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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13331944 times)
Tal
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« Reply #84630 on: August 04, 2014, 04:37:46 PM »

Seems fairly clear to me you're on the same page, here. Just expressing it in very different ways. Really is no need for it to descend further. We should reserve the disagreements for when there is actually a disagreement.

Next case, please.

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BigAdz
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« Reply #84631 on: August 04, 2014, 04:46:20 PM »

Get Tal on the next plane to Israel.


One way would be perfect. Wink
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
sonour
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« Reply #84632 on: August 04, 2014, 04:53:19 PM »

Just because we can't get on at betfair at the right price because of bad liquidity and/or paying 5% commission doesn't mean we have to take a virtual certain negative ev place bet on bad ew terms.  I can't imagine any on course bookie not being willing to offer 1/5 123 on a 10 runner hcap which is 3/1 the field.  They would be positively shouting 'win or each way' to drum up ew bets.  There is a reason for this.  Because every single ew bet they lay will be massively in their favour and not the punters.  They are not so keen to shout 'win or each way' on certain other races.  If we think the horse is a bet at 9/1 that's great just have twice as much on the win at 9/1 and avoid giving a big % of your win edge back to the bookie by giving him the edge on the place part of the bet.

Please don't patronise me anymore

I am well aware of the shape of a bad each way race im sure whatever accounts are left will last a long time if bets suggested in those events.

I will stick to the racing thread from now on methinks

cheers


Please keep posting on this thread.

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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #84633 on: August 04, 2014, 04:58:41 PM »

Anyone know why Nairo Quintana is currently 200/1 at Bet364+1 to win the Vuelta? Palp? If he's pulled out, Aru becomes a good each-way bet.
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Nico29
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« Reply #84634 on: August 04, 2014, 05:02:12 PM »

Just because we can't get on at betfair at the right price because of bad liquidity and/or paying 5% commission doesn't mean we have to take a virtual certain negative ev place bet on bad ew terms.  I can't imagine any on course bookie not being willing to offer 1/5 123 on a 10 runner hcap which is 3/1 the field.  They would be positively shouting 'win or each way' to drum up ew bets.  There is a reason for this.  Because every single ew bet they lay will be massively in their favour and not the punters.  They are not so keen to shout 'win or each way' on certain other races.  If we think the horse is a bet at 9/1 that's great just have twice as much on the win at 9/1 and avoid giving a big % of your win edge back to the bookie by giving him the edge on the place part of the bet.

Please don't patronise me anymore

I am well aware of the shape of a bad each way race im sure whatever accounts are left will last a long time if bets suggested in those events.

I will stick to the racing thread from now on methinks

cheers



Don't do that mate. Your input is always greatly valued on here.

Think doobs has summed it up perfectly imo.
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Tal
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« Reply #84635 on: August 04, 2014, 05:20:50 PM »

Get Tal on the next plane to Israel.


One way would be perfect. Wink

Ban!
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Kmac84
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« Reply #84636 on: August 04, 2014, 05:37:01 PM »

Get Tal on the next plane to Israel.


One way would be perfect. Wink

Is that a tap in for someone?
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arbboy
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« Reply #84637 on: August 04, 2014, 05:41:38 PM »

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2715500/Brace-Showers-interrupt-Britains-summer-Wednesday-week-country-hit-tail-end-Atlantic-tropical-storm-Bertha.html

Good news for the weather bet.
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Tal
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« Reply #84638 on: August 04, 2014, 06:00:23 PM »

Get Tal on the next plane to Israel.


One way would be perfect. Wink

Is that a tap in for someone?

Feel free to expand...

I'm being swooshed, I think. Or are you trying to get Adz on the same 'plane? If so, no dice; court order and all that.
« Last Edit: August 04, 2014, 06:06:21 PM by Tal » Logged

"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Chompy
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« Reply #84639 on: August 04, 2014, 06:03:51 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
JaffaCake
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« Reply #84640 on: August 04, 2014, 06:11:31 PM »

Anyone know why Nairo Quintana is currently 200/1 at Bet364+1 to win the Vuelta? Palp? If he's pulled out, Aru becomes a good each-way bet.
Tis the other Quintana on my screen, Dayer? Sure u know him better than me. Your boy is odds on
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TightEnd
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« Reply #84641 on: August 04, 2014, 06:12:05 PM »

05 Aug 2014 - 9:00 Kempton - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!
Tip It

Dinneratmidnight @ 6/1  EW @ 1/5 1-3

Stake : £40.00 (£20.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
184.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001065/F

had to google who the barking boys were. lol. thought it best to go to hills
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« Reply #84642 on: August 04, 2014, 06:14:26 PM »

Yuh, Coral Headquarters. Used to work there. Terry Venables' uncle used to run the café over the road. Best sausage sandwiches around. Place went downhill when Brezhnev took over though Sad
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #84643 on: August 04, 2014, 06:18:05 PM »

That Kempton race is the sort of race I'd give a miss on an online accoubt if it was at Ascot.  Am I too cautious? 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #84644 on: August 04, 2014, 06:38:59 PM »

I've just had 2 bets on Saturday football.

Brighton to beat Wednesday (my team) at 10/11.

Brighton still a top 8 club in Championship for me against Wednesday who are still waiting for FL to ratify a takeover. As a result, minimal cash spent so far. Loovens and Lees in at centre half, Hutchinson in midfield and that's about it. Woefully short upfront and Lavery (talented young lad out for 8-12 weeks).

Brighton are 8/11 shots to me. Recommend £20 at 10/11.

I've also backed Middlesboro at 10/11 against Birmingham. My knowledge is not as strong on these but its common knowledge Birmingham are struggling financially.

I priced Middlesboro at 8/11 as well. Recommend £20 at 10/11 again.

I'd welcome Tighty/other views.
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