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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13444834 times)
Omm
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« Reply #71160 on: March 14, 2014, 12:29:47 PM »

We backed England to trade nearer the time, little did we know the boosted price would end up the actual price. Still the position though?
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tikay
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« Reply #71161 on: March 14, 2014, 12:32:02 PM »

We backed England to trade nearer the time, little did we know the boosted price would end up the actual price. Still the position though?

Not sure what you mean, but the Bet remains on the Spready.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Doobs
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« Reply #71162 on: March 14, 2014, 12:32:16 PM »

Bugger just missed Briar Hill 2/1 with Hills
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #71163 on: March 14, 2014, 12:35:21 PM »

8/1 fine for thread, stick it on the spreadsheet, yup.

Love the Luther. He's everything that's good about poker. Except for how he plays poker. Obv.

Jeez, he is SO bad. Livened the table up with his abuse though.

OK, we have ANOTHER £50, this time @ 8/1, MK Dons Top Six Finish, with Corals, down to Chomps.

Bet of the Season this. That's what Chompy sayed. We won't let him forget. Oh no.



14/03/2014 11:14AM



Single
To Win

£ 50.00

MK Dons - Top 6 Finish - Outright @ 8/1


£ 0.00


BET PLACED
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Ironside
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« Reply #71164 on: March 14, 2014, 12:47:07 PM »

Please don't bet on England to win World Cup it will detracted from all the ABE fans out there your co-operation is much appreciated

Need to exclude all bias and just look for value. If someone offered you 100/1 on england for the world cup would you take it?

Was having a good chat about bias in sports betting yesterday.
i would take the bet and pray I lost the bet
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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« Reply #71165 on: March 14, 2014, 12:48:41 PM »

On The Fringe 5/1 4pm with Hills.  Use your mobile for free bet for 2nd.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #71166 on: March 14, 2014, 12:52:33 PM »

Royal Irish Hussar in the first 7/1 in the first with b365.  Just beats Betfair, and we get free bet if it wins in next race.  Marginsl, but think it is worth a swift £25 too.  Guess we won't get £25 though
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #71167 on: March 14, 2014, 01:05:34 PM »

Last one on Hills us good.  Last Installment at 9/1.  If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.  Also helps if win and place beats Betfair.  Suggest 25 each way.

Come on Tikay wake up, value pie for pudding, too early for the afternoon nap.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #71168 on: March 14, 2014, 01:08:39 PM »

If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.

when it comes to horse racing, i merely ask the ice cream questions of an irregular punter, no specialist knowledge!

my views should certainly not put you off lol

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« Reply #71169 on: March 14, 2014, 01:14:11 PM »

if england win the group, beat Croatia in the second round and face Spain in the quarter finals what would our realistic price be at that stage?

btw sorry for taking the thread somewhat off cheltenham.

At least 10/1 i would imagine.  They would surely be a dog in every game from the 1/4's onward's unless the draw massively 'cut up'

Bigger than 2/1 to qualify past Spain alone?  Guess about 14/1 true price (2/1, 5/4, 5/4), shorter at Hills, 6/1 Ladbrokes.

> 20/1 I think, surely going to have to face Argentina or Brazil at some point and be much bigger than 5/4 to triumph.

That would be our actual chance, obv the price available won't be that big.....
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« Reply #71170 on: March 14, 2014, 01:16:24 PM »

If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.

when it comes to horse racing, i merely ask the ice cream questions of an irregular punter, no specialist knowledge!

my views should certainly not put you off lol



Think we need Jeeves to give him a big kick.

You worried a bit about Vettel's performance?

Would go for

Hamilton, looks dominant, 5/2 for the Grand Prix is good.
Williams, not quite as good as I hoped, but 50/1 Bottas still looks OK.
Ferrari, a bit better than I expected.
Vettel, definitely quicker than I expected.
McLarens, quite relieved that they still appear quick.
Lotus bets look very good, I'd almost worry they may not get to the start.
Perez...
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #71171 on: March 14, 2014, 01:19:43 PM »

If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.

when it comes to horse racing, i merely ask the ice cream questions of an irregular punter, no specialist knowledge!

my views should certainly not put you off lol



Think we need Jeeves to give him a big kick.

You worried a bit about Vettel's performance?

Would go for

Hamilton, looks dominant, 5/2 for the Grand Prix is good.
Williams, not quite as good as I hoped, but 50/1 Bottas still looks OK.
Ferrari, a bit better than I expected.
Vettel, definitely quicker than I expected.
McLarens, quite relieved that they still appear quick.
Lotus bets look very good, I'd almost worry they may not get to the start.
Perez...

Happy with Mercedes, Mclaren

Touch disappointed Wlliams and Force India

but its FP1 and 2..who knows what everyone is trying out?

Amazed at the RedBull progress since the test. Contemplating a proper value bet on Vettel for the championship before Sunday's race. Will be much much shorter if he finishes top 4. I think at that point I would have most of the field covered ;-)

wondering what the rules are if the lotae do not get off the grid.......
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« Reply #71172 on: March 14, 2014, 01:21:26 PM »

depending on your views on the 240 chelt Scud looks a big price at 8/1 to be top jockey at ladbrokes. His key mount of the day is currently a heavily backed 3/1 poke for the 240.  If that wins ruby's most likely winner of the day obviously won't win.   recommend £25 at 8/1 on ladbrokes.  People are asking for under 8/1 on a not tight bf market.
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Doobs
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« Reply #71173 on: March 14, 2014, 01:25:41 PM »

If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.

when it comes to horse racing, i merely ask the ice cream questions of an irregular punter, no specialist knowledge!

my views should certainly not put you off lol



Think we need Jeeves to give him a big kick.

You worried a bit about Vettel's performance?

Would go for

Hamilton, looks dominant, 5/2 for the Grand Prix is good.
Williams, not quite as good as I hoped, but 50/1 Bottas still looks OK.
Ferrari, a bit better than I expected.
Vettel, definitely quicker than I expected.
McLarens, quite relieved that they still appear quick.
Lotus bets look very good, I'd almost worry they may not get to the start.
Perez...

Happy with Mercedes, Mclaren

Touch disappointed Wlliams and Force India

but its FP1 and 2..who knows what everyone is trying out?

Amazed at the RedBull progress since the test. Contemplating a proper value bet on Vettel for the championship before Sunday's race. Will be much much shorter if he finishes top 4. I think at that point I would have most of the field covered ;-)

wondering what the rules are if the lotae do not get off the grid.......

I don't know if you saw, but I think I read that Vettel still had an overheating problem at the end of one of the free practices.  But they are half way there if they can get some pace from the engine.

I was wondering about the non runner rules too.  If the car is genuinely unstable still, then there must be a chance of a non runner.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #71174 on: March 14, 2014, 01:37:12 PM »

If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too.

when it comes to horse racing, i merely ask the ice cream questions of an irregular punter, no specialist knowledge!

my views should certainly not put you off lol



Think we need Jeeves to give him a big kick.

You worried a bit about Vettel's performance?

Would go for

Hamilton, looks dominant, 5/2 for the Grand Prix is good.
Williams, not quite as good as I hoped, but 50/1 Bottas still looks OK.
Ferrari, a bit better than I expected.
Vettel, definitely quicker than I expected.
McLarens, quite relieved that they still appear quick.
Lotus bets look very good, I'd almost worry they may not get to the start.
Perez...

Happy with Mercedes, Mclaren

Touch disappointed Wlliams and Force India

but its FP1 and 2..who knows what everyone is trying out?

Amazed at the RedBull progress since the test. Contemplating a proper value bet on Vettel for the championship before Sunday's race. Will be much much shorter if he finishes top 4. I think at that point I would have most of the field covered ;-)

wondering what the rules are if the lotae do not get off the grid.......

I don't know if you saw, but I think I read that Vettel still had an overheating problem at the end of one of the free practices.  But they are half way there if they can get some pace from the engine.

I was wondering about the non runner rules too.  If the car is genuinely unstable still, then there must be a chance of a non runner.

he did, the problem for the red bull is it is aerodynamically brilliant (adrian newey) but they tried to get the very different power unit this year into a very "pure" design, as newey wouldn't compromise aerodynamics

this means the engine is prone to over-heat, with the energy recovery system sitting in a different place to the merc/ferrari

if they sort this though, the pace and downforce will be their usual brilliance. dfon't know how they sort it short of redesigning the engine bay/cowling though
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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