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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16350752 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #80025 on: June 14, 2014, 02:58:43 PM »

btw, Sky Sport Italia saying Buffon is out of tonight's game. Sirigu expected to start in goal. England being backed in favouritism
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« Reply #80026 on: June 14, 2014, 03:01:19 PM »

Asian Handicaps help please

On PP, Uruguay -1 is 2.29.  On BF, it's 1.83.

Is PP -1 different from BF's, have I missed something or is this a pretty decent arb opportunity?
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« Reply #80027 on: June 14, 2014, 03:08:50 PM »

Asian Handicaps help please

On PP, Uruguay -1 is 2.29.  On BF, it's 1.83.

Is PP -1 different from BF's, have I missed something or is this a pretty decent arb opportunity?

Highly likely Paddy's is a 3 way hcap -1 which is effectively -1.5 as you lose if they win by 1 whereas on asian it would be a push and you get your money back.  I haven't looked but the price being 50 spots different would imply as much.
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« Reply #80028 on: June 14, 2014, 03:09:34 PM »

does anyone have a coral shop coupon?  Are they 11/5 on the coupon for england?  They were 11/5 this morning in the post.
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« Reply #80029 on: June 14, 2014, 03:13:02 PM »

Asian Handicaps help please

On PP, Uruguay -1 is 2.29.  On BF, it's 1.83.

Is PP -1 different from BF's, have I missed something or is this a pretty decent arb opportunity?

Highly likely Paddy's is a 3 way hcap -1 which is effectively -1.5 as you lose if they win by 1 whereas on asian it would be a push and you get your money back.  I haven't looked but the price being 50 spots different would imply as much.

Ah, that makes sense, thank you
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« Reply #80030 on: June 14, 2014, 03:15:50 PM »

 Recommend Uruguay to win both halves £20 max with Coral @ 3-1 (4.0). 2.36 on bf and other best price is sky at 11/8. Not only do I think it's a good bet at the price maths wise but it's been tipped on talk sport and twitter a few times that I've heard. Pretty much everyone saying there's not much to Costa Rica. As Coral are doing the special offer unless there are reasons not to or disagreements from others I think Fred should bet it. Thoughts?
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« Reply #80031 on: June 14, 2014, 03:20:23 PM »

Jim Proudfoot ‏@JimProudfoot  4m
Italian colleagues reporting Buffon is out. Sirigu not guaranteed to replace him because of rib injury. Could be uncapped Mattia Perin #ENG

Just posted on Twitter by Jim Proudfoot.
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« Reply #80032 on: June 14, 2014, 03:21:26 PM »

Le Mans update:

Just in & missed the start. Porsche has lost one car, fortunately it's not #20.

Hour in & #20 running 6th, lost time in the pit stop apparently.

Crucial period is generally at dusk & dawn, so plenty of time for everything to change.
« Last Edit: June 14, 2014, 03:23:00 PM by Tonji » Logged

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« Reply #80033 on: June 14, 2014, 03:22:06 PM »

Recommend Uruguay to win both halves £20 max with Coral @ 3-1 (4.0). 2.36 on bf and other best price is sky at 11/8. Not only do I think it's a good bet at the price maths wise but it's been tipped on talk sport and twitter a few times that I've heard. Pretty much everyone saying there's not much to Costa Rica. As Coral are doing the special offer unless there are reasons not to or disagreements from others I think Fred should bet it. Thoughts?

I think you're mixed up with win both halves/half time full time.
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« Reply #80034 on: June 14, 2014, 03:28:40 PM »

Recommend Uruguay to win both halves £20 max with Coral @ 3-1 (4.0). 2.36 on bf and other best price is sky at 11/8. Not only do I think it's a good bet at the price maths wise but it's been tipped on talk sport and twitter a few times that I've heard. Pretty much everyone saying there's not much to Costa Rica. As Coral are doing the special offer unless there are reasons not to or disagreements from others I think Fred should bet it. Thoughts?

Doesn't sound bad, but is 3.85/4 on Betfair.   Not saying it is bad, it seems reasonable and if I hadn't just bet on the 1/2, I'd probably do it. Skuy prob mugging.

But...Surely if a bet is tipped up "everywhere", then we should look to get on the other side? Certainly would be a negative for me when looking for value.  I know nothing of Talksport World Cup tips, but if I were to make a guess if they were worth listening to or not, I don't think that would be a positive either.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #80035 on: June 14, 2014, 03:45:59 PM »

If you have a Betfair Sportsbook account they are currently way out in front with the price of Yaya T scoring anytime at 5.5.

Everything I am reading is that he is fit to start but you could wait until after the England match to place this bet

As an additional sweetner, Betfair Sportsbook are offering free bets on losing bets o £25 if certain 'triggers' are met. I think this will be a high-scoring affair with IC strong in attack and weak in defence so suggest the refund trigger to be Drogba scoring first (If Drog doesn't start then it will revert to both teams scoring and Japan winning).

What do people think of a small wager on this? If you do it you must click through, choosing your trigger free bet option.


Do you Know if Yaya Plays  advanced for IC or will he hold more to counter Honda/Okazaki etc?

No, I don't know but they'd be mad not to have him roaming around the box with his EPL goals this season...
« Last Edit: June 14, 2014, 04:08:17 PM by DropTheHammer » Logged
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« Reply #80036 on: June 14, 2014, 04:02:58 PM »

Japan vs Ivory Coast. Betfair sportsbook standout evens both teams to score worth £50. Plenty of money matched at ~1.91.
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« Reply #80037 on: June 14, 2014, 04:11:19 PM »

Coral coupon 7/4
Auto bet machine 8/5 lol
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« Reply #80038 on: June 14, 2014, 04:20:44 PM »

There's some long Fifa Man of The Match Award prices on players not expected to start in the England vs Italy game. Marco Veratti is expected to start and possibly in a more advanced CM role than the defensive role he occupies for PSG.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/england-v-italy/fifa-man-of-the-match

There's some 40-1 if we can get a few quid on with Uneed to bet, we can pass on the general prices of 20's.

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« Reply #80039 on: June 14, 2014, 04:31:28 PM »

Cuadrado fgs @ 14's
Anytime 11/2

Both with coral.

Will play wide right but had tendency to find him self in central areas with Fiorentina. Played a few games in the false 9 for them too.

On phone if you can get a better price do it.
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