Tonight The Dolphins travel to the Bills in Thursday night NFL action
I had a long hard look at C J Spiller, the Buffalo Running back, as with Fred Jackson out he should get most of the carries. However we all know that, and Miami has a very stout run defense. Their first task tonight has to be to limit Spiller, who is top class and would be a superstar if he din't play in such a small market for an unfashionable team
My attention then turned to who could benefit from the need to stop Spiller
I alighted on a similar player to Kyle Rudolph, who thread bet on for the Vikings a few weeks ago
Scott Chandler has 350 yards receiving in 9 games, he averages 13 yards per reception and has scored 5 touchdowns
At the weekend Chandler went five for 65 yards with a touchdown against the Patriots. In the earlier game against the Patriots Chandler caught four balls for 62 yards and two touchdowns
The Dolphins have a bruising top-five ranked run defense (they allow only 94 yards on the ground per game), but their secondary is allowing a fourth-worst 278 passing yards per game. If Spiller is allowed to break free and catch passes in the flat, the Dolphins are going to have a long Thursday night. They will focus on him, and provide opportunities for others
The Dolphins also have a super pass rusher in Cameron Wake. A possession tight end like Chandler is more effective than the Bills' wideouts if the Bills run into a Wake on a hot night teeing off on the quarterback.
Less time for Ryan Fitzpatrick to throw means more screens, dumps and outlet passes to a guy like Chandler, especially when they play a good run defense.
Sky Bet are best at the prices here, but for thread look at Blue Squirrel
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-buffalo-bills/total-receiving-yds-scott-chandlerRecommend £30 over 44.5 with BSq at 5/6
For the Banzai
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-buffalo-bills/first-touchdown-scorerRecommend £5 at 12-1 First Touchdown scorer, Scott Chandler, with VC. Be quick on that one though, 12-1 is out of line