Tips for Tikay

[aaron1867]

I posted the St Gallen bet earlier at them to beat Valencia was best 7's in three places, now only 7's with Tote and now only 5's with Hills, no good for free bet and the 5's DNB gone, 9/2 with Sky, so definitely no good at the moment.

Thinking 7's with Tote is very good if we can get on.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/valencia-v-st-gallen/winner

[tikay]

I like the tennis bet Hector, a tennis tipster I follow on twitter also highlighted this game today as a bet, i'm just getting around to betting it now and thought i'd point out its available to back at 3.8 on betfair for anyone else who hasn't yet got on.

Game now scheduled for a 3.15 start.

[aaron1867]

I can't work out if it's worth a recc or not, there isn't significant value in the market here, as the others are generally the same, but most was evs-11/10, now an hour after, some prices are odds on. The 6/5 is with Stan James though & I am pretty sure we are limited there, but the 23/20 with Laddies is fair enough too. Would probably say upto £25, but I think best to be discussed to see whether it is a bet or not

Nor can I!

See my previous reply to you - I still don't know what bet you are suggesting, & on whom.

BTTS, Swansea to win to Nil, Over/Under something?

I was suggesting Swansea "to win to nil" at 6/5.

We definitely need more views at the moment!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/swansea-v-kuban-krasnodar/to-win-to-nil

[tikay]

Swansea at home to Kuban tonight.

Swansea played two, won two.

Kuban played two, lost two.

Swansea scored 4, conceeded 0

Kuban scored 0, conceeded 4.

Everything points to a Swansea win here and they are priced generally at 1/2.

Looked further into stats & in two games Kuban have had 2 shots on target against St Gallen & Valenica and now up against what looks like the best team in the group in Swansea and offer little attacking threat.

6/5 in one place, been tucked in, in numerous laces to odds on now.

Is this the bet you are referring to?

It does not say what 6/5 is for, as far as I can see?

[tikay]

I can't work out if it's worth a recc or not, there isn't significant value in the market here, as the others are generally the same, but most was evs-11/10, now an hour after, some prices are odds on. The 6/5 is with Stan James though & I am pretty sure we are limited there, but the 23/20 with Laddies is fair enough too. Would probably say upto £25, but I think best to be discussed to see whether it is a bet or not

Nor can I!

See my previous reply to you - I still don't know what bet you are suggesting, & on whom.

BTTS, Swansea to win to Nil, Over/Under something?

I was suggesting Swansea "to win to nil" at 6/5.

We definitely need more views at the moment!

Ahh, thanks. None of your three Posts said that.

Comments needed by others, please.

I don't know what "we need more views" means, either, sorry.

[tikay]

could not find anything for the free bet tikay better than what i have suggested

did however spot a couple of cypriots i have had very small bets on in the lazio game

Georgios Vasiliou at 28/1 with 365 eway

Marios Stylianou at 33/1 with 365 eway

both play in attacking midfield roles (from what i can gather) and the cypriots are not quite as bad as odds for this match suggest (started fine in this)

both best price, unlikely both play if so money back

had very small bets here

OK, will look it up & get on.

Those FGS things on the Lazio game are just thinking out loud, not recommendations, right?

[Marky147]

could not find anything for the free bet tikay better than what i have suggested

did however spot a couple of cypriots i have had very small bets on in the lazio game

Georgios Vasiliou at 28/1 with 365 eway

Marios Stylianou at 33/1 with 365 eway

both play in attacking midfield roles (from what i can gather) and the cypriots are not quite as bad as odds for this match suggest (started fine in this)

both best price, unlikely both play if so money back

had very small bets here

OK, will look it up & get on.

Those FGS things on the Lazio game are just thinking out loud, not recommendations, right?

Max e/w

[Kmac84]

Suggestion for the Free Bet - one of Scott's dogs for the overall in the Olympian?  I have read a few articles by him through seeing links on here and feel the bets are often well thought out and researched.  Should provide a good sweat and possible return and may even create a trading position.

It feels to me like some of these FGS are just a stick a pin in it. Sorry to those suggesting such bets but its not very often these are good value bets.  The E/W bets however are clear value when the maths have been worked out.  

[tikay]

possible free bet usage

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/wigan-v-rubin-kazan/first-goalscorer

Gökdeniz Karadeniz is one of my favourite veteran attacking players nobody with a life has heard of

He plays a little bit more of a bit part with Rubin these days but has played both europa games so far so i presume he will start tonight versus Wigan

Hills are 11/1 first scorer which is joint top price (ignoring skybet) 10.5/1 on betfair though nothing matched so cant use that as a guide

Certainly not a rick or anything, if anybody suggests something they are strong on please use it for that not this

Well done John, if nothing else comes along, we'll do that to use the Free Bet.

I will have another scour of the europa league tonight to see if i can find anything else similar/better

I have now had to leave this, John - our Wm Hill FREE BET, which was the purpose of the bet really, is not there any more. It WAS there earlier today, this morning, I checked it. I can only assume it has expired.

Bugger.

Incidentally, if we are still interested, he is 12/1 with BetVictor, 2 points better than Wm Hill.

[tikay]

Suggestion for the Free Bet - one of Scott's dogs for the overall in the Olympian?  I have read a few articles by him through seeing links on here and feel the bets are often well thought out and researched.  Should provide a good sweat and possible return and may even create a trading position.

It feels to me like some of these FGS are just a stick a pin in it. Sorry to those suggesting such bets but its not very often these are good value bets.  The E/W bets however are clear value when the maths have been worked out.  

Sadly, it looks like I allowed the Free Bet to expire, see my previous Post.

Scott's suggestions are always first class, we follow him blind when he finds something strong enough for a Recommend, but he only does so rarely, with "top" value suggestions. This applies to Greyhounds, & MMA stuff.

Can't say I agree with your (Win only) FGS comments. They are big prices, so increased variance, but I'd say we are well in profit on them. The EW ones, of course, or the ones we do, are almost printing money, but the ideal scenarios are far & few between, & we get badly restricted.

[Doobs]

It can't have expired, it was from Saturday.  Mine is still there.  Give me 5 mins.

[tikay]

It can't have expired, it was from Saturday.  Mine is still there.  Give me 5 mins.

Ha! It IS there now. Apologies.

We will go with the horsey FGS suggestion in the Lazio game unless something else comes up.

No idea what happened there, it was not showing when I logged in on the lappie, but it is showing on a Mobile. Usually it shows on both.

[tikay]

possible free bet usage

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/wigan-v-rubin-kazan/first-goalscorer

Gökdeniz Karadeniz is one of my favourite veteran attacking players nobody with a life has heard of

He plays a little bit more of a bit part with Rubin these days but has played both europa games so far so i presume he will start tonight versus Wigan

Hills are 11/1 first scorer which is joint top price (ignoring skybet) 10.5/1 on betfair though nothing matched so cant use that as a guide

Certainly not a rick or anything, if anybody suggests something they are strong on please use it for that not this

FREE BET PLACED.

£25 @ 11/1, Wm Hill.

[Doobs]

Think we could use if to back Our Conor for the Champion Hurdle in March.  

Hurricane Fly has been the best hurler for a few years, but is now 9 and that is old for the best hurdler.  In addition he is not far ahead of the best novices and they could all improve past him.  The New One has already been out and was hugely impressive, but I think horses pretty much always get overrated if they do this first time out.  His opposition may just have been underprepared and they think Rock on Ruby wasn't 100%.  I think 4/1 is likely a false price.  My Tent or Yours was rated 2 pounds higher than ours by Timeform but he didn't appear to have much resolution going up the Cheltenham hill last year.  I know he redeemed himself after, but it leaves a doubt in my mind.

On to Our Conor, he thrashed everything in last year's Triumph.  Triumph winners have a bad record in the Champion, but this one is clearly exceptional.  Combined this with an ageing champion and no older rivals that were as good as him, I think we have a bet.  The price on offer is the same as Betfair, though it is possible you could get better if you asked.

Free bet, Our Conor Champion Hurdle 5/1.

[Doobs]

possible free bet usage

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/wigan-v-rubin-kazan/first-goalscorer

Gökdeniz Karadeniz is one of my favourite veteran attacking players nobody with a life has heard of

He plays a little bit more of a bit part with Rubin these days but has played both europa games so far so i presume he will start tonight versus Wigan

Hills are 11/1 first scorer which is joint top price (ignoring skybet) 10.5/1 on betfair though nothing matched so cant use that as a guide

Certainly not a rick or anything, if anybody suggests something they are strong on please use it for that not this

FREE BET PLACED.

£25 @ 11/1, Wm Hill.

Sigh.  Need to put my kids in a cage sometimes!