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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16555991 times)
doubleup
Hero Member
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Posts: 7132
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123360 on:
November 08, 2016, 02:39:20 PM »
Quote from: Tal on November 08, 2016, 02:17:49 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
Me neither.
My £5 staked on Jim Fooreek at the golf - deal with it.
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doubleup
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Posts: 7132
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123361 on:
November 08, 2016, 02:41:00 PM »
Quote from: AndrewT on November 08, 2016, 01:08:17 PM
Quote from: doubleup on November 08, 2016, 11:01:58 AM
Surely Clinton 360 EC votes @ 13-1 or so in Betfair is to big? She is under 6-1 to win Georgia and a late swing that took Georgia would surely mean a sweep of all the battleground states as they are correlated. Thoughts?
I certainly think there's value in a Clinton landslide. Polls have started to swing back towards her after she was cleared (again) from the emails thing on Sunday but because it happened so late the polls probably underestimate the positive effect for her.
As you say the states are correlated and it looks like you or someone else has crashed into this bet on BF as it's now only 8.something, whereas still available at 12/1 with PP, for example.
One market to look at is any one with Clinton getting over 400 EC votes (different bookies have different bands for the EC bets). This essentially means 'can Hillary win Texas' as that has 38 EC votes and would send her flying past 400, carrying plenty of other southern states with it.
538 gives Hillary a 5.6% chance in Texas yet Ladbrokes have Clinton 410+ at 50/1. If she wins Texas there is nearly zero chance of her not getting 410.
Also, anyone who wants a short-priced one - Clinton to win NH at about 1/3 (4/11 with Coral). She's polling better here than in Nevada, yet Nevada is about 1/5.
Gone out again now 15-1.
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arbboy
Hero Member
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123362 on:
November 08, 2016, 03:13:05 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week, and my 10bet, too.
Just thinking back to my 2006/7 hills account. What a life it was back then! No such thing as free bets back then. Just an ability to get on was enough to keep you coming back!
«
Last Edit: November 08, 2016, 03:28:49 PM by arbboy
»
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Marky147
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Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123363 on:
November 08, 2016, 03:41:47 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 03:13:05 PM
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week, and my 10bet, too.
Just thinking back to my 2006/7 hills account. What a life it was back then! No such thing as free bets back then. Just an ability to get on was enough to keep you coming back!
Different world, just like teh pokerz
Logged
Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123364 on:
November 08, 2016, 03:43:20 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 03:41:47 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 03:13:05 PM
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week, and my 10bet, too.
Just thinking back to my 2006/7 hills account. What a life it was back then! No such thing as free bets back then. Just an ability to get on was enough to keep you coming back!
Different world, just like teh pokerz
Amazing. You could take a zero off most of the bets i could easily get online back then and you still wouldn't be able to get them now. Hills accounts were the nuts for arbing back then. Software so slow. Prices changes so slow coming through on the horse shows!
Imagine getting £15k e/w on a 4/6 shot in a bad ew horse race nowadays which was 1/20 to place on the machine and 8/13 to win on the machine, it getting beat unplaced and the account lasting for months after that to those types of levels of bets!
«
Last Edit: November 08, 2016, 03:56:09 PM by arbboy
»
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123365 on:
November 08, 2016, 04:27:55 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week
, and my 10bet, too.
Say it ain't so?
Logged
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123366 on:
November 08, 2016, 04:38:40 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 03:43:20 PM
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 03:41:47 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 03:13:05 PM
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week, and my 10bet, too.
Just thinking back to my 2006/7 hills account. What a life it was back then! No such thing as free bets back then. Just an ability to get on was enough to keep you coming back!
Different world, just like teh pokerz
Amazing. You could take a zero off most of the bets i could easily get online back then and you still wouldn't be able to get them now. Hills accounts were the nuts for arbing back then. Software so slow. Prices changes so slow coming through on the horse shows!
Imagine getting £15k e/w on a 4/6 shot in a bad ew horse race nowadays which was 1/20 to place on the machine and 8/13 to win on the machine, it getting beat unplaced and the account lasting for months after that to those types of levels of bets!
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Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123367 on:
November 08, 2016, 04:39:40 PM »
Quote from: tikay on November 08, 2016, 04:27:55 PM
Quote from: Marky147 on November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: exstream on November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM
I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills.
+1
That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there
Laddies went bang last week
, and my 10bet, too.
Say it ain't so?
It is gg, unfortunately.
limited to £1 max on anything.
Logged
Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
ripple11
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 6313
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123368 on:
November 08, 2016, 05:54:57 PM »
Quote from: AndrewT on November 08, 2016, 01:24:44 AM
Distinct lack of Danny Baker in the IACGMOOH lineup
http://www.itv.com/news/2016-11-07/revealed-the-official-im-a-celebrity-contestant-line-up/
Sigh
....and once he tweeted this, it didnt look good
"
To be fair, I did have talks with #IACGMOOH this year but when I said my luxury item had to be a case of white wine the f*****s backed out.”
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123369 on:
November 08, 2016, 06:28:59 PM »
stat alert
Since Aug 2012, Arsenal have been 4/6 or bigger for 52 PL matches. If you were on each one at 7/2 (to level stakes), you'd still be down.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123370 on:
November 08, 2016, 06:31:23 PM »
he's 19
nickname "baby boycs"
Haseeb Hameed becomes Cook's 11th opening partner since 2012 tomorrow
quite the baptism, India have won 11 of the last 12 at home and Ashwin has 153 wickets in 20 home tests.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Nakor
Tinca Tinca
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4023
Serve the spider
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123371 on:
November 08, 2016, 07:31:28 PM »
Quote from: ripple11 on November 08, 2016, 05:54:57 PM
Quote from: AndrewT on November 08, 2016, 01:24:44 AM
Distinct lack of Danny Baker in the IACGMOOH lineup
http://www.itv.com/news/2016-11-07/revealed-the-official-im-a-celebrity-contestant-line-up/
Sigh
....and once he tweeted this, it didnt look good
"
To be fair, I did have talks with #IACGMOOH this year but when I said my luxury item had to be a case of white wine the f*****s backed out.”
Think he is in still. Medical prevents him from sky diving in so will join Day 2 after doing the scare shack or whatever its called.
Logged
Quote from: mondatoo on April 13, 2011, 09:14:50 PM
Shit post Nakor, such a clown.
What do you get when you cross a joke with a rhetorical question?
Karabiner
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22815
James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123372 on:
November 08, 2016, 08:28:15 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 08, 2016, 06:28:59 PM
stat alert
Since Aug 2012, Arsenal have been 4/6 or bigger for 52 PL matches. If you were on each one at 7/2 (to level stakes), you'd still be down.
Balanced as ever..
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
Chompy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 11503
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123373 on:
November 08, 2016, 08:31:10 PM »
Yuh, seems Danny boy is going in and will be around a 5-1 shot. Record signing for IAC according to some sauces.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Karabiner
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Offline
Posts: 22815
James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #123374 on:
November 08, 2016, 08:37:36 PM »
If he's only taking one case of white wine as his luxury item he's definitely not there for more than a fortnight.
Trust me on that and lay off if you get a nice price after his first ten days.
Logged
"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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