Tips for Tikay

[bergeroo]

What do people think about Bangladesh at 20/1 to reach the T20 world cup final?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-world-cup/twenty20-world-cup/to-reach-final

They have just beaten Sri Lanka and Pakistan and the good thing about being in the group with India (who they lost against in the Asia Cup) is that they avoid them until the final should they both go through the group.

Yes Bangladesh to have to play the pre-qualifying group but are 3/10 to win that. Should they come through that they will have had three extra matches to get settled into the tournament in a format that international teams play very little of and you'd already think they would be more adept to the conditions than some of the players in other squads who haven't had much experience on the Indian subcontinent.

It is a short competition so the variance is on our side, they would likely need to win three games in the group and then the semi. Clearly there are more talented sides in the tournament but I think I like the price.

What do other people think?

[TightEnd]

What do people think about Bangladesh at 20/1 to reach the T20 world cup final?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-world-cup/twenty20-world-cup/to-reach-final

They have just beaten Sri Lanka and Pakistan and the good thing about being in the group with India (who they lost against in the Asia Cup) is that they avoid them until the final should they both go through the group.

Yes Bangladesh to have to play the pre-qualifying group but are 3/10 to win that. Should they come through that they will have had three extra matches to get settled into the tournament in a format that international teams play very little of and you'd already think they would be more adept to the conditions than some of the players in other squads who haven't had much experience on the Indian subcontinent.

It is a short competition so the variance is on our side, they would likely need to win three games in the group and then the semi. Clearly there are more talented sides in the tournament but I think I like the price.

What do other people think?

I think its a horrible group to get out of though

India you assume take one of the two places. Aus/Pak/NZ/Bang(probably) and only one to qualify.

by far the tougher group and whilst i would regard Bangladesh as a dangerous side in the tournament the price reflects thats its a crap shoot to qualify. They are going to have to beat probably three of the top 8 sides to qualify and thats why the price is where it is 

[TightEnd]

Yesterday

Loss £115

Month to Date -£115

Outstanding Bets £3631.22

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=22

Winner

Wimbledon dog £50

I watched RVB v Smith. RVB looked disinterested to me, though perhaps playing in a dark shed does that to you. Didn't perform well at all. hit 1 x 180 in 12 legs, lost that one 4-1 and the match 7-5 -£150

-£15 Salford were 30-12 up against Warrington just after half time. Lost 31-30 at the death. Joy was unconfined.

[MattyHollis]

Romford tonight Golden Sprint begins. Great nights racing ahead and i'm making the trip

A few to bet early this morning - can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies - picks for every heat below, upto you Tighty follow if you want or not/if you can get on.

7.46 MakeitBigtime 7/2 Hills £20
8.02 Bramble Bruno 6/4 Betfred £50
8.18 Droopys Story 13/8 Hills (i've not actually bet for heat but I am on antepost 10/1+ win only bet is fair for this dog).
8.34 Mankoya Tim 3/1 B365 £30
8.50 Blakes Turbo 8/1 most £20
9.06 Evanta Fantasy 6/4 Coral £50

[horseplayer]

Quite a lot of guff on Oddschecker these days but this Mike Holden column is always a good read on the football league

http://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/20160304-high-flying-brighton-could-hit-buffers-at-preston

[TightEnd]

Romford tonight Golden Sprint begins. Great nights racing ahead and i'm making the trip

A few to bet early this morning - can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies - picks for every heat below, upto you Tighty follow if you want or not/if you can get on.

7.46 MakeitBigtime 7/2 Hills £20
8.02 Bramble Bruno 6/4 Betfred £50
8.18 Droopys Story 13/8 Hills (i've not actually bet for heat but I am on antepost 10/1+ win only bet is fair for this dog).
8.34 Mankoya Tim 3/1 B365 £30
8.50 Blakes Turbo 8/1 most £20
9.06 Evanta Fantasy 6/4 Coral £50

these completely slipped my mind earlier when i was busy

none of these prices are there now, so have to leave them

next time i would like the best couple of bets only please, saves me from having to choose

[horseplayer]

Romford tonight Golden Sprint begins. Great nights racing ahead and i'm making the trip

A few to bet early this morning - can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies - picks for every heat below, upto you Tighty follow if you want or not/if you can get on.

7.46 MakeitBigtime 7/2 Hills £20
8.02 Bramble Bruno 6/4 Betfred £50
8.18 Droopys Story 13/8 Hills (i've not actually bet for heat but I am on antepost 10/1+ win only bet is fair for this dog).
8.34 Mankoya Tim 3/1 B365 £30
8.50 Blakes Turbo 8/1 most £20
9.06 Evanta Fantasy 6/4 Coral £50

these completely slipped my mind earlier when i was busy

none of these prices are there now, so have to leave them

next time i would like the best couple of bets only please, saves me from having to choose

Not to dig over old ground but...

All the prices are now shorter, this surely tells us we should be auto betting Mattys dog stuff as this seems to happen every week

Appreciate you were busy earlier just talking in general

[TightEnd]

i do bet whatever i can of it. if i remember. my fault today, hands up.

six dogs is a bit daunting though, takes time and admin

would love a couple of selections where we know there is a really strong view irrespective of taking early prices where we should expect them to shorten in thin markets once posted? (i think)

[horseplayer]

i do bet whatever i can of it. if i remember. my fault today, hands up.

six dogs is a bit daunting though, takes time and admin

would love a couple of selections where we know there is a really strong view irrespective of taking early prices where we should expect them to shorten in thin markets once posted? (i think)

"can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies"

I take the point but it is not always that easy to narrow down from that many to two or three.

[TightEnd]

i do bet whatever i can of it. if i remember. my fault today, hands up.

six dogs is a bit daunting though, takes time and admin

would love a couple of selections where we know there is a really strong view irrespective of taking early prices where we should expect them to shorten in thin markets once posted? (i think)

"can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies"

I take the point but it is not always that easy to narrow down from that many to two or three.

yes i take that point but i need educating then

we'd laugh if someone put up six horses across the card on a stadard meeting.

not suggesting we'd laugh at matty at all we can't have an edge in every race can we?

i'd like best ideas, not volume of ideas

happy to be persuaded otherwise 

[Teacake]

Dundee really shouldn't be 5/1 at Rangers on Saturday in the Scottish Cup. Unbeaten in 8 they have players who will trouble Rangers at the back 3 of whom, Harkins, Hemmings and Stewart, were rested tonight at Celtic Park.
Rangers have played 2 top flight teams at home this season losing 3-0 to St Johnstone and drawing 0-0 with Kilmarnock. I can't have Dundee any bigger than 3/1.

Recommend £20 at 5/1 with Bald Fred if account is still good. also available at Boyles and 9/2 generally.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/scottish/fa-cup/rangers-v-dundee/winner

Hate quoting my own post but 4/1 left in a couple of spots.

[Doobs]

Romford tonight Golden Sprint begins. Great nights racing ahead and i'm making the trip

A few to bet early this morning - can't really put up explanations at the mo as i'm off round the bookies in a sec but these should all be shorter later and are my fancies - picks for every heat below, upto you Tighty follow if you want or not/if you can get on.

7.46 MakeitBigtime 7/2 Hills £20
8.02 Bramble Bruno 6/4 Betfred £50
8.18 Droopys Story 13/8 Hills (i've not actually bet for heat but I am on antepost 10/1+ win only bet is fair for this dog).
8.34 Mankoya Tim 3/1 B365 £30
8.50 Blakes Turbo 8/1 most £20
9.06 Evanta Fantasy 6/4 Coral £50

these completely slipped my mind earlier when i was busy

none of these prices are there now, so have to leave them

next time i would like the best couple of bets only please, saves me from having to choose

Not to dig over old ground but...

All the prices are now shorter, this surely tells us we should be auto betting Mattys dog stuff as this seems to happen every week

Appreciate you were busy earlier just talking in general

This tells us that the opening book is 105, the closing book is 120/125 and the thread is very popular.  Greyhound track SPs are notoriously terrible. 

[TightEnd]

Dundee really shouldn't be 5/1 at Rangers on Saturday in the Scottish Cup. Unbeaten in 8 they have players who will trouble Rangers at the back 3 of whom, Harkins, Hemmings and Stewart, were rested tonight at Celtic Park.
Rangers have played 2 top flight teams at home this season losing 3-0 to St Johnstone and drawing 0-0 with Kilmarnock. I can't have Dundee any bigger than 3/1.

Recommend £20 at 5/1 with Bald Fred if account is still good. also available at Boyles and 9/2 generally.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/scottish/fa-cup/rangers-v-dundee/winner

Hate quoting my own post but 4/1 left in a couple of spots.

no problem, i forgot about this too, you should be prodding me

£20 at 4-1 BFSB is on

[MattyHollis]

Lol bet what you like, I'll just put them up for those who care to read them - on the greyhound thread. I take bits and pieces off this thread so like to add rather than lurk. I tell you my equivalent stakes on the dogs I literally bet them all myself too(a bit bigger).

Appreciate the point about 120/125 returning SP however I do generally put the betfair sp up when I mention how the bet goes on. I'll be shocked if there are many over betfair SP over time.

[Archer]

Everton are 4/5 this weekend

at home to West Ham who are a touch under 4/1

west ham played a day later than everton this week.

all the form lines are known etc etc

Is West Ham an example of pricing inefficiency at that price?

thanks

I'm on this having seen it earlier because the 1.7ish for Eveton  seemed to stand out like a sore thumb for being too short. I look at historic prices and a few weeks back Everton were the same price against Swansea at home. The price made sense then because Swansea  were 3rd bottom at the time!