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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16420687 times)
Doobs
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Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79800 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:01:30 PM »
Quote from: kpnuts on June 12, 2014, 01:54:11 PM
Quote from: Doobs on June 12, 2014, 01:37:55 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 12, 2014, 10:07:14 AM
A reminder
we have 3 x £5 free bets on the Brazil world cup group games, one per game
(O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206 £5.00 (O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206 Terms and conditions
the "use by" is as follows
2014-06-12 23:30
so
correct scores, first goalscorers, long shots
let me have them please for tonight, and it looks like the next two games too with an expiry before midnight
2-1 Brazil is top priced 11/1 with the sportsbook. It is the right sort of price for a freebet and just about beats the exchange too (11.5/12 and you don't pay commission). Likely to get a decent sweat on it too.
N.B. Free Bet tokens valid for First Goalscorer and ANYTIME Correct Score markets only.
The latter is a market that seems to be unique to Betfair Sportsbook, it's not the traditional Correct Score mkt.
Brazil 2-1 is currently 24/5 on this. Reckon FGS the way to go for these tokens, not least as it's remarkably difficult to find the Anytime Correct Score mkt!
ah ffs, Oscar is top priced 9/1, scores nearly 1 game in 3. He isn't that close to the exchange, but none of them are and the other obvious goalscorers are shorter. Who knows where that other market is. Given up, it is just a fiver, and am guessing the obscure market is likely terrible value.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79801 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:03:04 PM »
Brazil v Croatia
10/1
£55.00
Paulinho
First Goalscorer
£5.00 (O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206
Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000039
free bet.
they don't make it easy.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79802 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:03:30 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 12, 2014, 01:59:14 PM
Free Bet tokens valid for First Goalscorer and ANYTIME Correct Score markets only.
ten minutes trying to establish this with support
five minutes trying to find it
£5 spent first on 2-1 and wondering why it wasn't a free bet
each token is valid 48 hours before each group game
so
deep breath
a first scorer for tonight, has to be better value than anytime correct score
i am going to do Paulinho, just for old times sake, 10/1...and then cross this off the to do list.
Sorry about that, guess I won't be the only one caught out. 1/100 that was deliberate
edit and that 2-1 isn't a bad bet as it is bang on exchange, just not a
good
bet.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79803 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:04:55 PM »
note to self
2 x £5 free bets brazil v mexico, brazil v cameroon
tues 17th, mon 23rd, in account from 15th and 21st
FGS and anytime correct score only
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
rfgqqabc
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Posts: 5371
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79804 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:08:06 PM »
Anybody tell me why/where to get on Ivory Coast vs Japan? Ive been getting on the over 2.5 @ 6/4 but it seems to have disappeared off oddschecker, despite every other market being up.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
kpnuts
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Posts: 322
KP Nuts: All Hat, No Cattle
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79805 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:12:50 PM »
Quote from: rfgqqabc on June 12, 2014, 02:08:06 PM
Anybody tell me why/where to get on Ivory Coast vs Japan? Ive been getting on the over 2.5 @ 6/4 but it seems to have disappeared off oddschecker, despite every other market being up.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/ivory-coast-v-japan/total-goals
seems to be still a bitta 6/4 @ chorral
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@kpnuts134
rfgqqabc
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Posts: 5371
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79806 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:18:31 PM »
Quote from: kpnuts on June 12, 2014, 02:12:50 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on June 12, 2014, 02:08:06 PM
Anybody tell me why/where to get on Ivory Coast vs Japan? Ive been getting on the over 2.5 @ 6/4 but it seems to have disappeared off oddschecker, despite every other market being up.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/ivory-coast-v-japan/total-goals
seems to be still a bitta 6/4 @ chorral
GG online betting for me
thanks a lot
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
Marky147
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Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79807 on:
June 12, 2014, 02:36:13 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 12, 2014, 09:29:07 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on June 11, 2014, 11:29:10 PM
My long shot bets that I would like you to add to the world cup list...I posted it a few weeks ago on The World Cup thread after The Ecuador Match
I noticed tonight that Cahill and Jagielka went up for every corner/set piece and obv both scored
England are in a difficult group D and are favourites with the bookies not to progress so if that is the case they would only play 3 games so an odd goal could decide the Top England goalscorer market .
Historically these markets have quite often resulted in dead / joint dead heats so with our two first choice centre halves priced at 40 and 80-1 respectively they could be worth a small punt at fancy prices.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/england/top-goalscorer
Seen as though I dont post on here often I would like you to bet
£20 Cahill @40-1 and £20 Jags @80-1 Top England Goalscorer
any other opinions on this
personally, i really struggle with thinking either are "value"
needs a perfect storm of events
- england go out
- england score very few goals only
- and even then you are possibly only hoping for a dead heat
- we're assuming both go up for corners
- there won't be too many corners in the manaus game anyway?
that said, cahill has 3 in 24 caps, and is a 1 in 10 man over 330 club games
Jagielka has 2 in 26 caps and is a 1 goal in 15 man over 550 club games
personally, i think i'd be wanting better than 40 or 80-1 over a 3-5 game stretch which is what this will be
but if the thread wants the bets on, i will put them on
see what the consensus suggests...
Are you writing for Sporting Life, Fraser?
One of their guys has just put Jagielka up, and said that Cahill was the other he liked
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sonour
Hero Member
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Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79808 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:01:25 PM »
Croatia to kick off first tonight 1.9
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/brazil-v-croatia/team-to-kick-off
I have been told that the away team have kicked off first every year since 1990. Don't know how to find out if that is true.
Any help would be much appreciated.
Not available with any bookies with shops. Grrrrrr
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Marky147
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Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79809 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:05:22 PM »
Laddies going 20/1 - Neymar Top GS from kickoff until 1st goal tonight
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Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79810 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:08:50 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on June 12, 2014, 02:36:13 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 12, 2014, 09:29:07 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on June 11, 2014, 11:29:10 PM
My long shot bets that I would like you to add to the world cup list...I posted it a few weeks ago on The World Cup thread after The Ecuador Match
I noticed tonight that Cahill and Jagielka went up for every corner/set piece and obv both scored
England are in a difficult group D and are favourites with the bookies not to progress so if that is the case they would only play 3 games so an odd goal could decide the Top England goalscorer market .
Historically these markets have quite often resulted in dead / joint dead heats so with our two first choice centre halves priced at 40 and 80-1 respectively they could be worth a small punt at fancy prices.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/england/top-goalscorer
Seen as though I dont post on here often I would like you to bet
£20 Cahill @40-1 and £20 Jags @80-1 Top England Goalscorer
any other opinions on this
personally, i really struggle with thinking either are "value"
needs a perfect storm of events
- england go out
- england score very few goals only
- and even then you are possibly only hoping for a dead heat
- we're assuming both go up for corners
- there won't be too many corners in the manaus game anyway?
that said, cahill has 3 in 24 caps, and is a 1 in 10 man over 330 club games
Jagielka has 2 in 26 caps and is a 1 goal in 15 man over 550 club games
personally, i think i'd be wanting better than 40 or 80-1 over a 3-5 game stretch which is what this will be
but if the thread wants the bets on, i will put them on
see what the consensus suggests...
Are you writing for Sporting Life, Fraser?
One of their guys has just put Jagielka up, and said that Cahill was the other he liked
Is this a better FGS bet in the first match? Italy going to live up to the stereotype and be tough to break down? So we are more likely to score from a set piece? Cahill is 40/1 for that too, and this bet can pay out even if England qualify and he only has to score the one. Even if we fail to qualify we could still get 3 or 4 in the last group match? 40/1 is available in a few spots.
Any thoughts?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Waz1892
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Posts: 2377
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79811 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:32:36 PM »
Wow!!! Fabregas signed for chelsea!!
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Carpe Diem
Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79812 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:44:05 PM »
Quote from: Waz1892 on June 12, 2014, 04:32:36 PM
Wow!!! Fabregas signed for chelsea!!
Wenger bashing starts in 3...2...1...
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Chompy
Hero Member
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Posts: 11503
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79813 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:44:19 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on June 12, 2014, 04:05:22 PM
Laddies going 20/1 - Neymar Top GS from kickoff until 1st goal tonight
Max bet?
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5371
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #79814 on:
June 12, 2014, 04:45:43 PM »
Given the choice between one game only and the whole England campaign at the same price, I don't see how we can even consider the long term bet.
£10er Chomps.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
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