.

BETS PLACED

50/1 now - Fred moves markets!

[Horneris]

50/1 now - Fred moves markets!

money moves markets sonnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

[horseplayer]

board meeting at cardiff tommorow could be interesting

"Cardiff City boss Malky Mackay's camp speak out and warn: 'Club must tell fans the full story, or Malky will'"