blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 23, 2025, 05:35:02 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262393 Posts in 66606 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 26 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7021 7022 7023 7024 [7025] 7026 7027 7028 7029 ... 9209 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16421071 times)
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #105360 on: August 14, 2015, 01:53:28 PM »

west ham are odds against to beat newly promoted bournemouth who spin have doing worse than leicester, same thing?

liverpool?

open that one up....should they been odds on?
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
cheapwetsuit
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Posts: 267



View Profile
« Reply #105361 on: August 14, 2015, 04:30:26 PM »

I was expecting a much better performance from Brandle, but even so, I'm guessing he won't be 100/1 tomorrow morning. The sweat is still on, but Kelderman, Boom and van Avermaet are looking like the top 3.

He's actually 250/1 in one place (miles out of line with the others). Going back in? Smiley

Should be 1000/1 after today's performance. Brandle now outside top 10 and about 30sec behind 3rd place. gg
Logged
MattyHollis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 839


View Profile
« Reply #105362 on: August 14, 2015, 05:01:55 PM »


2010/11 : 350 (9.2pw) 7-1 highest result for 50pts
2011/12 : 510 (13.4pw) 8-2 highest result for 100pts
2012/13 : 470 (12.4pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts
2013/14 : 455 (12.0pw) 7-0 highest result for 50pts
2014/15 : 350 (9.2pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts


Anyone any further thoughts on the 460-480 line that Peter mentioned?

After week 1 worth 5 points and the league imo being tighter than ever, is there much downside on a sell?
Logged
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1550



View Profile
« Reply #105363 on: August 14, 2015, 07:17:56 PM »


2010/11 : 350 (9.2pw) 7-1 highest result for 50pts
2011/12 : 510 (13.4pw) 8-2 highest result for 100pts
2012/13 : 470 (12.4pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts
2013/14 : 455 (12.0pw) 7-0 highest result for 50pts
2014/15 : 350 (9.2pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts


Anyone any further thoughts on the 460-480 line that Peter mentioned?

After week 1 worth 5 points and the league imo being tighter than ever, is there much downside on a sell?

Well, I'm planning a £20 spread bet based on what I've heard so far. Can always cash out for a small loss should it start to look a bit iffy.
Logged

The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17075


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #105364 on: August 14, 2015, 07:21:38 PM »


2010/11 : 350 (9.2pw) 7-1 highest result for 50pts
2011/12 : 510 (13.4pw) 8-2 highest result for 100pts
2012/13 : 470 (12.4pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts
2013/14 : 455 (12.0pw) 7-0 highest result for 50pts
2014/15 : 350 (9.2pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts


Anyone any further thoughts on the 460-480 line that Peter mentioned?

After week 1 worth 5 points and the league imo being tighter than ever, is there much downside on a sell?

Well, I'm planning a £20 spread bet based on what I've heard so far. Can always cash out for a small loss should it start to look a bit iffy.

£20?

Do you realise if City score 8 next week, your "small loss" will be about £950.

To be in line with your F1 staking you shouldn't sell this for more than £1.
Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #105365 on: August 14, 2015, 07:31:46 PM »

It's such a weird bet selling this because you are effectively betting on big teams being motivated to put in seven or eight goals when they are already up 6-0.  The whole bet pretty much comes down to three or four games a season.
Logged
MattyHollis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 839


View Profile
« Reply #105366 on: August 14, 2015, 07:34:46 PM »


2010/11 : 350 (9.2pw) 7-1 highest result for 50pts
2011/12 : 510 (13.4pw) 8-2 highest result for 100pts
2012/13 : 470 (12.4pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts
2013/14 : 455 (12.0pw) 7-0 highest result for 50pts
2014/15 : 350 (9.2pw) 8-0 highest result for 100pts


Anyone any further thoughts on the 460-480 line that Peter mentioned?

After week 1 worth 5 points and the league imo being tighter than ever, is there much downside on a sell?

Well, I'm planning a £20 spread bet based on what I've heard so far. Can always cash out for a small loss should it start to look a bit iffy.

£20?

Do you realise if City score 8 next week, your "small loss" will be about £950.

To be in line with your F1 staking you shouldn't sell this for more than £1.

Ha was going to say the exact same, £20 a point a small loss cashout wouldn't really be there if a 'bad' start!
Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17075


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #105367 on: August 14, 2015, 07:52:11 PM »

It's such a weird bet selling this because you are effectively betting on big teams being motivated to put in seven or eight goals when they are already up 6-0.  The whole bet pretty much comes down to three or four games a season.

Markets like these are usually pitched a tiny bit higher than the expectation because they expect most action from buyers.

However to profit from this bias you need two things.

1. Balls of steel.

2. A pretty huge bankroll.

I don't doubt Peter's strength of testicle, but somehow think he falls short on requirement 2.
« Last Edit: August 14, 2015, 07:55:10 PM by The Camel » Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1550



View Profile
« Reply #105368 on: August 14, 2015, 08:00:50 PM »

It's such a weird bet selling this because you are effectively betting on big teams being motivated to put in seven or eight goals when they are already up 6-0.  The whole bet pretty much comes down to three or four games a season.

Markets like these are usually pitched a tiny bit higher than the expectation because they expect most action from buyers.

However to profit from this bias you need two things.

1. Balls of steel.

2. A pretty huge bankroll.

I don't doubt Peter's strength of testicle, but somehow think he falls short on requirement 2.

Haha  Grin

I make no secret that I do struggle with bet sizing! Hmmm, what do we assume the maximum result could be? Obviously every game for the rest of the season could be 8-0, but realistically that's not going to happen ..
Logged

arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #105369 on: August 14, 2015, 08:02:37 PM »

I think you would have to assume it could make up at 1000.  Unlikely but definitely possible.
Logged
Chompy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 11503


Expert


View Profile
« Reply #105370 on: August 14, 2015, 08:03:02 PM »

Ripon tomorrow is soft ground, and recently rained-on soft ground; my favourite kind of soft ground.

There should be a low bias in the big sprints and we have to play the 3.00 each-way with Betfair Clownbook, as they're paying five places.

The field will split here and it's possible we're looking at five places from around 12 or 13 down our side of the course if things work out as expected.

We want something drawn low, that likes soft ground, and ideally likes Ripon.

£25EW Right Touch 7-1
£20EW The Hooded Claw 14-1

They've completely ducked Fast Shot, so back that at 22-1 with Joke please.

£15EW Fast Shit 22-1
Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #105371 on: August 14, 2015, 08:11:47 PM »

limited to £3 and £7 ew with betfairsb

do you want me to try anywhere else without the 5 places?
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #105372 on: August 14, 2015, 08:16:15 PM »

Fast Shot22/13:00 Ripon - 15/08/2015
Each Way
Stake £30.00
Estimated Return:£442.50
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Return: £442.50

1/4 1,2,3,4
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 11503


Expert


View Profile
« Reply #105373 on: August 14, 2015, 08:17:06 PM »

Yup, 8-1 Right Touch WH and 16-1 THC same firm.
Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #105374 on: August 14, 2015, 08:22:40 PM »

15 Aug 2015 - 3:00 Ripon - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!
Tip It

Right Touch @ 8/1  EW @ 1/4 1-4

Stake : £36.00 (£18.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
216.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001387/F
Single

15 Aug 2015 - 3:00 Ripon - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!
Tip It

The Hooded Claw @ 16/1  EW @ 1/4 1-4

Stake : £33.00 (£16.50 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
363.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001388/F
Total Stake : £69.00

£7.15 right toubh 5 places
£3.55 hooded claw 5 places

e/w on with betfair don'tbetwithuseventhoughwehavegonebesttermsbooksowhybother
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Pages: 1 ... 7021 7022 7023 7024 [7025] 7026 7027 7028 7029 ... 9209 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.334 seconds with 20 queries.