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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13567526 times)
Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131070 on:
November 30, 2017, 07:33:19 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 30, 2017, 07:30:11 PM
Only with betnoway I am afraid
7/1 with red shouty man. Just not linked on oddschecker
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131071 on:
December 01, 2017, 08:36:08 AM »
End of November 2017
Year to Date Profit of £1525.90
ROI of 13.1% on 328 completed bets
January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39
May £518.59
June £337.40
July £33.01
August -£275.32
September £56.65
October -£502
November -£123.75
so far this year....
Top Sports Cricket +£691 NFL +£536 Darts +£362
Worst sports Golf -£415 Tennis -£297 Basketball -£135
Overall since Jan 25th, 2012
Profit of £14,734.16
ROI of 7.51%
6,450 settled bets
Top 5 sports
Football £5929 at 13%
Horses £2449 at 5%
Misc £2032 at 24%
NFL £1713 at 13%
MotorSport £1072 at 12%
Bottom 5 sports
Boxing -£573
Basketball -£428
RU -£357
Snooker -£245
AFL -£174
Outstanding Bets £1378.90
these can be seen at
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131072 on:
December 01, 2017, 10:52:30 AM »
^^^^
Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.
3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.
On we go.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
nellberg
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Posts: 765
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131073 on:
December 01, 2017, 11:32:42 AM »
Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more
Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points
Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.
Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.
How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.
All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake
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nirvana
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131074 on:
December 01, 2017, 11:40:37 AM »
Quote from: tikay on November 30, 2017, 10:53:04 AM
Sorry guys, but I must correct you both.
It's not fuming, or flumming - it's
fumming.
Let's get it right please.
To be fair, in the Flounce Department, Chompy is world-class, there are very few who possess his flounceability.
He's a worldie in both flouncing & "doing business" or chops, actually.
Utter ledge. He sayed as much himself.
Ha, he'd love to do a chop again some day
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sola virtus nobilitat
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131075 on:
December 01, 2017, 11:41:25 AM »
Quote from: nellberg on December 01, 2017, 11:32:42 AM
Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more
Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points
Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.
Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.
How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.
All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake
Thanks but we don't have unibet
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
nellberg
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Posts: 765
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131076 on:
December 01, 2017, 11:51:40 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on December 01, 2017, 11:41:25 AM
Quote from: nellberg on December 01, 2017, 11:32:42 AM
Good to see cricket at the top of the list this year, let's try and bump it up a bit more
Moeen Ali under 105.5 performance points, 17/20, Unibet (5/6 with 365) run = 1 point, catch = 10 points, wicket = 20 points, stumping (by the keeper) = 25 points
Moeen was hampered by a injury to his spinning finger in the 1st test. He took 2 wickets in the game but generally bowled poorly. Given how well Lyon bowled, it was certainly a disappointing display. He didn't bowl in warm-up's yesterday and news is that he'll need a fitness test to see if he can bowl, but will play anyway. That tells us that they don't really have any expectations from his bowling either way, if they're happy to go in with just the 4 seamers and Root as back up then even if he can bowl, his role will probably be small. A day-night game in Adelaide has meant plenty of seam moment for the quicks, not much turn and tough batting conditions.
Realistically, I don't think Moeen is good enough to bat 6 as a specialist batsman, but that's what we could end up with here. His PP quote is based on him taking a few wickets along the way, it's the same as Warner's and higher than Root's, if he has a limited role with the ball it's 30-40 too high.
How have similar players fared in D/N games here? Santner is a close match (bats 6, bowls spin) and he got 126 PP (86 if he didn't bowl). Mitch Marsh was the Aussies all-rounder that test, he got 102 PP(42 if he didn't bowl) . Last year the number 6's were both just specialist bats, Bavuma getting 29 PP and Maddinson 0. All in all, specialist batsman have struggled, with PP make-up's of 28, 70, 51, 63, 24, 35, 46, 87, 41, 51 in the Australia-New Zealand test and 144, 25, 60, 31, 140, 29, 155, 54, 58, 129, 65 and 0 in the Australia-South Africa test. So batsman were 0/10 passing this quote in the 1st D/N test here, and 4/12 in the 2nd. Given a lot of these batsman are A) better specialist batsman than Moeen (guys like Smith, Amla, Du Plessis etc) and B) field in the slips so have strong chances of taking catches, he'd be even more up against it.
All in all I think it's a fair spot to go unders on. Standard stake
Thanks but we don't have unibet
365/Paddy/Betfair sb same line, 5/6. Not sure if we have any of them either?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131077 on:
December 01, 2017, 12:07:14 PM »
Moeen Ali Under (105.5) 5/6
Total stake: 30.00
Potential returns: 55.00
pp
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
RED-DOG
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131078 on:
December 01, 2017, 12:21:17 PM »
Quote from: nirvana on December 01, 2017, 11:40:37 AM
Quote from: tikay on November 30, 2017, 10:53:04 AM
Sorry guys, but I must correct you both.
It's not fuming, or flumming - it's
fumming.
Let's get it right please.
To be fair, in the Flounce Department, Chompy is world-class, there are very few who possess his flounceability.
He's a worldie in both flouncing & "doing business" or chops, actually.
Utter ledge. He sayed as much himself.
Ha, he'd love to do a chop again some day
Harsh, but funny.
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The older I get, the better I was.
Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22800
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131079 on:
December 01, 2017, 02:38:07 PM »
Quote from: tikay on December 01, 2017, 10:52:30 AM
^^^^
Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.
3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.
On we go.
You won with me, or rather cut your losses, at least
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Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
PokerBroker
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Posts: 1189
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131080 on:
December 01, 2017, 02:40:02 PM »
Quote from: tikay on December 01, 2017, 10:52:30 AM
^^^^
Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.
3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.
On we go.
Needs to be betting more.
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Marky147
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Posts: 22800
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131081 on:
December 01, 2017, 02:42:27 PM »
Quote from: PokerBroker on December 01, 2017, 02:40:02 PM
Quote from: tikay on December 01, 2017, 10:52:30 AM
^^^^
Thanks for posting the November results Rich. Sort of.
3 losing months in 4. Variance, I hope.
On we go.
Needs to be betting more.
Yeah, more bets from the shrewdies is all that is required.
Best to reduce stakes, if we're having fewer bets, or am I being muggy?
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hhyftrftdr
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131082 on:
December 01, 2017, 08:29:52 PM »
How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?
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HutchGF
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Posts: 1097
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131083 on:
December 01, 2017, 08:35:52 PM »
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on December 01, 2017, 08:29:52 PM
How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?
Like it a lot - a quietly effective team.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #131084 on:
December 01, 2017, 09:04:52 PM »
Quote from: HutchGF on December 01, 2017, 08:35:52 PM
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on December 01, 2017, 08:29:52 PM
How do we feel about Burnley 4/1 away at Leicester tomorrow?
Like it a lot - a quietly effective team.
It's tempting, but Puel seems to have got Leicester playing much better lately.
Agree about Burnley though, they continue to be much underestimated. For me, Dyche was EPL manager of the season last year, amazing what he achieved on such thin financial resources.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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