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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16452620 times)
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91665 on:
December 04, 2014, 01:38:25 PM »
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:31:19 PM
Bolton might have Gudjohnsen and Heskey up front soon. What year do the board think this is?
Lennon trying to create an old boys club clearly. Probably not the best way to succeed in the Championship.
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Tal
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91666 on:
December 04, 2014, 01:43:46 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 01:38:25 PM
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:31:19 PM
Bolton might have Gudjohnsen and Heskey up front soon. What year do the board think this is?
Lennon trying to create an old boys club clearly. Probably not the best way to succeed in the Championship.
What's Jay-Jay Okocha up to these days? Muzzy Izzet? Steve Guppy?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Chompy
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Posts: 11503
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91667 on:
December 04, 2014, 01:51:15 PM »
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:43:46 PM
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 01:38:25 PM
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:31:19 PM
Bolton might have Gudjohnsen and Heskey up front soon. What year do the board think this is?
Lennon trying to create an old boys club clearly. Probably not the best way to succeed in the Championship.
What's Jay-Jay Okocha up to these days? Muzzy Izzet? Steve Guppy?
Craig Mackail-Smith, Aaron McLean?
Logged
"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91668 on:
December 04, 2014, 01:52:42 PM »
Muzzy! So famous he had an aw cart horse named after him 'Izzet muzzy'. Used to run at Southwell i think. Sure chomps will confirm.
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Tal
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91669 on:
December 04, 2014, 01:53:30 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on December 04, 2014, 01:51:15 PM
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:43:46 PM
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 01:38:25 PM
Quote from: Tal on December 04, 2014, 01:31:19 PM
Bolton might have Gudjohnsen and Heskey up front soon. What year do the board think this is?
Lennon trying to create an old boys club clearly. Probably not the best way to succeed in the Championship.
What's Jay-Jay Okocha up to these days? Muzzy Izzet? Steve Guppy?
Craig Mackail-Smith, Aaron McLean?
Jermain Defoe, Robbie Keane, Teddy Sherringham, Peter Crouch, but none of them were, at the point they signed, interested in Watercolour Challenge, Quincy and Werther's Original.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Kmac84
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Posts: 2122
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91670 on:
December 04, 2014, 02:21:04 PM »
I mentioned the old pals act and got a dm from an old mate who is now a football agent and has close links to Lenny and he said Bolton are skint and the sugar daddy had no interest in spending over winter until some deadwood removed and they have serious tilt at championship next season.
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Chompy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91671 on:
December 04, 2014, 02:21:30 PM »
Yup, Izzet Muzzy an AW roffler in the early to mid noughties.
I thought of Leicester when I read the name and turns out that's where he won his last race. Funny how these things stick in the back of your mind.
Are we interested in the 9-1 Fleur to get the boot this week?
Don't think any of us really know who's doing what in the voting this series and aggression is best in these spots. Wouldn't be surprised to see Fleur v Andrea in the bottom two for example.
She's 10-11 with bwin to be in the bottom two.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91672 on:
December 04, 2014, 02:49:33 PM »
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/nfc-east/winner
Decent commission free arb (4/11 10/3) still exists on Hills insistence on 'giving away' their ante post profits from laying the Cowboys to win this division. Sportingindex make the market 1/4 4/1 using their mid points of the divisional index below.
http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/american-football/nfl-long-term/mm4.uk.meeting.4738659/nfc-divisional-indices
I know we are full of Eagles ante post but we really are leaving ev on the floor not backing this 4/11. It was 4/9 last Friday after they both played on Thanksgiving when i suggested backing it for the same reasons and nothing has changed since then as neither have played again. The 'sharp' firms are happy to lay the arb on the Cowboys which tells you where the value is.
«
Last Edit: December 04, 2014, 02:53:35 PM by arbboy
»
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Doobs
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Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91673 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:28:41 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on December 04, 2014, 02:21:30 PM
Yup, Izzet Muzzy an AW roffler in the early to mid noughties.
I thought of Leicester when I read the name and turns out that's where he won his last race. Funny how these things stick in the back of your mind.
Are we interested in the 9-1 Fleur to get the boot this week?
Don't think any of us really know who's doing what in the voting this series and aggression is best in these spots. Wouldn't be surprised to see Fleur v Andrea in the bottom two for example.
She's 10-11 with bwin to be in the bottom two.
I'd give you evens she is bottom 2 for as much as you like. Whilst it is clearly possible she is in the bottom 2 that is clearly a lolprice.
Fwiw last weeks bottom 2 were exactly the 2 you'd expect and I don't think there have been many shocks at all this series. Last week's ditching of Stereo Kicks over Lauren was the only one I can think of. I can't think why the Andrea/Lauren bottom 2 combo shouldn't be odds on for bottom 2 this week.
Not saying 9/1 is bad, just the bwin price you are comparing to definitely is. I think Cowell has been much more positive on her than the stereo kicks, so you have that to get over too. Should have laid more at evens obv.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91674 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:30:19 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on December 04, 2014, 03:28:41 PM
Quote from: Chompy on December 04, 2014, 02:21:30 PM
Yup, Izzet Muzzy an AW roffler in the early to mid noughties.
I thought of Leicester when I read the name and turns out that's where he won his last race. Funny how these things stick in the back of your mind.
Are we interested in the 9-1 Fleur to get the boot this week?
Don't think any of us really know who's doing what in the voting this series and aggression is best in these spots. Wouldn't be surprised to see Fleur v Andrea in the bottom two for example.
She's 10-11 with bwin to be in the bottom two.
I'd give you evens she is bottom 2 for as much as you like. Whilst it is clearly possible she is in the bottom 2 that is clearly a lolprice.
Fwiw last weeks bottom 2 were exactly the 2 you'd expect and I don't think there have been many shocks at all this series. Last week's ditching of Stereo Kicks over Lauren was the only one I can think of. I can't think why the Andrea/Lauren bottom 2 combo shouldn't be odds on for bottom 2 this week.
Not saying 9/1 is bad, just the bwin price you are comparing to definitely is. I think Cowell has been much more positive on her than the stereo kicks, so you have that to get over too. Should have laid more at evens obv.
Ladbrokes are 6/4 she is bottom 2. Bwin's prices as usual make no sense and don't correlate at all. They are ducking a bottom 2 finish yet are top price she leaves. lol traders going to lol trade!
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arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91675 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:40:16 PM »
Long time since i can remember a jolly this short for Miss World. Wonder what makes her a 2/1 shot for this donkfest?
http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/miss-world/pageant-winner
http://www.missworld.com/Contestants/SouthAfrica/
Anyone got any views?
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TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91676 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:42:22 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 02:49:33 PM
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/nfc-east/winner
Decent commission free arb (4/11 10/3) still exists on Hills insistence on 'giving away' their ante post profits from laying the Cowboys to win this division. Sportingindex make the market 1/4 4/1 using their mid points of the divisional index below.
http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/american-football/nfl-long-term/mm4.uk.meeting.4738659/nfc-divisional-indices
I know we are full of Eagles ante post but we really are leaving ev on the floor not backing this 4/11. It was 4/9 last Friday after they both played on Thanksgiving when i suggested backing it for the same reasons and nothing has changed since then as neither have played again. The 'sharp' firms are happy to lay the arb on the Cowboys which tells you where the value is.
noted thanks
its a bit like the arizona position
the eagles play seattle this week, and seattle look back towards their best
next week its eagles v cowboys again
could well know the division winner in a fortnight. eagles a long way towards winning it tonight if the cowboys lose at the bears which is eminently possible
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91677 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:48:35 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 03:40:16 PM
Long time since i can remember a jolly this short for Miss World. Wonder what makes her a 2/1 shot for this donkfest?
http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/miss-world/pageant-winner
http://www.missworld.com/Contestants/SouthAfrica/
Anyone got any views?
Click to see full-size image.
Rolene Strauss, Miss South Africa, a medical student who says that bungee jumping “made me reconsider everything in my life”
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2014/11/miss-world-2014-a-preview.php
how is it scored? no idea why she is favourite over say miss belgium who the blogger tries to tip
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91678 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:49:12 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 03:40:16 PM
Long time since i can remember a jolly this short for Miss World. Wonder what makes her a 2/1 shot for this donkfest?
http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/miss-world/pageant-winner
http://www.missworld.com/Contestants/SouthAfrica/
Anyone got any views?
I seem to recall tikay having given a previous year's competition considerable attention. No doubt he can add to Fred's burgeoning "misc" portfolio.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91679 on:
December 04, 2014, 03:52:00 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on December 04, 2014, 03:42:22 PM
Quote from: arbboy on December 04, 2014, 02:49:33 PM
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/nfc-east/winner
Decent commission free arb (4/11 10/3) still exists on Hills insistence on 'giving away' their ante post profits from laying the Cowboys to win this division. Sportingindex make the market 1/4 4/1 using their mid points of the divisional index below.
http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/american-football/nfl-long-term/mm4.uk.meeting.4738659/nfc-divisional-indices
I know we are full of Eagles ante post but we really are leaving ev on the floor not backing this 4/11. It was 4/9 last Friday after they both played on Thanksgiving when i suggested backing it for the same reasons and nothing has changed since then as neither have played again. The 'sharp' firms are happy to lay the arb on the Cowboys which tells you where the value is.
noted thanks
its a bit like the arizona position
the eagles play seattle this week, and seattle look back towards their best
next week its eagles v cowboys again
could well know the division winner in a fortnight. eagles a long way towards winning it tonight if the cowboys lose at the bears which is eminently possible
Even if we don't want to bet the 4/11 just arb it and open an account with spreadex and take their 10/3 for a freeroll on Eagles (assume fred hasn't got one). The free bet is a great offer which is easily turned into £100 in cash effectively after you have placed 5 bets by backing a big price close to the bf price on a golfer etc. Then you get the price doubled so having £100 at 25/1 on a golfer for the free bet offer they make it £100 at 50/1. Then lay £200 at 25/1 on betfair and 96% of the time you turn the free bet offer into £100 in cash with no risk. Simples.
Have £150 Dallas 10/3 to win a monkey at spreadex then £440 hills at 4/11 to win £160. Then you win £10 if Dallas win or £60 if Eagles win with no risk. Plus on the way to a £100 free bet at spreadex.
«
Last Edit: December 04, 2014, 03:54:09 PM by arbboy
»
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