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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13333310 times)
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« Reply #137745 on: April 12, 2021, 08:20:12 PM »

Talking of Brighton track specialist and regular Roy Rocket passed away recently

Love this commentary from Simon Holt "Roys the Boy"

Can't remember a lowish grade horse getting such a cheer as him in recent years anyway

https://twitter.com/i/status/1380790838867996673  

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tikay
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« Reply #137746 on: April 12, 2021, 08:31:59 PM »

Anybody who backs a John Bridger 2 yr old debutant needs sectioning Smiley

Real freakish performance was apparently very restless and noisy in the paddock (paddock judges done the lot not for the first time)

Probably be winning at Brighton from 52 in five years

They interviewed John Bridger after the race. He's 80 years old & has been training 55 years, & it was his first ever 2yo to win first time out.

And yes, Arboy Will played up a treat in the paddock before the race.
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tikay
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« Reply #137747 on: April 12, 2021, 08:42:28 PM »


Here's a replay of the race;



https://www.attheraces.com/atrplayer-popup/VOD/1195342
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« Reply #137748 on: April 17, 2021, 10:24:41 AM »

This guy is way too good for the ESC. Needs a barbers though.



La Suisse douze points. Anything over 5-1 is fine.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2021, 10:27:54 AM by Chompy » Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #137749 on: April 18, 2021, 03:10:00 PM »

Marco Ghiani, top apprentice jockey, 8-1 Hills, fifth three places. £50EW please. Try and get this thread rolling again.

Jockeys lose their claim after 95 winners. Ghiani is now on 67 and will be on around 70 when the championship season starts on 1 May. That means he'll be able to ride 25 or so more winners before losing his 3lb allowance.

At that point he'll have to decide whether to stay listed as an apprentice for the rest of the season or turn pro. Last season Fallon decided to stay as an apprentice so he could win a second title on the spin. I suspect that Ghiani, given he'd only ridden a couple of winners at the start of 2020, will do the same, rather than risk turning pro and dropping straight off the radar. That happens a lot.

Three winners from 23 rides in the past fortnight is about what we can expect from him all summer. He's based with Stuart Williams but gets used by all sorts of Newmarket yards, including Varian and Hugo Palmer.

Benoit de la Sayette makes the market here at 4-5. He's either a certainty or a no-hoper, depending what Gosden wants to do with him. This is Gosden's first apprentice for donkeys years. The timing coincides with Thady becoming joint trainer and it may have been son's idea.

BDLS rode the Lincoln winner and I suspect Gozzer will want to keep his 7lb in tact for big handicaps throughout the season. In that case it's hard to see him going to Newcastle on a Friday evening for six rides. Especially as he needed his old man to drive him up to Doncaster.

So far this year he's ridden 11 winners from 44 rides for a level-stakes loss, which shows he's getting put up on plenty of shorties. He'll drop from 7lb to 5lb after 20 winners (rode one last year, so 12 total), and from 5lb to 3lb after 50.

Only Gosden knows if he'll become champion apprentice, but this is all about the place part. Unless Ghiani turns pro or gets injured he's not going to be out of the top three. And the win part is way live. Some of the pricing further down is bizarre. 14-1 Finley Marsh needs no comment, 20-1 Dobie is laughable.
« Last Edit: April 18, 2021, 03:12:59 PM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #137750 on: April 18, 2021, 07:16:56 PM »


I can't find that on WH Chomps.

Under Horse Racing Specials I can see Flat Jockeys Championship 2021 but that's the grown-up Jockeys version. (I'm using Desktop).
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« Reply #137751 on: April 18, 2021, 07:24:30 PM »

You were looking in the right place...they've pulled it!

Guests got the valoo again. I'll PM first next time.
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« Reply #137752 on: April 18, 2021, 07:28:58 PM »

You were looking in the right place...they've pulled it!

Guests got the valoo again. I'll PM first next time.

Bugger.

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« Reply #137753 on: April 18, 2021, 08:58:14 PM »

I see the market, but get the message that the event has started.

Add me to that PM list please.
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« Reply #137754 on: April 19, 2021, 10:55:18 AM »

Sure thing.

We'll get Hills this way instead. Better bet if anything.

https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/horse-racing/OB_EV20151447/flat-jockeys-handicap-2021

There's never been a more open jockeys' championship race and I don't see anyone running away with it. Buick is trying by all accounts, as are Oisin and Curtis. I can't have Curtis at all though.

WH were biggest price Marquand in the outrights at 10-1, which was double the next best, when they framed their handicap. Since then they've cut him to 7-1 (there is no each-way betting despite what it says on the website).

I'd have him as about co-favourite of three with Oisin and Buick, with Hollie just behind and Curtis behind her.

+35 is ridiculous about a potential champion who's going all out for it after a winter abroad. He's getting 15 start from his bird ffs.

There are some dangerous floaters below like Stott and McDonald, but this is a rick, so £50EW @ 12-1 please. Best be quick before they pull the market though.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #137755 on: April 19, 2021, 10:57:49 AM »

Sure thing.

We'll get Hills this way instead. Better bet if anything.

https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/horse-racing/OB_EV20151447/flat-jockeys-handicap-2021

There's never been a more open jockeys' championship race and I don't see anyone running away with it. Buick is trying by all accounts, as are Oisin and Curtis. I can't have Curtis at all though.

WH were biggest price Marquand in the outrights at 10-1, which was double the next best, when they framed their handicap. Since then they've cut him to 7-1 (there is no each-way betting despite what it says on the website).

I'd have him as about co-favourite of three with Oisin and Buick, with Hollie just behind and Curtis behind her.

+35 is ridiculous about a potential champion who's going all out for it after a winter abroad. He's getting 15 start from his bird ffs.

There are some dangerous floaters below like Stott and McDonald, but this is a rick, so £50EW @ 12-1 please. Best be quick before they pull the market though.

BOOKED.

We are safely on.

Damn you Chomps, I'd pretty much quit betting aside from the odd £10 or £20.
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« Reply #137756 on: April 20, 2021, 10:38:38 AM »


Barry Hearn stepping down, Eddie stepping up

What a fascinating career he has had.

Neither father or son are complete angels, but I admire & like them both very much.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/56808972




 Click to see full-size image.



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« Reply #137757 on: April 20, 2021, 11:01:41 AM »

Ooh, so close. It's all in the timing.

https://www.racingpost.com/news/star-apprentice-jockey-benoit-de-la-sayette-notified-of-positive-cocaine-test/485470

Chunky ban to follow no doubt and Champ App chances gone.

Guess that's why Willie pulled their prices.

All aboard the Ghiani express, woo woo!
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #137758 on: April 20, 2021, 11:03:00 AM »

Ooh, so close. It's all in the timing.

https://www.racingpost.com/news/star-apprentice-jockey-benoit-de-la-sayette-notified-of-positive-cocaine-test/485470

Chunky ban to follow no doubt and Champ App chances gone.

Guess that's why Willie pulled their prices.

All aboard the Ghiani express, woo woo!

Blimey. How pure do you run?

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« Reply #137759 on: April 20, 2021, 12:17:56 PM »


Barry Hearn stepping down, Eddie stepping up

What a fascinating career he has had.

Neither father or son are complete angels, but I admire & like them both very much.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/56808972




 Click to see full-size image.





Saw that this morning.

Same as yourself, got a lot of time for both of them.

Only met Barry a few times, but spent a fair bit of time with Eddie over the few years he was doing the poker comps for Matchroom, and he's a good guy.
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