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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13443046 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #134100 on: September 01, 2018, 07:58:50 PM »

Lovely scenes for our L1 scorer portfolio, with both Ronan Curtis and Kieffer bracing up.
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« Reply #134101 on: September 01, 2018, 08:48:21 PM »

£50EW double please if someone can help out with 356 or Betwat?

Liverpool @ 3-1 and Barnsley at 4-1 (356) or 9-2.

Very hard to see the place part not copping, even this early, and the win double is far from impossible. Neither have conceded yet and both are genuine contenders. If anything I'd have Barnsley's squad as stronger than Sunderland's.

This was missed or rebuffed at the time but it's still there with Hill's, who are biggest about the pair @ 11-4 and 7-2.
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Marky147
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« Reply #134102 on: September 01, 2018, 09:45:40 PM »

£50EW double please if someone can help out with 356 or Betwat?

Liverpool @ 3-1 and Barnsley at 4-1 (356) or 9-2.

Very hard to see the place part not copping, even this early, and the win double is far from impossible. Neither have conceded yet and both are genuine contenders. If anything I'd have Barnsley's squad as stronger than Sunderland's.

This was missed or rebuffed at the time but it's still there with Hill's, who are biggest about the pair @ 11-4 and 7-2.

Liverpool to finish top 2, is that same with all bookies?
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Peter-27
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« Reply #134103 on: September 02, 2018, 08:51:28 AM »

I've got one pre-race spot to suggest.

Esteban Ocon - Top Six Finish @ 2/1+ on the exchange. He qualified 8th yesterday, but with a poor lap. Based on practice, he really should have been 6th quite comfortably. Daniel Ricciardo recovering back through the field is a concern, and actually I do think Daniel will catch Esteban towards the end of the race. However, 2/1+ is still a good price. It's also worth noting that a retirement could work in his favour here too. Suggest £10.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/motor-sport/market/1.147254461?clkID=63_376B34132D1E4E4F87388249589DB331&rfr=63&ttp=111&pid=1082499&bid=9882
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TightEnd
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« Reply #134104 on: September 02, 2018, 10:26:21 AM »

I've got one pre-race spot to suggest.

Esteban Ocon - Top Six Finish @ 2/1+ on the exchange. He qualified 8th yesterday, but with a poor lap. Based on practice, he really should have been 6th quite comfortably. Daniel Ricciardo recovering back through the field is a concern, and actually I do think Daniel will catch Esteban towards the end of the race. However, 2/1+ is still a good price. It's also worth noting that a retirement could work in his favour here too. Suggest £10.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/motor-sport/market/1.147254461?clkID=63_376B34132D1E4E4F87388249589DB331&rfr=63&ttp=111&pid=1082499&bid=9882

6/4 currently
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TightEnd
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« Reply #134105 on: September 02, 2018, 10:33:09 AM »

Double(s)
Ref: O/0457483/0002347/F
Liverpool @ 11/4
28 May 2019 - English Premier League - Outright - Outright
Barnsley @ 7/2
08 Sep 2018 - English League One 2018/19 - Outright
EW
Stake£100.00 (£50.00 x 2)
To return £1023.43
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Chompy
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« Reply #134106 on: September 02, 2018, 11:05:58 AM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4njy0-82KW8

Extraordinary this. 11,000 odd complaints to Ofcom.
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« Reply #134107 on: September 02, 2018, 11:24:35 AM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4njy0-82KW8

Extraordinary this. 11,000 odd complaints to Ofcom.


You are joking.

It's scary how some psycho bird can try and manipulate a situation like that.

I hope it reflects on her future career and she is never heard of again. The world doesn't need women, or men, behaving like that
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Chompy
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« Reply #134108 on: September 02, 2018, 11:25:53 AM »

She used to go out with Ryan's best mate, who she 'treated badly', and obviously they knew each other from Corrie.

It all hit the fan on last night's show. She walked out.

https://www.my5.tv/celebrity-big-brother/season-15/episode-17-2

Ryan predictably gone from 4-1 to 4-7. Hope he wins it.
« Last Edit: September 02, 2018, 11:27:28 AM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #134109 on: September 02, 2018, 11:28:14 AM »

She used to go out with Ryan's best mate, who she 'treated badly', and obviously they knew each other from Corrie.

It all hit the fan on last night's show. She walked out.

https://www.my5.tv/celebrity-big-brother/season-15/episode-17-2

Ryan predictably gone from 4-1 to 4-7. Hope he wins it.

Sense sounds like it has prevailed
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« Reply #134110 on: September 02, 2018, 11:42:54 AM »

I've got one pre-race spot to suggest.

Esteban Ocon - Top Six Finish @ 2/1+ on the exchange. He qualified 8th yesterday, but with a poor lap. Based on practice, he really should have been 6th quite comfortably. Daniel Ricciardo recovering back through the field is a concern, and actually I do think Daniel will catch Esteban towards the end of the race. However, 2/1+ is still a good price. It's also worth noting that a retirement could work in his favour here too. Suggest £10.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/motor-sport/market/1.147254461?clkID=63_376B34132D1E4E4F87388249589DB331&rfr=63&ttp=111&pid=1082499&bid=9882

6/4 currently

Not good enough.
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Tal
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« Reply #134111 on: September 02, 2018, 11:50:50 AM »

A divisional bet to help start a good week of NFL portfolio accrual.

The AFC North has looked of late like a predictable sort: the Steelers win it, the Ravens and Bengals compete with each other and the Browns come last.

The market still says that:

https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/afc-north/winner

The Ravens surprised a few people last year - myself included (remember we bet on them coming fourth - well, technically, the Browns coming third) - but a smart defense and a make-do offense enabled them to get a decent set of results. They won 9 games but the points scored and conceded would suggest their expected wins were one higher, at 10.07

Meanwhile, the Steelers, who won the division at a canter, won 13 games, but had an expected wins total of 10.16.

Neither team has made changes this year to lead you to think they'll be much worse or much better than last year. The Steelers are having contract issues with star running back Lev Bell, but they have an offensive line that will allow James Conner to be serviceable and Bell will be back at some point, for what we assume will be his last year in Pittsburgh. Their defense will probably improve a little, but not enormously. The Ravens have a slightly improved wide receiving corps and they have an insurance policy if QB Joe Flacco fails, in versatile rookie, Lamar Jackson.

Basically, the prices are like it's a 13 win team versus a 9 win team, rather than them being much closer. The Steelers should be favs, but the Ravens shouldn't be as far away as they are.

Baltimore Ravens for the win, please.

If anyone can get Beteveryday's price of 9/2, that's a belter. Be good if we can get any of the over 7/2 prices, though I suspect these are all non-Fred ones.

Recommendation of £40 on anything above 7/2. If we can only get 7/2, £30.
« Last Edit: September 02, 2018, 11:52:41 AM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #134112 on: September 02, 2018, 11:58:05 AM »

with their big play passing game (AJ, Ross has had a fine pre-season) and a defense that should be creating a lot of sacks (Lawson, Atkins etc) why wouldn't the Bengals be in contention too? the offensive line is the perennial bug bear but if its servicable enough (Price, Glenn added) then Mixon should create enough of a running game too

in a group with teams like the Broncos, Bears (awake now) who are sleepers that should be competing at 8-8+ this season to my mind
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Tal
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« Reply #134113 on: September 02, 2018, 12:22:48 PM »

with their big play passing game (AJ, Ross has had a fine pre-season) and a defense that should be creating a lot of sacks (Lawson, Atkins etc) why wouldn't the Bengals be in contention too? the offensive line is the perennial bug bear but if its servicable enough (Price, Glenn added) then Mixon should create enough of a running game too

in a group with teams like the Broncos, Bears (awake now) who are sleepers that should be competing at 8-8+ this season to my mind

The Bengals will be more exciting to watch for sure. Passing game should include more short stuff - Mixon has been playing some WR sets - which will help their efficiency. There is a stigma with the Bengals about their clutch-ness, but addressing the OLine is certainly a plus.

Any reason why not to back both?

My concern is it will likely need 10 wins to win this division; 8-8 won't cut it. In the price of course.
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« Reply #134114 on: September 02, 2018, 02:20:48 PM »

 Ravens are 5/5.2 on bf.   no need to take 7/2.

laying Steelers prob better than backing both?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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