Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £927.75

Outstanding Bets £2631.02

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=24

A loss of £10 yesterday, Chisnall losing 10-9 to Anderson in the PL Darts finals

ongoing positions

NBA

Golden State Warriors beat Houston Rockets 99-98 to go 2-0 up in the best of 7 conference finals. Teams with 2-0 leads in best-of-7 NBA play-off series have gone on to win 94% of time

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this was a battle of the two star players

S.Curry: 33pts, 6asts, 5threes

J.Harden: 38pts, 10rbs, 9asts

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Cricket

A bad start for the top batsman bet with Ballance out for 1 at Lords and then Rot continuing his fantastic form

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Eurovision

Our 80/1 poke Cyprus qualified from the second semi final. Well done to Cos Paperestis for coming back from Asia to sing it

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MLB

losses for the CWS and BRS last night

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F1

Hamilton fastest in Monaco FP1 and 2, back for FP3 and qualifying tomorrow

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[arbboy]

Never has an NBA team been more aptly named. GOLDEN fecking state warriors, how the fuck are they 2-0 up?

[scotty2hatty]

In preparation for some upcoming Greyhound Derby AP stuff over the weekend we can maybe try and win some funds for those bets by placing one at a Romford tonight that I popped up on the dog thread. Copy and paste.....

I like Borna Karma's chances in the 8:50 at Romford tonight. Big drop in class from what she has been facing recently. Nothing in tonight's race has performed anything like Karma at Romford and it's not as if anything has been setting the world alight elsewhere. She has impressed recently, showing a mix of early and then also showing decent ability to run on, which is new for her. I reckon 5 comes out slow and she paces up in the lead or close to the lead and just proves fastest - throw in the recent sub 3:70 sectionals and it's over early.

In recent races against the likes of Evanta Fantasy and Millwards Katy she's went off at 2/1, 5/2 and 3/1 - she's 5/2 in one place at the moment, 365, which given the drop in class and price comparison makes her a must bet for me. Think we missed the 11/4 Lads earlier.

Recommend £30 at 5/2 on B365. Standout price.

[TightEnd]

Murray, Djokovic and Nadal drawn in the same half for Roland Garros

Murray seeded 3.

djokovic v nadal seeded for the quarters

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/tennis/22713813

[TightEnd]

In preparation for some upcoming Greyhound Derby AP stuff over the weekend we can maybe try and win some funds for those bets by placing one at a Romford tonight that I popped up on the dog thread. Copy and paste.....

I like Borna Karma's chances in the 8:50 at Romford tonight. Big drop in class from what she has been facing recently. Nothing in tonight's race has performed anything like Karma at Romford and it's not as if anything has been setting the world alight elsewhere. She has impressed recently, showing a mix of early and then also showing decent ability to run on, which is new for her. I reckon 5 comes out slow and she paces up in the lead or close to the lead and just proves fastest - throw in the recent sub 3:70 sectionals and it's over early.

In recent races against the likes of Evanta Fantasy and Millwards Katy she's went off at 2/1, 5/2 and 3/1 - she's 5/2 in one place at the moment, 365, which given the drop in class and price comparison makes her a must bet for me. Think we missed the 11/4 Lads earlier.

Recommend £30 at 5/2 on B365. Standout price.

no go with bet365

i could do 9/4 elsewhere

up to you, please

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/romford/20:50/winner

[TightEnd]

Murray, Djokovic and Nadal drawn in the same half for Roland Garros

Murray seeded 3.

djokovic v nadal seeded for the quarters

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/tennis/22713813

the betting market

every single player in the bottom half of the draw is 12-1 or higher

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/mens/winner

e/w is 1,2 1/2

players in the bottom half in seed order are

federer 12-1
berdych 40-1
nishikori 12-1
wawrinka 25-1
Simon 500-1
Monfils 40-1

who is going to win the bottom half? looks completely open and we're getting a minimum of 6-1 a player winning this half

[horseplayer]

The sea of blue already around those in that half suggests the boat may have been missed a tad...

[swinebag22]

are we not already on Nishikori at 25s??

[TightEnd]

are we not already on Nishikori at 25s??

french open   murray   25/1   20   £10 e/w 1/2 1,2
french open   djokovic   ev   100            

[Doobs]

The sea of blue already around those in that half suggests the boat may have been missed a tad...

Nishikori was about 20/1 prior to this. 6/1 for the final must still be good.  Though 12/1 overall doesn't look great unless he plays Murray in the final?

[Tal]

Market on le winner du tennis on betfair seems to have been suspended. Djok will have to play Nadal, Murray and Fed (or replacements who beat them in form). If there's any rain over the fortnight, there's a fair chance he plays on consecutive days and the first two of those will be hours of long, baseline rallies.

Should we be looking at laying a sub-even money jolly, here?

In nineties TV terms, he's got to get past Saracen, Wolf and Warrior to win this.



I'm putting up the idea here of laying £100+ on the exchange, when it's back up, and reversing our position.

[DungBeetle]

Murray, Djokovic and Nadal drawn in the same half for Roland Garros

Murray seeded 3.

djokovic v nadal seeded for the quarters

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/tennis/22713813

the betting market

every single player in the bottom half of the draw is 12-1 or higher

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/mens/winner

e/w is 1,2 1/2

players in the bottom half in seed order are

federer 12-1
berdych 40-1
nishikori 12-1
wawrinka 25-1
Simon 500-1
Monfils 40-1

who is going to win the bottom half? looks completely open and we're getting a minimum of 6-1 a player winning this half

Anyone in the bottom half of the draw could be turned over on clay I think.  As you say wide open.  I think we should throw some darts on some outsiders who have shown a smidgeon of form on the clay this season.  The below 3 players are all generally available at 250-1 but 500-1 with some bookies (not sure if Fred has them though).  I'm going to have £5 e/w on all three - seems a cheap way of taking on a lop sided draw.

Dominic Thiem
Philip Kohlschrieber
Bautista-Agut

[Marky147]

Never has an NBA team been more aptly named. GOLDEN fecking state warriors, how the fuck are they 2-0 up?

Stayed up to watch it, and really thought it was going to be a movie moment at the end... It was, but Harden gave it the Gerrard, instead of the Aguero

Have to say, I really enjoy watching Harden play, he's incred!

[arbboy]

Is it a top heavy draw in 2015 or does it just seem 'top heavy' because of the names involved as their rep's from the past and/or on different surfaces?  Murray will never win the French or come close to winning it.  Nadal is miles over the hill compared to his peak.

Djok was always going to have to run into at least two of these at some stage anyway.  Who is to say Nadal and Murray will even get the relative rounds to meet Djok anyway?  

[arbboy]

Never has an NBA team been more aptly named. GOLDEN fecking state warriors, how the fuck are they 2-0 up?

Stayed up to watch it, and really thought it was going to be a movie moment at the end... It was, but Harden gave it the Gerrard, instead of the Aguero

Have to say, I really enjoy watching Harden play, he's incred!

Steph Curry was awesome in the first half albeit Houston's team defence was shocking covering him.  He makes 24 foot 3 point shots look like lay ups at times.  There was a video doing the rounds of Curry making 80 odd 3 pointers in a row in practice which is totally insane.