UK General Election 2015

[DMorgan]

If we think that 75% is the top end then 3/1 with Red Shouty Man for 70-75% could appeal?

[DMorgan]

Getting my Freds muddled up, feel free to move to TfT if this betting stuff is cluttering the political debate

[david3103]

Are Party leaflets, Election Communications I think they are called(?) now a thing of the past?

In my area I have had:

2 Labour leaflets, 1 Conservative, 1 TUSC, 3 (!) UKIP. For the local election I have had 1 TUSC 1 UKIP. Had to go on City Council site to see who is standing for the Council election.

I understand the Greens and Liberal democrats have candidates but no literature from them at all!

We've had loads, but that may be because the incumbent Tory had a 322 majority last time out..

We've also had letters and emails from both the main parties.

A canvasser late last week told us that the result was 'on a knife-edge'

[DMorgan]

We've had 2 visits from Labour, one from the Lib Dems and a good 20 leaflets

Sheffield Central, Lab/Lib marginal. Labour won with 41.3% vs 40.9% last time out

[Woodsey]

In marginal seat, leaflets every day from cons and Lab but no visits. Fancy trolling the Lab candidate a bit if they turn up!!

[The Camel]

Surely that is a sign of a flawed democracy?

The major parties bombarding you with info, yet there might not even be a election going on round here for the interest the parties are taking in the electorate in Richmondshire.

[TightEnd]

interesting

"Dude, where's my swing?"

 http://bit.ly/1IKaPwY 

[Claw75]

In marginal seat, leaflets every day from cons and Lab but no visits. Fancy trolling the Lab candidate a bit if they turn up!!

Ultra safe Tory seat here, with Boris Johnson their candidate, so we've got all sorts standing - as well as the usual parties we've got Monster Raving Loonies, Eccentric Party, Realists Party, Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition, Communities United, and 3x Independent.

Have had leaflets from Lab, Lib Dems, UKIP, Green (x2) and 1x Independent.

Evening Standard have come out urging everyone in London to vote Conservative, which is as expected.

[Claw75]

TBH, I had Tighty down as a clear Labour voter

i've done well on this thread then

BigAdz is the new Psychic Sally!

[Longy]

Are Party leaflets, Election Communications I think they are called(?) now a thing of the past?

In Nottingham South which is in theory a Tory Target seat for an overall majority, but will very likely be a Labour hold.

Had 1 each from Labour, Conservative, UKIP and TUSC. All apart from the TUSC were directly mailed me to, probably due to living in a block of flats that no one really knows exists!

All of which are all about the national election and pushing forward the candidate for MP.

[nirvana]

TBH, I had Tighty down as a clear Labour voter

i've done well on this thread then

Made me laugh, you gotta be a Tory, Shirley ?

[kukushkin88]

TBH, I had Tighty down as a clear Labour voter

i've done well on this thread then

Made me laugh, you gotta be a Tory, Shirley ?

1 to a million would represent a hefty chunk of value.

[aaron1867]

How is it actually possible for the Tories to get in, even in a coalition with someone else as it seems the LD's and UKIP are the only ones who would entertain getting involved with them and still  means the Tories would need 295 seats to get near?

The thought of a second election must also surely not work in their favour either? Must be quite an advantage for Labour, if they get a few to move away from SNP on the second go

[TightEnd]

How is it actually possible for the Tories to get in, even in a coalition with someone else as it seems the LD's and UKIP are the only ones who would entertain getting involved with them and still  means the Tories would need 295 seats to get near?

The thought of a second election must also surely not work in their favour either? Must be quite an advantage for Labour, if they get a few to move away from SNP on the second go

don't forget the DUP in N Ireland

LD 30 DUP 9 means Con would need 284

If its LD 25 then 289

about 5-15 seats away from that on consensus forecasts


Labour does not want a second election. the party who can fund a second election....? Conservative 


but the system helps labour a lot if they do make it over the line with the snp. a second election would be unlikley

[TightEnd]

Today's Mirror/Survation poll:
LAB 34 (n/c)
CON 33 (n/c) 
UKIP 16 (n/c)
LD 9 (n/c)
SNP 4 (+1)
GREEN 4 (+1)
OTHER 1 (-1)

"Mirror/Survation poll shows basically no change on a week ago.
We appear to be at deadlock"

"The polls open in 36 hours.
Almost a quarter of voters say they could still change their mind about who to vote for. "

Click to see full-size image.