The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

Would we ever see a LAB/SNP/LIB coalition?

sure.

May has the most seats, can't find a coalition partner, tries to go with a tory minority government on a vote supply basis ad hoc

this fails. 

corbyn rings up sturgeon and farron, sdlp, plaid and the greens and says "230+50+15+5+3+1 = 300+" lets have a progressive alliance, you all get a seat in the cabinet and lets go for it

all good fun. fk knows what sort of brexit we get and whom would negotiate it ,but great fun

or we just get a second election.like 1974 when heath went for a tactical election, blew the majority on questionable tactics (sound familiar?),did a minoirty govt for six months then lost to wilson later in the year

 

[nirvana]

Oh man. This election  could turn out out to be as dumb a game playing miscalculation as when the Tories put a Brexit referendum in their manifesto.

[titaniumbean]

Click to see full-size image.

Barclay brothers in ulterior motive shocker.

[titaniumbean]

this man pushed hard for Brexit, now we have it May will send him in to do the 'negotiating'.


http://news.sky.com/story/boris-johnson-and-labour-election-chief-andrew-gwynne-in-fiery-spat-10897829


what an utter turd.

[AndrewT]

Would we ever see a LAB/SNP/LIB coalition?

sure.

May has the most seats, can't find a coalition partner, tries to go with a tory minority government on a vote supply basis ad hoc

this fails. 

corbyn rings up sturgeon and farron, sdlp, plaid and the greens and says "230+50+15+5+3+1 = 300+" lets have a progressive alliance, you all get a seat in the cabinet and lets go for it

all good fun. fk knows what sort of brexit we get and whom would negotiate it ,but great fun

or we just get a second election.like 1974 when heath went for a tactical election, blew the majority on questionable tactics (sound familiar?),did a minoirty govt for six months then lost to wilson later in the year

Betfair currently have Corbyn to be PM after the election at 7.8, but Labour to win the most seats at 15. This means a 6.1% probability of Corbyn becoming PM even if the Tories get the most seats.

[TightEnd]

[TightEnd]

YouGov's poll predicting a hung parliament is certainly brave

The polling firm is employing a new ‘controversial’ methodology only 10 days before the general election

(seems a good try to do it,not)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/may/31/yougov-poll-predicting-hung-parliament-brave?CMP=twt_gu

[TightEnd]

Projecting turnout is the pollsters’ new battleground,

very very key this time for 18-24yo and previous non voters, the big uncertainty in the whole election

http://elections.newstatesman.com/the-650/projecting-turnout-is-the-pollsters-new-battleground/

[TightEnd]

russia appears to be loving Brexit

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Why I don’t believe the YouGov model predicting a hung parliament :IndyVoices

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/hung-parliament-yougov-model-not-true-a7764591.html

[TightEnd]

YouGov's surprise poll shows whoever wins the election, Theresa May will lose.

(i think this is right,she's damaged good in her party now)

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2017/05/yougovs-surprise-poll-shows-whoever-wins-election-theresa-may-will-lose …

[TightEnd]

How the YouGov model for the 2017 General Election works

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/how-yougov-model-2017-general-election-works/

[Rexas]

I think if Corbyn shows up to the debate tonight I'll go and put some money on him winning the election. If he doesn't, I think Theresea has this. Seems too much to me like Corbyn is following May on the whole let's not debate thing (well if you won't do it, I won't!) but this is a spot for him to start becoming a leader in the public's eyes rather than a follower.

[AndrewT]

I think if Corbyn shows up to the debate tonight I'll go and put some money on him winning the election. If he doesn't, I think Theresea has this. Seems too much to me like Corbyn is following May on the whole let's not debate thing (well if you won't do it, I won't!) but this is a spot for him to start becoming a leader in the public's eyes rather than a follower.

Get your money on because he's just announced he'll turn up.

[nirvana]

I think if Corbyn shows up to the debate tonight I'll go and put some money on him winning the election. If he doesn't, I think Theresea has this. Seems too much to me like Corbyn is following May on the whole let's not debate thing (well if you won't do it, I won't!) but this is a spot for him to start becoming a leader in the public's eyes rather than a follower.

Get your money on because he's just announced he'll turn up.

Do you think this is a good move. I think it probably is.distances him from the silly presidential style campaign the tories have tried to run and I think the more people see him the more popular he becomes. Rudds form from the brexit debates is not good I think..her personal attacks on Boris just looked silly and shrill. Maybe she'll be better this time.