Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Rap? On X-Factor?

It's going to be the Alicia "Miss-Teeq with da bump and flex" Dixon kind, isn't it..?

A wave of despair washes over me.

She can rap like George Michael so long as the bookies pay.  They aren't trying to find the next Gil Scott Heron here, just like they aren't trying to find the next Stavros Flatley on Strictly.

Fleur has got Thriller tomorrow, now 6/1 best and shorter on Betfair.  Seems a tough one to me, but the market sees a positive. 

Only The Young are doing the Monster Mash for their farewell performance. 

[Marky147]

Rap? On X-Factor?

It's going to be the Alicia "Miss-Teeq with da bump and flex" Dixon kind, isn't it..?

A wave of despair washes over me.

She can rap like George Michael so long as the bookies pay.  They aren't trying to find the next Gil Scott Heron here, just like they aren't trying to find the next Stavros Flatley on Strictly.

Fleur has got Thriller tomorrow, now 6/1 best and shorter on Betfair.  Seems a tough one to me, but the market sees a positive. 

Only The Young are doing the Monster Mash for their farewell performance. 

Hopefully the market is correct, and with a bit of luck she'll fly past Lauren after this weekend.

Just for you, Tal

[tikay]

Scuy Price Boost for those that can get on 4-1 Hootenanny. Me likey. Will have to find some extra wives.

Mixed news, Adzy gets off to a flyer, but now he has a busy night ahead servicing all his wives.

WP Adzy.

[Tonji]

Nice one Adz 

[engy]

haha monster mash, goodbye to only the young then, could there be a worse song choice?

[Doobs]

Scuy Price Boost for those that can get on 4-1 Hootenanny. Me likey. Will have to find some extra wives.

Mixed news, Adzy gets off to a flyer, but now he has a busy night ahead servicing all his wives.

WP Adzy.

Thanks for the nudge Adz. 

[Micko]

Nice one Adz

[sonour]

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/assist-leader

Rondo 11/4 most assists ladbrokes

Another nba max bet (each way this time) which is even stronger than the Toronto division bet imo.  I don't mind how much fred has on this (appreciate we are tying up a lot of money ante post) but i have backed this very large ew.  I make Rondo a decent fav in this market which, barring injury, is a 3 or 4 horse race realistically based on the previous 3 or 4 years assists stats shown below.  The front two in the market should be the clear front two in the market but for me ladbrokes have them the wrong way round.  On top of this 'rick' it's an incredibly good ew betting market.  It would be like bookies offering the EPL outright market at 1/4 1234 imo maths wise at the start of the season.

I assume this is because Rondo was injured for most of last season and didn't register on the assist leaderboard.  It just stinks of bad odds compiling by ladbrokes and the 1/5 123 ew terms are quite insane in a market like this.  In an injury free season Rondo would seriously be about 1/20 to top 3 in this market.  He is a big time pass first (which is an assist) rather than shoot first point guard.  Scoring is Rondo's biggest weakness in his game which makes him such an effective assist man.  Rondo is approaching his peak years in his career so there is little reason to think he will at least hold his previous stats, if not improve on them.  Secondly, this is a 'contract year ' for Rondo as he is in the last year of his current 5 year deal and his next contract will be the largest of his career so this season he is absolutely going to be focused on putting up huge numbers to secure that contract esp after missing a season through injury last year. 

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2014
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2013
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2012
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2011

Both Chris Paul and Rondo (the two market leaders) have played 1 game each so far with Rondo having 12 assists in his game and Paul 7 in his.  The clear 3rd fav is John Wall who has played 2 games so far and averaged 11.5 assists across his 2 games and is a live 3 fav.  Barring these 3 i find it very hard to consider any other player making a serious run at winning this category.

i know its pathetic, as i would have done three figures each way, but we were restricted as below

Event Information:    2014/15 NBA Regular Season Most Assists Per Game
American
2014-11-05 00:05:00
Market:    Award Winner
Selection:    Rajon Rondo @ 5/2
   
Receipt No.:    O/142640973/0000767
Placed at:    10:46 31/10/2014
Bet Type:    Single
Stake Per Line:    £20.00
Number of lines:    2
Stake:    £40.00
Tax:    £0.00
Tax Rate:    0.00%
Total Paid:    £40.00
   
   
   £100.00

How much would you like Tighty ?

i would have done £100 e/w, and not told the boss

£80 ew ON

Tikay / Tighty,

Could you confirm this please ?
No problem if you don't want it or would like less.

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/assist-leader

Rondo 11/4 most assists ladbrokes

Another nba max bet (each way this time) which is even stronger than the Toronto division bet imo.  I don't mind how much fred has on this (appreciate we are tying up a lot of money ante post) but i have backed this very large ew.  I make Rondo a decent fav in this market which, barring injury, is a 3 or 4 horse race realistically based on the previous 3 or 4 years assists stats shown below.  The front two in the market should be the clear front two in the market but for me ladbrokes have them the wrong way round.  On top of this 'rick' it's an incredibly good ew betting market.  It would be like bookies offering the EPL outright market at 1/4 1234 imo maths wise at the start of the season.

I assume this is because Rondo was injured for most of last season and didn't register on the assist leaderboard.  It just stinks of bad odds compiling by ladbrokes and the 1/5 123 ew terms are quite insane in a market like this.  In an injury free season Rondo would seriously be about 1/20 to top 3 in this market.  He is a big time pass first (which is an assist) rather than shoot first point guard.  Scoring is Rondo's biggest weakness in his game which makes him such an effective assist man.  Rondo is approaching his peak years in his career so there is little reason to think he will at least hold his previous stats, if not improve on them.  Secondly, this is a 'contract year ' for Rondo as he is in the last year of his current 5 year deal and his next contract will be the largest of his career so this season he is absolutely going to be focused on putting up huge numbers to secure that contract esp after missing a season through injury last year. 

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2014
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2013
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2012
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2011

Both Chris Paul and Rondo (the two market leaders) have played 1 game each so far with Rondo having 12 assists in his game and Paul 7 in his.  The clear 3rd fav is John Wall who has played 2 games so far and averaged 11.5 assists across his 2 games and is a live 3 fav.  Barring these 3 i find it very hard to consider any other player making a serious run at winning this category.

i know its pathetic, as i would have done three figures each way, but we were restricted as below

Event Information:    2014/15 NBA Regular Season Most Assists Per Game
American
2014-11-05 00:05:00
Market:    Award Winner
Selection:    Rajon Rondo @ 5/2
   
Receipt No.:    O/142640973/0000767
Placed at:    10:46 31/10/2014
Bet Type:    Single
Stake Per Line:    £20.00
Number of lines:    2
Stake:    £40.00
Tax:    £0.00
Tax Rate:    0.00%
Total Paid:    £40.00
   
   
   £100.00

How much would you like Tighty ?

i would have done £100 e/w, and not told the boss

£80 ew ON

Tikay / Tighty,

Could you confirm this please ?
No problem if you don't want it or would like less.

Thanks Lisa.

Tighty has the keys at the mo, but unless we hear otherwise from him by the morning, please assume we are BOOKED.

[TightEnd]

Yes confirmed on the spreadsheet

[icles test]

wow goldencents, total sicko

[tikay]

Crikey, that was a brave performance by Goldencents.

[BigAdz]

A not bad start to the weekend.

[ripple11]

Rap? On X-Factor?

It's going to be the Alicia "Miss-Teeq with da bump and flex" Dixon kind, isn't it..?

A wave of despair washes over me.

She can rap like George Michael so long as the bookies pay.  They aren't trying to find the next Gil Scott Heron here, just like they aren't trying to find the next Stavros Flatley on Strictly.

Fleur has got Thriller tomorrow, now 6/1 best and shorter on Betfair.  Seems a tough one to me, but the market sees a positive. 

Only The Young are doing the Monster Mash for their farewell performance. 

Double elimination with lowest vote on Saturday night going straight away......then usual sing off on Sunday. Jack fav to go on Sat.
Disappointed with OTY so far, given their experience on the big stage etc. However they have done Monster Mash before, quite well.....see you tube...and maybe they will get the bounce factor?

[Karabiner]

I'm going for three 2nds in a row with Qualify.