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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16424551 times)
tikay
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« Reply #115560 on: April 01, 2016, 10:06:56 AM »

March 2016 Figures

Closed bets: 115
Amount wagered: £3,677.93
Profit/loss: -£232.52
ROI: -6.32%

Number of "sports" bet on: 14
Most popular: Horses (55), Football (18), Dogs (12), MotorSport (6)
Most profitable: Horses (£190.80), MotorSport (£166.67), Dogs (£65.00), Boxing (£40.00)
Least profitable: Football (-£326.99), RL (-£93.00), Tennis (-£50.00), RU (-£40.00)

Number of tipsters: 27 including 4 new tipsters.


Going forward.

Open bets: 60
Amount staked: £3422.02



Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 5,554
Amount wagered: £165,077.20
Profit/loss: £9,242.42
ROI: 5.60%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30
Most popular:  Horses(1,310), Football (1,279), Golf (412), NFL(343).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   4,415.51   38,750.72   11.39   1,279
Horses   1,996.24   42,185.54   4.73   1,310
Misc.   1,970.12   7,619.77   25.86   201

...
Snooker   -416.00   1,446.00   -28.77   42
Boxing   -451.76   3,052.67   -14.80   83
RU   -452.19   4,773.29   -9.47   253



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zeo-QVxVT7E3dVqP6lXI4xaA8ofWFWM2QOOTdAklvQM/edit#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 187


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 61

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
Ladbrokes      3,077.80   19,982.68   15.40   754
Bwin      3,042.33   4,947.86   61.49   132
BoyleSports      2,505.40   4,520.45   55.42   116

...
PaddyPower      -557.82   7,755.31   -7.19   365
BetDaq      -977.60   1,192.50   -81.98   6
BetFred      -1,666.68   13,398.72   -12.44   460



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zeo-QVxVT7E3dVqP6lXI4xaA8ofWFWM2QOOTdAklvQM/edit#gid=7


Morning Vince,

Thanks for these numbers.

Good to see 4 new Tipsters, the more the merrier, we just need to keep them now.

Now a great month, effectively Football was the main reason we lost money, (-£326) even though we only placed 18 football wagers in the month, which is quite low for us. Overall, Football remains our star performer, with just shy of £4,500 profit at an ROI of 11.4%.

Horses did well in March, (+£191), & overall sits in 2nd place with £2,000 profit at 4.7%.

Another good month for Motorsport, too, (+£167), & with the F1 season now up & running, that's encouraging. Motorsport is now our 5th most profitable product, with +£462 @ 9.5%.

"Miscellaneous" sits proudly in 3rd, with almost £2,000 profit at 26%, which is extraordinary.

Big few weeks ahead now, with F1 this weekend, Grand National & The Masters next weekend, & some of the season long football bets coming to maturity.  
« Last Edit: April 01, 2016, 10:08:32 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #115561 on: April 01, 2016, 10:10:48 AM »



Settlement Day

If Fred owes anyone for March Bets, let me know please & I'll get it sorted. Those with "running slates", either way, it's up to you, we can settle now or keep the tab running.

I've settled Mark Porter this morning (£10).
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« Reply #115562 on: April 01, 2016, 10:35:19 AM »

For some reason they don't seem to work for me anymore

Anyway this was recobas team last night,seen worse


 Click to see full-size image.


Is Valderamma still sporting a large hairdo?
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« Reply #115563 on: April 01, 2016, 11:07:35 AM »

Double and triple check vc send you your balance. They told me my card had expired but never bothered to follow up with me. Just happy to let a balance I couldn't check sit in a dead account.
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« Reply #115564 on: April 01, 2016, 11:11:25 AM »

Okay guys, a big motorsport weekend coming up with the Bahrain GP and the Long Beach ePrix.

Here are my initial bet suggestions:

Bahrain GP

Race Winner: Sebastian Vettel @ 5/1 with tonnes of bookies including 366, Vicktor, Hills, Betfayre, Betaway. Due to the nature of the climate in Bahrain, this track always has the potential to mix things up, especially with the 2016 tyre rules and three dry tyre compounds. Suggest £15.

Podium Finish: Sergio Perez @ 14/1 with 366 and Paddipower. Similar reasoning to above. In addition, the Force India is kind on its tyres, as is Sergio; he is very strong on this track. Suggest £10.

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 23/10 with the exchange (9/4 with Viktor is okay too). Same reason as above. Suggest £25.

Not To Finish The Race: Romain Grosjean @ 6/5 with Brokes (11/10 with Hills and Viktor is okay) & Esteban Gutierrez @ 11/10 with 366 & Viktor. Haas suffered a number of high temperature failures in pre-season testing, and could suffer in Bahrain as a result. Suggest £20 on each.

Double Points Finish: Renault @ 22/1 with Beewin (20/1 with Hills is okay too). They're not THAT far off. Suggest £5.

Long Beach ePrix

Race Winner: Sam Bird @ 10/1 with SkaiBet and Brokes. Probably won't happen, Buemi should have it in the bag like usual, but it has certainly got a better chance than 10/1. Suggest £5 EW.

        Bet Type: Single
            Bahrain GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Sebastian Vettel 5/1
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 90.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 90.00 GBP


Sergio Perez Bahrain Grand Prix Top 6 Finish
9/4
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £81.25

Esteban Gutierrez Bahrain Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
11/10
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £42.00

Romain Grosjean Bahrain Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
6/5
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £44.00

Renault Bahrain Grand Prix Double Points Finish
20/1
Total Stake: £5.00
Potential Returns: £105.00


i couldnt do perez podium at those book makers and sam bird/formula e is only up at sky
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« Reply #115565 on: April 01, 2016, 12:01:43 PM »

I know I know, premier league market odds are never wrong but

Leicester away to Sunderland 23/20
Arsenal away to West Ham 19/20

seems weird to me

Nobody any thoughts?
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« Reply #115566 on: April 01, 2016, 01:04:04 PM »

Romford tonight a quick early selection

818 T3 - Alice my Angel - 11/2 BFSB if you can get on. I thought this was nearer a 7/2 shot and b365 trader agrees with me, suggest £20. In good form at Towcester and has a chance to lead the inside over 6 bends tonight.
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« Reply #115567 on: April 01, 2016, 01:14:42 PM »

I know I know, premier league market odds are never wrong but

Leicester away to Sunderland 23/20
Arsenal away to West Ham 19/20

seems weird to me

Nobody any thoughts?

in a week's time west ham at 3/1+ at home to Arsenal looks very interesting to me

one to look at again after the weekend's games
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« Reply #115568 on: April 01, 2016, 01:50:46 PM »

For some reason they don't seem to work for me anymore

Anyway this was recobas team last night,seen worse


 Click to see full-size image.


Is Valderamma still sporting a large hairdo?

And a large arse Smiley
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« Reply #115569 on: April 01, 2016, 02:00:14 PM »

Not a recc but just for interest

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league-south/weston-super-mare-v-margate/winner

Live near Margate now (thankfully not that near) but seen them a few times. They got a new manager in December won 7 in a row were on the verge of the play-offs and have since lost 8 in a row and are now only 6 points clear of the drop.

The star player was bought by Palace this week (strong raw striker lots to work on but worth the risk) and their key defender is injured. The main "angle" is the manager was promised a new contract past the summer which has now vanished the chairman stepped down midweek and the players the new gaffer wanted have all fallen through (he let go of 5 squad players anticipating the new signings.)

Plenty of talk a lot of the rest of the team won't last until the end of the season and all seems a mess, Weston Super Mare are second bottom so not to get to carried away.

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« Reply #115570 on: April 01, 2016, 02:13:31 PM »

Romford tonight a quick early selection

818 T3 - Alice my Angel - 11/2 BFSB if you can get on. I thought this was nearer a 7/2 shot and b365 trader agrees with me, suggest £20. In good form at Towcester and has a chance to lead the inside over 6 bends tonight.

limited to 91 pence i am afraid

it appears we have all but lost the bfsb account since the BOG/offers were removed a fortnight ago

haven't been able to get an unrestricted bet on since
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« Reply #115571 on: April 01, 2016, 03:18:41 PM »

Romford tonight a quick early selection

818 T3 - Alice my Angel - 11/2 BFSB if you can get on. I thought this was nearer a 7/2 shot and b365 trader agrees with me, suggest £20. In good form at Towcester and has a chance to lead the inside over 6 bends tonight.

limited to 91 pence i am afraid

it appears we have all but lost the bfsb account since the BOG/offers were removed a fortnight ago

haven't been able to get an unrestricted bet on since

1% limits standard when you lose the offers.  Thin i know but I was put on 0% limits on bfsb for all dogs before the sb even opened and i ever had a bet on any sport so you doing well to only be on 1% now given the live stuff you have backed over last few months.
« Last Edit: April 01, 2016, 03:35:07 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #115572 on: April 01, 2016, 04:43:48 PM »

Worse ideas than just backing the big six EW for the Masters next week?

The green rofflers are a fifth the odds seven places. Be surprised if three of the sextet don't make the frame and one of them doesn't win it.

We all know the score round Augusta. Distance off the tee and course form all important, and forget anyone that doesn't fit the trends?
« Last Edit: April 01, 2016, 04:54:23 PM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #115573 on: April 01, 2016, 04:53:53 PM »

Okay guys, a big motorsport weekend coming up with the Bahrain GP and the Long Beach ePrix.

Here are my initial bet suggestions:

Bahrain GP

Race Winner: Sebastian Vettel @ 5/1 with tonnes of bookies including 366, Vicktor, Hills, Betfayre, Betaway. Due to the nature of the climate in Bahrain, this track always has the potential to mix things up, especially with the 2016 tyre rules and three dry tyre compounds. Suggest £15.

Podium Finish: Sergio Perez @ 14/1 with 366 and Paddipower. Similar reasoning to above. In addition, the Force India is kind on its tyres, as is Sergio; he is very strong on this track. Suggest £10.

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 23/10 with the exchange (9/4 with Viktor is okay too). Same reason as above. Suggest £25.

Not To Finish The Race: Romain Grosjean @ 6/5 with Brokes (11/10 with Hills and Viktor is okay) & Esteban Gutierrez @ 11/10 with 366 & Viktor. Haas suffered a number of high temperature failures in pre-season testing, and could suffer in Bahrain as a result. Suggest £20 on each.

Double Points Finish: Renault @ 22/1 with Beewin (20/1 with Hills is okay too). They're not THAT far off. Suggest £5.

Long Beach ePrix

Race Winner: Sam Bird @ 10/1 with SkaiBet and Brokes. Probably won't happen, Buemi should have it in the bag like usual, but it has certainly got a better chance than 10/1. Suggest £5 EW.

        Bet Type: Single
            Bahrain GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Sebastian Vettel 5/1
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 90.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 90.00 GBP


Sergio Perez Bahrain Grand Prix Top 6 Finish
9/4
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £81.25

Esteban Gutierrez Bahrain Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
11/10
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £42.00

Romain Grosjean Bahrain Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
6/5
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £44.00

Renault Bahrain Grand Prix Double Points Finish
20/1
Total Stake: £5.00
Potential Returns: £105.00


i couldnt do perez podium at those book makers and sam bird/formula e is only up at sky

Formula E can be done on 'brokes, despite what oddschecker is telling you:

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/race-5-long-beach/221851748/

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« Reply #115574 on: April 01, 2016, 04:55:59 PM »

Motorsport is now our 5th most profitable product, with +£462 @ 9.5%.

5th? More work to do yet then 
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