Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Daily Summary as @ 0730 Thursday 17th May

We had no completed action yesterday, so it's as you were.

We did place one bet on the World Matchplay, & have several more to place, on that & other stuff. (see next Post).

[tikay]

What's coming up?

I was unable to get everything on last night as I had a power cut at home after arriving home shortly before midnight, so most of those will follow shortly.

The Bjorn-Snedeker thing in World Matchplay is today, & we have other stuff still to be invested in that. The event overall is on Sky Sports.

We are on England in the Test Series v West Indies which starts today (televised).

Tonight's Monsta Match in football is a League Two play-off local-ish derby between Torquay & Chelmsford. Televised.

The Premier League Darts concludes this evening, with the Semi Finals & Final, again, televised. This has been tremendous thread fun from the very get-go, profitable too, but our main man, Dubs, is, I believe, currently in foreign parts, & doubtless fully exploring the local sights with Mr Dempsey, so not sure we'll hear from him. 

The (televised) PGA Golf this week is the Byron Nelson Classic, in which we currently have no financial interest.

[tikay]

World Matchplay Golf starts tomorrow.

Sadly no longer at Wentworth, hasn't been for years, and sadly no longer a world class field. But at least it shouldn't be cold and wet.

Recommend £10e/w N Colsaerts 14-1 Skybet.

Colsaerts  performed well in his only start at this tournament.  It is being held at the same Spanish course as last year where he got to the semi-final, losing at the 19th hole to the eventual winner Poulter. Colsaerts is in good form with 2 top 10 finishes in his last 4 starts. The course favours longer hitters with a bit of gamble to their game which is perfect for him.

Good morning hector, & thanks.

Welll nobody has demurred, so lets do this.

We missed the 14's @ SkyBet, but got that price with Ladbrokes, £10 EW @ 14/1, half odds 1-2.

ON

Selection14/1 - Nicolas Colsaerts

Event2012 Volvo World Match Play Volvo World Match Play

MarketTournament winner (1/2 1,2)
 Your bets (1) Single - Nicolas Colsaerts - Each Way
Each Way 1/2 1,2
2 lines at £10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential Return: £230.00
Time: 17/05/12 07:55
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000027

[tikay]

Don't wanna bok u chomps but totally agree with yr view on sweden.

The first rehearsal was terrible soundwise.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5wLqR0AOeSc&feature=plcp

Just been doing some 'research' of my own and the greek entry has a rather attractive looking lady singing their entry-to say the least, probs got no chance though.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isPtzi5cxBg

Think I may have found the winner, 16's ew with boyles top 3, or 14's elsewhere first 4 looks a good ew bet.

Really good pedigree in eurovision (2nd b4 and has even hosted the show) and is well known in loadsa euro countries.

My only gripe was it seemed quite a short song, but meh didn't drag on for ages, should appeal to wide audience too, even got violens and stuff!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75weifR47m0
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C5%BDeljko_Joksimovi%C4%87

Morning Dom.

We have already backed the winner of this, so I think I'll swerve that, but thanks anyway, & good luck in getting 2nd.

[tikay]

World Matchplay Golf starts tomorrow.

Sadly no longer at Wentworth, hasn't been for years, and sadly no longer a world class field. But at least it shouldn't be cold and wet.

Recommend £10e/w N Colsaerts 14-1 Skybet.

Colsaerts  performed well in his only start at this tournament.  It is being held at the same Spanish course as last year where he got to the semi-final, losing at the 19th hole to the eventual winner Poulter. Colsaerts is in good form with 2 top 10 finishes in his last 4 starts. The course favours longer hitters with a bit of gamble to their game which is perfect for him.

Many thanks hector, for a well-argued case.

I was actually hoping we might have some interest in the World Matchplay. 

Back in the day, when at Wentworth, & sponsored by "Piccadilly", it was SUCH a great event. I really don't know what it's like these days, but I have fond memories of it.

Arnold Palmer & Gary Player dominated it originally, then Seve won it 4 or 5 times, & Ernie Els - who had a house adjoining the course at the time - won it loads of times, including 3 on the bounce.

http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volvo_World_Match_Play_Championship

We have quite a few Golf Experts here, so would welcome some input from them as to a few lively bets, but unless they get really heavy with us, I'll certainly follow your tip & speculate a tenner each way.

Click to see full-size image.

There are quite a few bets i like on this tournament, i like these clashes from different tours. First and foremost - you should find the best price about Rock v Clarke and Rose v Clarke, back Rose and Rock for the maximum and double them to if you can.  They have them around 4/6 kind of area - they should be 1/5 imo.

I don't really like backing outrights on matchplays but i have a soft spot Brandon Grace - never seem him play match play but he has that kind steel eyed concentration and ability to hole crucial putts that can win things like this and he makes a lot of birdies - its a punt though, i'm dabbling at 16/1.

Thanks Tom.

Can't quite bring myself to go "MAXIMUM", but we have invested a whopping £290. Nobody has argued against any of your bets, so too late now, we are in up to our necks.

£110 Rock to beat Clarke @ 10/11 with Ladbrokes

£120 Rose to beat Clarke @ 4/6, Ladbrokes

£50 Double (and you KNOW how much I hate Doubles!) on both, same prices, with Ladbrokes, to return £159.09

£10 Brandon Grace, outright, with Betfair, @ 24 (23/1).

ON


Betslip - BET RECEIPT Your bets have been placed successfully.
Please find the details of your bets below.
 Selection10/11 - Robert Rock

EventRobert Rock / Darren Clarke Volvo World Match Play

MarketMatch betting
 Your bets (1) Single - Robert Rock
1 line at £110.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £110.00
Potential Return: £210.00
Time: 17/05/12 08:14
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000028

________________


Selection4/6 - Justin Rose

EventJustin Rose / Darren Clarke Volvo World Match Play

MarketMatch betting
 Your bets (1) Single - Justin Rose
1 line at £120.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £120.00
Potential Return: £200.00
Time: 17/05/12 08:16
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000029

_______________________

Selection10/11 - Robert Rock

EventRobert Rock / Darren Clarke Volvo World Match Play

MarketMatch betting
  Selection4/6 - Justin Rose

EventJustin Rose / Darren Clarke Volvo World Match Play

MarketMatch betting
 Your bets (1) Double
1 line at £50.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential Return: £159.09
Time: 17/05/12 08:19
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000030
___________________


Branden GraceWinner    24 £10.00 £230.00

[tikay]

Hi teacake, been away in the wilds of scotland so mainly offline, but good to see the NBA bets are coming good. Bosh going down for the Heat is good news for our lay, tho most of the other good teams have suffered with serious injuries so it seems fair for our lay rather than a massive advantage. Bosh is the third of their 'big three' and affects them a lot less than if Lebron or Wade got hurt, they still have the best and probs third or fourth best players in the league. Interestingly tho, Bosh is their only good big man, Lebron and Wade are both smaller outside players, and teams will really hurt the Heat inside now.

The lay was made with the forethought that (number one seed) Chicago will push the Heat in the East before they meet either San Antonio or OKC in the Finals, both of whom are as good if not better than Miami IMO. Chicago are already out, they lost last year's MVP Derrick Rose to a knee injury in the first game of the playoffs, and with him went any threat they carry. I also hoped the Knicks would push the Heat a bit more in round one, it's a long post season and if u can win 4-0 rather than 4-2 or 4-3, the extra rest, including less travel, is invaluable. The Knicks lost 4-1.

Indiana are the definition of a team, no superstars, with about eight players all of roughly the same standard, big guys and lil guys, the complete opposite of Miami, who have three superstars and seven role players (tho note they're not as bad as last year, adding Shane Battier, v good three point shooter and defender, and rookie Norris Cole makes them deeper this year). Indy won't knock Miami out, but they can test them. They have our mate Roy Hibbert (we had a winning bet on him earlier in the thread) who is 7 fot 3 and not bad, so he will be important now Miami are a bit undersized without Bosh. A lot of basketball is about matchups....Lebron and Wade are two  of the top five guard/forwards in the league, so Indiana's guards, who are competent and probably their best players, will still be overrun, but they have advantages in the big men.

If and when Miami see off Indy, they probs play Boston. Won't hear any suggestion they'll beat Miami, too old, too similar a team too, Boston's stars play similar positions to Miami's, just not as good. A team with some good big men could hurt the Heat tho.

In the West I think I read San Anotonio have won 15 straight by an average of 17....that seems to be some form. Importantly, they match up pretty well to the Heat, seven footer Tim Duncan is still more than good enough to be the focus of attack against the Heat, again using the match up advantages. Tony Parker is a good enough point guard to keep Lebron and Wade busy at the defensive end, and they have Ginobli leading a very deep bench, which is much better than Miami's.

I still think the lay is a good value bet.

PS Agree with redarmi, if Indy are -1 for the next game, I like Miami's side of that. Coz I've been offline and away from ESPN I'm loathe to reccy any bets tho. Can see the Lakers getting a beating again tonight tho

Thanks Jeff.

I'm relying on you, you know that, right? Our "Unsettled" column is a bit raggy right now, only Russia to win the ESC is anything even remotely like a nap, so we need to get this one home.

[tikay]

Mandaean looks a  decent price in tomorrows dante.  This horse was the best of these last year.  Knocking godolphin is a bit of a national sport, but Al Zarooni seems to have a better idea than Bin suroor.  Currently 7/2 with totesport.

Thanks Doobs.

We are on, we have £25 on Mandaen with Mr Joe Coral @ 4/1.

ON

Single(s) - Win Receipt No.: 27579632 
2.30 York - Dante Stakes - Win or Each Way (Day of Race) 
Mandaean @ 4/1 
 
Stake: £25.00 (£25.00 x 1 line) 
Estimated Returns: £ 125.00 

[tikay]

just got an email from willhill saying they are going 4/1 on that horse

Sadly (.....) Wm Hill were closed for Maintenance overnight, supposed to re-open @ 0700, later changed to 8.30am, & still not back up.

[tikay]

Mumbai currently choking versus KKR in a  crucial match I am afraid

How did that end up, Tighty? We still got a chance, or will they need to do a touch of spotting?

[tikay]

OK, no bimbling or bombling, time for a ESC punt.

I'm not convinced Sweden is right for the Euro weirdos and not surprised the word is that rehearsals aren't going great.

It can be laid at 1.17 to be out of the top ten. France were shorter last year and that crashed.

It pays to be aggressive on ESC markets so...

Top ten market - lay £300 at 1.17, risking £51.

Also, lay £200 @ 3 in the outright market, risking £400. This is for a trade further down the line. Be surprised if it doesn't hit 5+ before the night. Sigh, I miss being able to get in on this action.

If you don't like this one or don't want to tie up four hundo, just go with the top ten lay @ 1.17.


Euro weirdos...

Jeez, are you sure?

Current prices are......

Top Ten (lay) 1.17

Outright (lay) 2.92.

Seriously, how strong are you on this? Seems a huge risk for very small upside to me?

I know you are a TV addict & ESC buff, so I'll get on, but I just need a little nudge first.

I guess if you are right, & we also have the winner (Russia) backed alrerady, we'd be in clover. All seems a bit iffy to me. What happened to Fixed Odds Football Coupons & all that stuff we used to have, back in the day. Was so simple to do my bollox then.

Bring back Littlewoods Football Pools, I say.

[Simon Galloway]

Get it on...

Warming you up for some three-way hopping  eight dice-tastrophe's in the Rio.

[tikay]

Get it on...

Warming you up for some three-way hopping  eight dice-tastrophe's in the Rio.

God help us all.

Have YOU laid those ESC things?

[TightEnd]

Mumbai currently choking versus KKR in a  crucial match I am afraid

How did that end up, Tighty? We still got a chance, or will they need to do a touch of spotting?

They lost chasing 140

1 game to go, and they might need to win it to reach the semi's, if RCB win their game in hand

1   DD   14   +0.715   20   
2   KKR   15   +0.478   19   
3   MI   15   -0.160   18   
4   CSK   15   +0.214   17   
5   RCB   14   -0.072   15   
6   RR   14   +0.335   14   
7   KXIP   14   -0.293   14   
8   PWI   15   -0.477   8   
9   DC   14   -0.680   5

[Snowball]

Tighty, Windies fall of first wicket under 22.5 looks good if they get put into Bat this morning?

[Simon Galloway]

Get it on...

Warming you up for some three-way hopping  eight dice-tastrophe's in the Rio.

God help us all.

Have YOU laid those ESC things?

I haven't, but I will have the same bet if that makes a difference.  Laying at 1.17 isn't much of a knee-trembler.  And $400 at risk with a view to trade isn't as volatile as many smaller bets you have made with no intention/opportunity to bail.