poker news
blondepedia
card room
tournament schedule
uk results
galleries
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
June 13, 2024, 06:22:16 AM
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Search:
Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2272994
Posts in
66760
Topics by
16723
Members
Latest Member:
callpri
blonde poker forum
Community Forums
Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 10 Guests are viewing this topic.
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
...
1457
1458
1459
1460
[
1461
]
1462
1463
1464
1465
...
9208
Author
Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13600199 times)
Ant040689
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4037
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21900 on:
November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM »
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Logged
aaron1867
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3659
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21901 on:
November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM »
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
Logged
Ant040689
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4037
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21902 on:
November 29, 2012, 11:55:19 AM »
Quote from: aaron1867 on November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
This will be the first time I have ever backed the draw, only a small bet, truly one I can't explain. Need to expand my horizons away from thew in loss draw market I think.
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21903 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:04:08 PM »
Quote from: TL900 on November 29, 2012, 11:36:14 AM
Only 2 games in the NBA tonight but I like sides on both the totals.
Spurs @ Heat
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-miami-heat/total-points
Two of the best teams in the NBA going at it tonight, but I think the game will be the opposite of 'going at it' The Spurs are one the cleverest teams in the NBA with a great coach who plays great tactics and adapts his team/line up to adjust to his opponents. Tonight will be no different, Spurs know they can't compete with Miami in a pure shootout and they are experienced enough to know that isn't how you beat them. I expect them to clamp down on D and take their time every possession to wait for good looks against a good Heat defence.
Im in for 2units on this game @ U205.5 with william hill.
The other game tonight is Nuggets @ Warriors
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/denver-nuggets-at-golden-state-warriors/total-points
Im not too ecstatic about this line but before I opened up to look at the line i did expect it to be >200, so I have had a little tickle on O198.5, both teams play good offence, and when the nuggets are in a game every game is a 'shootout' They don't play much defence at all and play at a very fast pace. For the Warriors their best defender (Andrew Bogut) is injured so this can only help the over for us.
Im in for 1unit on this game @ O198.5
Cliffs:
Suggest U205.5 Spurs @ Heat, if anyone is really enthusiastic about O198.5 in Nuggets game then go for that too, otherwise probably just leave it/have a small little tickle
Thanks Tom.
You know what will happen if we back these, don't you?........!
We are on both, thank you, so a brekkie squeeze awaits tomorrow.
Wm Hill have moved the line on SA Spurs- Miami Heat to 203.5, but we got on @ U205.5 with Corals.
£50 @ 10/11, Corals, UNDER 205.5, San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat.
£33 @ 10/11, Blue Square, OVER 198.5, Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors.
ON
29/11/2012 11:49AM Single
To Win £ 55.00 Under 205.5 - San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat - Total Points @ 10/11 1.91
__________
Selection Over 198.5 @ 10/11
Market
Total Points
Event
NBA
Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors
2012-11-30 03:30:00
Bet Type
Bet Type
Win Single
Unit Stake
£33.00
Number of Units
x1
Total Stake
£33.00
Time and Date Placed
2012-11-29 11:54:07
Receipt Number
O/0891659/0000153
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
kukushkin88
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3892
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21904 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:06:33 PM »
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:55:19 AM
Quote from: aaron1867 on November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
This will be the first time I have ever backed the draw, only a small bet, truly one I can't explain. Need to expand my horizons away from thew in loss draw market I think.
You´ll never find a profitable bettor betting the draw, the possible exception is where the result is clearly beneficial to one or both teams, even then you´ll struggle to get value as it´s known information. Good gambling is much more about identifying a niche where you have an edge than expanding horizons. This is even true of people with encycloaedic knowledge across a range of sports, their edge is almost always greater in some sports/markets than others.
Logged
nirvana
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 7804
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21905 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:18:21 PM »
Quote from: Tal on November 29, 2012, 12:01:21 AM
"We couldn't have played any better tonight...We would have been disappointed to have drawn the game" - the words of...Brendan Rodgers
He's worse than Muhammed Saeed al-Sahhaf
lol, probably my favorite quote of all time
" my feeling, as usual, we will slaughter them all"
Logged
sola virtus nobilitat
doubleup
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 7066
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21906 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:18:38 PM »
Quote from: tikay on November 29, 2012, 11:45:44 AM
Will the long putters be abandoned now? I can't see how they can be used without anchoring them.
Logged
redarmi
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5232
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21907 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:24:17 PM »
Quote from: kukushkin88 on November 29, 2012, 12:06:33 PM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:55:19 AM
Quote from: aaron1867 on November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
This will be the first time I have ever backed the draw, only a small bet, truly one I can't explain. Need to expand my horizons away from thew in loss draw market I think.
You´ll never find a profitable bettor betting the draw, the possible exception is where the result is clearly beneficial to one or both teams, even then you´ll struggle to get value as it´s known information. Good gambling is much more about identifying a niche where you have an edge than expanding horizons. This is even true of people with encycloaedic knowledge across a range of sports, their edge is almost always greater in some sports/markets than others.
I always thought this too and generally the maths work I have done on football supports it as the goal expectancy for a draw to be a profitable bet has to be unrealistically low but this week in the Racing and Football Outlook Kevin Pullein presents a fairly compelling case that Premiership bottom five teams playing at home against other mediocre teams ie. not the best in division draw more than their fair proportion of games. Logically that makes a bit of sense to me although the sample sizes leave a bit to be desired.
Logged
http://twitter.com/redarmi123
claypole
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4131
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21908 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:34:18 PM »
Love this thread - just caught up and some brilliant posts last two days; I think Neil's last post sort of sums it up - it's a great coming together of some fantastic, experienced pro based input (Red - get your diary going again I love reading your musings as stories - please) and as has been pointed out people with less punting knowledge however some really good insights into other sports. It's just a mine of brilliant information and knowledge and I hope it continues exactly the way it is and appreciate everyone's contributions
Logged
Bazzaboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3674
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21909 on:
November 29, 2012, 12:46:10 PM »
Heffron v Vassell over 7.5 rounds at 11/10 with Sportingbet is simply wrong. On phone at the minute so can't explain fully but price won't last.
Meh already 5/6. Still a bet. Should be 1/2
«
Last Edit: November 29, 2012, 01:00:25 PM by Bazzaboy
»
Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17523
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21910 on:
November 29, 2012, 01:16:10 PM »
Quote from: kukushkin88 on November 29, 2012, 12:06:33 PM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:55:19 AM
Quote from: aaron1867 on November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
This will be the first time I have ever backed the draw, only a small bet, truly one I can't explain. Need to expand my horizons away from thew in loss draw market I think.
You´ll never find a profitable bettor betting the draw, the possible exception is where the result is clearly beneficial to one or both teams, even then you´ll struggle to get value as it´s known information. Good gambling is much more about identifying a niche where you have an edge than expanding horizons. This is even true of people with encycloaedic knowledge across a range of sports, their edge is almost always greater in some sports/markets than others.
This.
If you are thinking about having a £50 bet on a draw, it is very likely you are giving up about 2% of your money in expected value.
Save time and just drop a pound in a charity box.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Ant040689
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4037
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21911 on:
November 29, 2012, 01:28:42 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on November 29, 2012, 01:16:10 PM
Quote from: kukushkin88 on November 29, 2012, 12:06:33 PM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:55:19 AM
Quote from: aaron1867 on November 29, 2012, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: Ant040689 on November 29, 2012, 11:50:28 AM
Got opinions back on the Palace win and Millwall draw for Saturday and ty for them, but I was wondering what Fred thought about Bristol City at home to Wolverhampton at 2.67?
Backing a draw is nuts.
Backing anything is Bristol City/Wolves game is also nuts, probably would go for goals.
This will be the first time I have ever backed the draw, only a small bet, truly one I can't explain. Need to expand my horizons away from thew in loss draw market I think.
You´ll never find a profitable bettor betting the draw, the possible exception is where the result is clearly beneficial to one or both teams, even then you´ll struggle to get value as it´s known information. Good gambling is much more about identifying a niche where you have an edge than expanding horizons. This is even true of people with encycloaedic knowledge across a range of sports, their edge is almost always greater in some sports/markets than others.
This.
If you are thinking about having a £50 bet on a draw, it is very likely you are giving up about 2% of your money in expected value.
Save time and just drop a pound in a charity box.
#learning. TyTy peeps.
Logged
Bazzaboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3674
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21912 on:
November 29, 2012, 01:30:57 PM »
Quote from: Bazzaboy on November 29, 2012, 12:46:10 PM
Heffron v Vassell over 7.5 rounds at 11/10 with Sportingbet is simply wrong. On phone at the minute so can't explain fully but price won't last.
Meh already 5/6. Still a bet. Should be 1/2
Now 3/5
Logged
Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5586
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21913 on:
November 29, 2012, 01:33:28 PM »
http://www.insidethegames.biz/sports/summer/cycling/1011875-liverpool-hire-sports-psychiatrist-who-inspired-cycling-greats-hoy-pendleton-and-wiggins
His work with the cyclists was crucial to success. Not sure it transfers into football, however info for the layers!
Logged
http://www.photonet.org.uk/
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17523
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21914 on:
November 29, 2012, 01:34:56 PM »
Tycoon's Reflection in this next race at Newbury looks v interesting to me.
Not a Fred bet, but worth a shilling or two at 16/1.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Pages:
1
...
1457
1458
1459
1460
[
1461
]
1462
1463
1464
1465
...
9208
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Poker Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Rail
===> past blonde Bashes
===> Best of blonde
=> Diaries and Blogs
=> Live Tournament Updates
=> Live poker
===> Live Tournament Staking
=> Internet Poker
===> Online Tournament Staking
=> Poker Hand Analysis
===> Learning Centre
-----------------------------
Community Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Lounge
=> Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Loading...