Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Come on. Strokes Jam-es ante Post Tickets!

What does that mean, Rich?

Am a bit out of touch at the mo.

Ahh, sussed it - James Rodriguez?

[TightEnd]

Yes. Clutching some 100/1 ew golden Boot and 100/1 Player of tournament. A long shit still but giving a lot of fun

[Tal]

Yes. Clutching some 100/1 ew golden Boot and 100/1 Player of tournament. A long shit still but giving a lot of fun

TMI

Some people will post from anywhere

[tikay]

A long shit still but giving a lot of fun

Always most satisfying.

Good luck.

[Tal]

Tighty, he's scored again!

Tighty?

[Doobs]

just wondering on the optimal time to plunge on the argies ew at 4/1.  It's a bit of a risk/reward game going as late as possible wihtout losing the 4/1 1/2 1,2 place terms

You can't leave it much later, most are now 1/3 first 2 places

[Nico29]

I've just added Dan Smith@50/1 with sadblokes, to my big one for one drop potfolio.

He just chopped the 100k re-entry at the Bellagio for $2 million.

Sounds like he's going to be playing.

Def very dece value in a 56 runner field, pretty sure the market has not correctly adjusted to his tweet.


Dan Smith ‏@dansmithholla

Chopped 4 handed for a bit over 2 million! Will be firing extra big on one drop #nohoots

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £857.02

Outstanding Bets £2720.45

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=25

A loss of £221 yesterday

the sole profit was the Brazil/Colombia "to qualify" win double at just over evens for a profit of £54

Click to see full-size image.

Scolari: “Neymar loves football. He took the penalty as if it were a penalty in a pick-up game in Santos with his friends.’’

Click to see full-size image.

losers

Kingston Hill a non-runner in the Irish Derby, very unsatisfactory all round (Irish Derby - $1.7 million race. 5 horses. Same trainer with three including 1/9 favorite ) for -£200

Click to see full-size image.

In the world cup

-£25 Cavani top Uruguayan goalscorer. He scored 1 in 4 games, Suarez 2 in 2 and chasing one last night for the dead heat we had to watch him parked on the left wing for much of second half. Great.

-£20 Vargas top Chile goalscorer, Alexis Sanchez's goal yesterday denied us a dead heat on that one

-£10 Vargas golden boot

-£20 Alexis Sanchez top whoscored.com tournament rating, lost with Chile's exit

Click to see full-size image.

longer term

- Neither Neymar or Jackson Martinez advanced their goal total for the golden boot, but at least both made it through. James now as short as 2/1 for the golden boot with 5 in 4 games

'Thanks for having been born in Colombia,' said the Colombian commentator as James left the pitch.

Click to see full-size image.

- Federer and Nadal made it to the last 16 at Wimbledon. Federer now to play Robredo and Nadal the 19 year old Aussie to Watch Nick Krygios

Click to see full-size image.

- Lisicki leads Ivanovic 6-4 1-1 in the last 16, to be completed on Monday. So far, so...



- In cricket Yorkshire failed to chase 143 on a murky T20 blast day at Trent Bridge, which is frustrating

- In baseball the Royals, Orioles and Yankees all lost yesterday. In the AL central the Royals are now 4 games behind the tigers having led the division a week ago. In the  AL East the Orioles are a game behind the Blue Jays for the division lead. The Yankees record is 41-38 very close to half way through the season. We need less than 87 wins or <53.7%, currently running at 51.9%

 

[TightEnd]

I've just added Dan Smith@50/1 with sadblokes, to my big one for one drop potfolio.

He just chopped the 100k re-entry at the Bellagio for $2 million.

Sounds like he's going to be playing.

Def very dece value in a 56 runner field, pretty sure the market has not correctly adjusted to his tweet.


Dan Smith ‏@dansmithholla

Chopped 4 handed for a bit over 2 million! Will be firing extra big on one drop #nohoots

restricted, but still its £100 worth winning

Dan Smith
2014 World Series of Poker - The Big One for One Drop
Singles - Tournament Winner
1 line @ £2.00 per line
50/1
Total Stake £2.00
Potential Return £102.00
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000633

[TightEnd]

currently quoted 50-1 or above by Ladbrokes in a 56 runner field for the 1 drop are...

Eugene Katchalov 50/1
Dan Smith 50/1
Bertrand ''ElkY'' Grospellier 50/1
Martin Jacobson 50/1
Ryan Riess 50/1
Yevgeniy Timoshenko 66/1
Patrik Antonius 66/1
Michael McDonald 66/1
Jonathan Duhamel 80/1
Paul Phua 80/1
Bill Perkins 80/1
Ben Lamb 80/1
Todd Brunson 100/1
Justin Smith 100/1
Dominik Panka 100/1
Michael Mizrachi 100/1
Albert Daher 100/1
Matt Glantz 100/1
Robert Mizrachi 100/1
Kent Lundmark 100/1

[Bad Beat]

 Dan Smith, Paul Phua and Bill Perkins are the only ones that I would guess have more than a 10% chance of playing there and the latter two are at least 50/1 even if they play (both prob will).

 Dan Smith great value.

[Mark_Porter]

Perkins is confirmed. 125/1 is still there with bv.

[Nico29]

Yeah Neil's right, Duhamel for example has tweeted he's at a wedding this wknd and def not playing.

Course sads will leave such dead money in and hope to pick up our money.

How lovely of them.

[Mark_Porter]

Perkins is confirmed. 125/1 is still there with bv.

Ignore. Can't see him on the official list on the one drop site anymore. Strange as he was definitely confirmed a while ago

[Bad Beat]

 Connor Drinan and Eric Lindgren were the two satellite winners at the Rio. The Bellagio had a $100k with re-entry that got a shitload of runners and Dan Smith officially won that although really Jason Mercier, Jason Somerville and Tom Marchese chopped it with him for $1.6m each. Mercier was already in but not sure about JS or TM. Would happily take 50/1 any of these people and 40/1 some of them if I knew they were playing.

 Betfair have a market with some liquidity but they need a nudge to add a few of these.