Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

 Who Will Be Chelsea Manager First League Game 2016/17 Season? Massimiliano Allegri (Outright - Specials) Odds: 40/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  410.00

coral won't play ball. limited to £1 at 16-1 so left that

[booder]

I'm surprised to see Lewis a big fav in the most 180s market given how consistent Snakebite has been all tournament.



18 in 44 legs for Lewis
27 in 61 legs for Wright

Since GSOD

66 in 219 Lewis  (1 every 3.18 legs)
75 in 177 Wright (1 every 2.36 legs)

Since changing to these darts Wright has been a 180 machine but they have priced it up on reputation.

Wright is 9/4 most 180s with Hills

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/adrian-lewis-v-peter-wright/most-180s

even a darts idiot like me sat up at that one

I think this is a cracking bet.

[MereNovice]

I'm posting the monthly statistics early as I will be incapable later.


December 2015 Figures

Closed bets: 52
Amount wagered: £2,030.57
Profit/loss: £179.17
ROI: 8.82%

Number of "sports" bet on: 8
Most popular: NFL (19), Horses (11), Football (7), Dogs (5).
Most profitable: NFL (£256.17), Horses (£92.50), Football (£69.00), MotorSport (£44.00)
Least profitable: Darts (-£255.00), Misc. (-£42.50), Rugby Union (-£15.00) - the only losing "sports" this month

Number of tipsters: 21 including 0 new tipsters.


Going forward.

Open bets: 70
Amount staked: £3,733.88



Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 5,253
Amount wagered: £156,247.69
Profit/loss: £8,858.01
ROI: 5.67%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30
Most popular:  Horses(1,240), Football (1,229), Golf (410), NFL(325).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   4,590.38   37,531.83   12.23   1,229
Horses   2,166.69   39,426.34   5.50   1,240
Misc.   1,807.42   7,209.77   25.07   192
...
Boxing   -441.76   2,892.67   -15.27   81
Snooker   -450.00   1,275.00   -35.29   38
RU   -500.45   4,510.79   -11.09   237


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zeo-QVxVT7E3dVqP6lXI4xaA8ofWFWM2QOOTdAklvQM/edit#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 180


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 59

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
Bwin      3,082.33   4,907.86   62.80   130
BoyleSports      2,505.40   4,520.45   55.42   116
Ladbrokes      2,496.75   18,858.01   13.24   698
...
PaddyPower      -557.82   7,755.31   -7.19   365
BetDaq      -977.60   1,192.50   -81.98   6
BetFred      -1,651.97   12,411.87   -13.31   426


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zeo-QVxVT7E3dVqP6lXI4xaA8ofWFWM2QOOTdAklvQM/edit#gid=7


The spreadsheet for 2016 is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34



All closed bets have been archived:

2015
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zeo-QVxVT7E3dVqP6lXI4xaA8ofWFWM2QOOTdAklvQM/edit#gid=7

2014
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdGZaNDduYUZRWE1JZW9qcDFEdHNrRXc#gid=7

Pre-2014

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHVrekx6T0REUXVNOWw5YTVWa0pWZGc






Figures for 2015 are:


Closed bets: 1,070
Amount wagered: £28,346.67
Profit/loss: £3,958.36
ROI: 13.96%


Month   Profit     Amt Bet     ROI    No.

Pre-2015   4899.65   127901.02   3.83   4183
            
January       -34.9   1585.99   -2.2   83
February      488.76   1274.9   38.34   70
March         -55.73   3367.75   -1.65   137
April           1056.99   3141.16   33.65   124
May           537.91   4870   11.05   147
June          1565.83   3476.09   45.05   82
July           17.88   1682.29   1.06   72
August     -375.84   1473.11   -25.51   71
September  28.42   1664.85   1.71   73
October     610.77   1620.73   37.68   81
November    -60.9   2159.23   -2.82   78
December   179.17   2030.57   8.82   52
               
            
2015 Totals   3958.36   28346.67   13.96   1070

(Apologies for the poor formatting; I don't have sufficient patience to battle with the editor).

The complete list of "sports" for 2015 are:
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   1,863.38   5,842.61   31.89   204
Horses   1,587.43   5,554.72   28.58   201
NFL   727.82   2,332.49   31.20   95
MotorSport   590.08   2,710.54   21.77   144
Golf   535.85   2,392.47   22.40   61
Basketball   200.84   1,145.00   17.54   23
Tennis   97.30   1,065.30   9.13   53
Darts   44.00   1,533.00   2.87   47
...
NHL   -20.00   20.00   -100.00   1
Skiing   -30.00   30.00   -100.00   2
AFL   -30.00   30.00   -100.00   3
Baseball   -40.00   40.00   -100.00   2
Athletics   -55.00   55.00   -100.00   1
RU   -56.81   358.92   -15.83   24
Snooker   -67.00   157.00   -42.68   7
Cycling   -105.00   205.00   -51.22   15
RL   -119.29   560.29   -21.29   37
Boxing   -170.86   523.00   -32.67   15
Misc.   -185.38   1,772.33   -10.46   60
Cricket   -319.00   1,059.00   -30.12   53
Dogs   -490.00   960.00   -51.04   22

Most and least profitable bookies for 2015 (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:

Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
Bwin      3,082.33   4,907.86   62.80   130
BoyleSports      2,505.40   4,520.45   55.42   116
Ladbrokes      2,496.75   18,858.01   13.24   698
...
PaddyPower      -557.82   7,755.31   -7.19   365
BetDaq      -977.60   1,192.50   -81.98   6
BetFred      -1,651.97   12,411.87   -13.31   426

The most profitable bets (in absolute profit) of the year were:

Placed   Tipster   Bookie   Settled on:   Sport   Event   Tip   Odds   Amount   Return   Win?   P/L

10-Apr   chompy   bwin   jun-2015   golf   US Open   Speith   21   96.47   2025.87   Y   1929.4
7-Aug   jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7   80   560   Y   480
6/18/2015   bigadz   betvictor   6/18/2015   horses   5.35 royal ascot   space age   12/1   60   510   Y   450
14-Aug   TightEnd   williamhill   jan-2015   NFL   NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year   aaron donald   20/1   20   420   Y   400


It should be noted that £1100 of the Spieth win was laid back. I think there's a phrase that some people use for that kind of practice but it escapes me at the moment.

Good work everyone. I would say that constitutes a successful year by anyone's standards.


Happy New Year everyone.

[TightEnd]

Thanks for all the hard work behind the scenes this year Mere. HNY to you too. Very nice set of stats for the year overall

[Tal]

This is most irregular, Mr Novice. Have we prematurely spreadsheetulated?

Is there anything we can bet on in the next three hours just to encourage a drunken update?

Loving this:

Most profitable: NFL (£256.17)

Carson Palmer to bink for 2k, please, so we can set Fred a good bar to clear in 2016.

Happy New Mere!

[arbboy]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

[MereNovice]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

Yes.

[arbboy]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

Yes.

That is amazing.  We have turned into margin monster over volume monsters.  14% roi is truely amazing over a year.  vwp everyone.  Ty for all the admin help Mere/tighty/tikay.  Love this place.  Wish it was like 2012 but things move on.  Let's make 2016 massive.

[vegaslover]

Double digit ROI eh, 'Fred' has learnt its own lessons and become very shrewd, long may it continue.

Thanks to all who contribute, will try to be more active myself in 2016

[arbboy]

Don't worry about the 'dog' figure either.  Every one of those losers has gone off much shorter.  No need to panic and be results orientated.  EV wise we have had it off on the dogs this year.  Last night's 3/1 into 6/4 bf sp 'loser' summed up the dog year for thread.  Nothing to worry about at all moving forward.

[Tal]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

Yes.

That is amazing.  We have turned into margin monster over volume monsters.  14% roi is truely amazing over a year.  vwp everyone.  Ty for all the admin help Mere/tighty/tikay.  Love this place.  Wish it was like 2012 but things move on.  Let's make 2016 massive.

Excellent post, arb.

What kind of return do the Star Lizard investors get? Mind you, they don't have access to Paddy Power through me and marky...

[arbboy]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

Yes.

That is amazing.  We have turned into margin monster over volume monsters.  14% roi is truely amazing over a year.  vwp everyone.  Ty for all the admin help Mere/tighty/tikay.  Love this place.  Wish it was like 2012 but things move on.  Let's make 2016 massive.

Excellent post, arb.

What kind of return do the Star Lizard investors get? Mind you, they don't have access to Paddy Power through me and marky...

Just to put it in context.  Betting emp is making under 1.5% roi over their whole lifetime as a fully paid service.  Not intended as a pop just a comparison of why so many people follow this thread including all major bookmakers and why the prices don't last when the judges put them up on here.  Our forward book is loaded with ev as well on ante post bets.  

http://www.bettingemporium.com/pages/view/results-section

[Tal]

We have made 14% roi in 2015?  Is that right?

Yes.

That is amazing.  We have turned into margin monster over volume monsters.  14% roi is truely amazing over a year.  vwp everyone.  Ty for all the admin help Mere/tighty/tikay.  Love this place.  Wish it was like 2012 but things move on.  Let's make 2016 massive.

Excellent post, arb.

What kind of return do the Star Lizard investors get? Mind you, they don't have access to Paddy Power through me and marky...

Just to put it in context.  Betting emp is making under 1.5% roi over their whole lifetime as a fully paid service.  Not intended as a pop just a comparison of why so many people follow this thread including all major bookmakers and why the prices don't last when the judges put them up on here.  Our forward book is loaded with ev as well on ante post bets.  

http://www.bettingemporium.com/pages/view/results-section

Any profit is good work these days. Bookies close accounts quickly or shrink your stake allowance to tuppence. Fred has been run in a strict way, too, where every penny in the spreadsheet is what Fred has actually bet.

Cracking thread.

[Tal]

Profit/loss: £8,858.01

What on Earth can you spend that much money on, Tikay?

http://www.goldsmiths.co.uk/Vera-Wang-Love-brilliant-cut-1.12-carat-solitaire-diamond-ring-in-18-carat-white-gold/p/37120018/



No need to thank me.

[arbboy]

Profit/loss: £8,858.01

What on Earth can you spend that much money on, Tikay?

http://www.goldsmiths.co.uk/Vera-Wang-Love-brilliant-cut-1.12-carat-solitaire-diamond-ring-in-18-carat-white-gold/p/37120018/



No need to thank me.

Looking forward to the wedding invite when Arsenal win the EPL and sunderland finish bottom!    Barney or Snakebite might win the darts as well.  You never know

HNY everyone.