Tips for Tikay

[bergeroo]

Right I got £2 on with Party at 500s, cmon the Saubers!

Cheers for the F1 stuff guys-lots to cheer on now.

Peter you mentioned an 80-1 price for Sauber getting double points finish but this was 500-1 at Bwin and 200-1 at Hills, when I checked  ;-)

Seriously?! When was this? Currently only on betfayre?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/belgian-grand-prix/double-points-finish-yes-no

Unless I am mistaken the below is the same market, it's just titled slightly differently resulting in a different oddschecker market:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/belgian-grand-prix/double-points-finish

Wow .. well that's pretty annoying. Good spot though.

I've topped up £5 at 200/1 with WH. Bwin wouldn't let me bet on it

[FUN4FRASER]

With Deeney and Igalho up front Watford seem a bit of value at home to Arsenal  16-5 and 3 -1 available DRAW NO BET

 any thoughts  ?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/watford-v-arsenal/draw-no-bet

Don't really have a view on the price but the front 2 have been poor so far.  Deeney has put on a lot of weight/muscle and it isn't helping his mobility.

Troy Deeney & Anthony Joshua are best mates  (Watford connection )

They actually do a lot of boxing training up here at the Institute of Sport in Sheffield , apparently Troy is a pretty handy in the ring ( hence is recent muscle gain )

I was talking to him about six weeks ago and he loves the boxing game ,  dont be surprised to see him turning pro at some stage .

[swinebag22]

Ferrari bets done on the first corner

[vegaslover]

Nice early safety car for the Hamilton bet

[DropTheHammer]

Nice early safety car for the Hamilton bet

Now up to 3rd with 25 laps to go 

[Peter-27]

A great race, but a poor, poor day for the bets ..

We got close on a number of them, the start just didn't quite pan out as we needed.

Italian GP next weekend, hopefully we can undo the damage there

[Karabiner]

Ryder Cup wildcard race just got even more interesting with Pieters' impressive win in Denmark today and Knox's a week or so ago.

Which of Westwood and Keymer, the two apparent locks is more vulnerable?

[Jamier-Host]

Also, Scuy have a price boost on Murray to beat Djok in the final. 11-2. Crazy crazy price.

Betfayre SB has this listed @ 6/1 too btw

[buzzharvey22]

Ryder Cup wildcard race just got even more interesting with Pieters' impressive win in Denmark today and Knox's a week or so ago.

Which of Westwood and Keymer, the two apparent locks is more vulnerable?

Neither are more vulnerable. Simply because they both have ryder cup experience which is needed to balance the team.

Had it been Luke Donald or Gimac banging on the door i think Kaymer would have been the more vulnerable out of the 2.

[Chompy]

Also, Scuy have a price boost on Murray to beat Djok in the final. 11-2. Crazy crazy price.

Betfayre SB has this listed @ 6/1 too btw

Craziness. Murray is 2-1 to win it. Djok is 4-9 to make the final. It's a straightforward double as far as I can see, which comes to around 100-30.

[Doobs]

Also, Scuy have a price boost on Murray to beat Djok in the final. 11-2. Crazy crazy price.

Betfayre SB has this listed @ 6/1 too btw

Craziness. Murray is 2-1 to win it. Djok is 4-9 to make the final. It's a straightforward double as far as I can see, which comes to around 100-30.

What price murray to win a djok, murray final (6/4?).  Murray is 4/5 to final, djok 4/9.

Win chance is then 4/10 x 9/13 x 5/9 = 20/130 = 1/6.5 or 11/2 in odds?

Late and sleepy.  Can't promise this is right.

[Weetabix]

I'm not sure about how good this 11/2 really is. If this alleged wrist problem combined with his poor form(Djokovic standards) continues he won't make the final.  If it was the Djokovic pre Wimbledon he would be an 8/11 shot for this with the decline of fed and nadal, these two are way ahead of the pack right now.  If djoko makes the final with Murray he is probably near top form again and Murray won't be anywhere near a 6/4 shot.  Djoko usually goes off 1.3-1.4 v Murray as he dominates him in these slam finals, 1.5 tops in my opinion.  Taking Murray to win at 2/1 looks a bad bet, wouldn't be put off an e/w bet as the gulf is massive between the top two and the 3rd fav raonic(no idea how he is even 3rd fav) 9/2 and 4/1 was available just after Wimbledon if you were quick enough.

[Jamier-Host]

Also, Scuy have a price boost on Murray to beat Djok in the final. 11-2. Crazy crazy price.

Betfayre SB has this listed @ 6/1 too btw

Craziness. Murray is 2-1 to win it. Djok is 4-9 to make the final. It's a straightforward double as far as I can see, which comes to around 100-30.

I don't think it's that simple. The 2/1 builds in the fact he could end up playing someone weaker in the final. If by some weird setup he had to battle through his half of the draw to face a guaranteed Djok in the final he'd be bigger than 2/1 right?

Doobs attempt sounds more like the right approach.

[Weetabix]

Correct^. The doubts on djoko form/injury isn't clear. As an e/w bet it looks pretty solid as muzza has a nice draw

[Chompy]

Also, Scuy have a price boost on Murray to beat Djok in the final. 11-2. Crazy crazy price.

Betfayre SB has this listed @ 6/1 too btw

Craziness. Murray is 2-1 to win it. Djok is 4-9 to make the final. It's a straightforward double as far as I can see, which comes to around 100-30.

What price murray to win a djok, murray final (6/4?).  Murray is 4/5 to final, djok 4/9.

Win chance is then 4/10 x 9/13 x 5/9 = 20/130 = 1/6.5 or 11/2 in odds?

Late and sleepy.  Can't promise this is right.

Not sure working it out as a treble is correct though? This is essentially pricing up Murray to win it and Djok to finish second?

Opinions on either player's outright chance beyond what price they are shouldn't be factored in either imo.

BFSB and Scuy don't have the machine to copy and they've screwed it up. As per.

If we assume the price about Djok making the final (around 1-2) is correct, then Murray would have to be around 9-2 outright in that case to win it in order for 6-1 to be correct. If that makes sense.