Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Your not wrong Tal. The 5pur2 blueprint to topflight obscurity for many a decade sure looks like the route Wenger is taking us down......

Well, granted, we've kept your seat warm for a goodly while, but it's nice and toasty now.

[Ant040689]

Are we on laying Arsenal tonight at all?

[JaffaCake]

Really like Brooklyn Nets to win at Atlanta Hawks tonight. Brooklyn the hottest team in the NBA, and have won 9 in 10 since they sacked their coach and put veteran PJ Carlisimo in charge. They're averaging more points and conceding less. Plus Joe Johnson has been red hot, and this is his first return to Atlanta since being traded in the summer.

Atlanta have lost 6 of the last 7, got smashed 97-58 last time out, and have suspended their best player by a mile Josh Smith for one game for his behaviour, which he has come out and said basically he hates losing but chose the wrong way to display it. 7/5 with Billy Hill is far too big, I think Brooklyn should be favourites. Can go nitty with a three point start at 10/11 should u wish

[OverTheBorder]

Not seen anything on this but may have missed it but is Fred still happy with it's position on QPR? based on signing news and Harry's survival record I am tempted to cash my tokens in.  With Betfair price being 63/100 you could book a win at around 3/5.  Take a £30 profit now or wait 5 months for £80 (if my maths is correct).  Also factoring in Villa in free fall and promoted team history of late season capitulation.

Whats your views Rich? you watch a lot more football than me and it was your bet

[TightEnd]

Not seen anything on this but may have missed it but is Fred still happy with it's position on QPR? based on signing news and Harry's survival record I am tempted to cash my tokens in.  With Betfair price being 63/100 you could book a win at around 3/5.  Take a £30 profit now or wait 5 months for £80 (if my maths is correct).  Also factoring in Villa in free fall and promoted team history of late season capitulation.

Whats your views Rich? you watch a lot more football than me and it was your bet

Well QPR have Man C and Man U in the next 5 games

Southampton have picked up, Reading getting the odd result

Against that Villa are struggling



Harry has also shored up that defence markedly, and is happily picking up a point here and there in tough games

He's been in charge 11 games and has W 2  D 4  L 5 for 10 pointsso just under a pont a game

Lets say they need 40 points minimum to survive, maybe less this year who knows

there are 16 games to go

they have 14 points

So need just under 2 points a game to get to 40


ie still needs a big pick up in form for them not to be an odds on bet here. Remy M'Vila and co should see them improve further but 26 points or say 7 wins 5 draws in 16 games? No sir

Personally, I am letting it run, but expecting it to go closer to the wire than pre-Redknapp obviously

[OverTheBorder]

Not seen anything on this but may have missed it but is Fred still happy with it's position on QPR? based on signing news and Harry's survival record I am tempted to cash my tokens in.  With Betfair price being 63/100 you could book a win at around 3/5.  Take a £30 profit now or wait 5 months for £80 (if my maths is correct).  Also factoring in Villa in free fall and promoted team history of late season capitulation.

Whats your views Rich? you watch a lot more football than me and it was your bet

Well QPR have Man C and Man U in the next 5 games

Southampton have picked up, Reading getting the odd result

Against that Villa are struggling



Harry has also shored up that defence markedly, and is happily picking up a point here and there in tough games

He's been in charge 11 games and has W 2  D 4  L 5 for 10 pointsso just under a pont a game

Lets say they need 40 points minimum to survive, maybe less this year who knows

there are 16 games to go

they have 14 points

So need just under 2 points a game to get to 40


ie still needs a big pick up in form for them not to be an odds on bet here. Remy M'Vila and co should see them improve further but 26 points or say 7 wins 5 draws in 16 games? No sir

Personally, I am letting it run, but expecting it to go closer to the wire than pre-Redknapp obviously

Thanks Rich, in you we trust, was just checking if the pendulum was swinging!

[JaffaCake]

Can't imagine it will take 40 to stay up, didn't a team stay up with 34 a year or two back? Looks enough dross about for that to happen again imo

[redarmi]

I think it is a better bet now than it was before tbh in terms of equity.  The idea that Redknapp is some kind of a magic bullet provides a bit of a premium to the price when it isn't borne out by any kind of fact.  He has faced a similar situation twice before and got relegated once and stayed up once.  Seems like they are basically a bunch of mercenaries there and they aren't playing that well.  It is going to take a lot to get them out of this imo.  I think 4/7 now is fair value as much as it pains me to say it.

[TightEnd]

Can't imagine it will take 40 to stay up, didn't a team stay up with 34 a year or two back? Looks enough dross about for that to happen again imo

ok, stick 35 points in as looking again its a big ask for 2 of villa, wigan, reading to get to 40

21 points required for QPR in 16 games, so a better points per game than in Harry's 11 games so far. I would expect that but enough to get 5-6 wins, and 3-5 draws?

Possible, but odds on to go seems fair to me



Tonight's prices are

1/5 Reading
8/15 QPR
10/11 Villa
5/4 Wigan
11/8 Southampton

So some improvement of QPR relative to Reading is built in

[tikay]

Really like Brooklyn Nets to win at Atlanta Hawks tonight. Brooklyn the hottest team in the NBA, and have won 9 in 10 since they sacked their coach and put veteran PJ Carlisimo in charge. They're averaging more points and conceding less. Plus Joe Johnson has been red hot, and this is his first return to Atlanta since being traded in the summer.

Atlanta have lost 6 of the last 7, got smashed 97-58 last time out, and have suspended their best player by a mile Josh Smith for one game for his behaviour, which he has come out and said basically he hates losing but chose the wrong way to display it. 7/5 with Billy Hill is far too big, I think Brooklyn should be favourites. Can go nitty with a three point start at 10/11 should u wish

Thank you Mr K.

We are in a good mood tonight, & can freeroll a bet, as CBB Guru Chompy assured us that Heidi Spencer would be evicted from CBB this evening, & we got on at a tasty 8/1, so we have cash in our pocket.

We have got on your bet, though we went Route Nit, & took 10/11 +3.5 (not +3, you note), with Corals.

We have £33 @ 10/11, Corals, Brooklyn Nets (+3.5) to whop Atlanta Hawks.

ON

Brooklyn Nets +3.510/11Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks - 17/01/2013Stake £33.00
Estimated Return:£63.00 

[tikay]

Not seen anything on this but may have missed it but is Fred still happy with it's position on QPR? based on signing news and Harry's survival record I am tempted to cash my tokens in.  With Betfair price being 63/100 you could book a win at around 3/5.  Take a £30 profit now or wait 5 months for £80 (if my maths is correct).  Also factoring in Villa in free fall and promoted team history of late season capitulation.

Whats your views Rich? you watch a lot more football than me and it was your bet

Well QPR have Man C and Man U in the next 5 games

Southampton have picked up, Reading getting the odd result

Against that Villa are struggling



Harry has also shored up that defence markedly, and is happily picking up a point here and there in tough games

He's been in charge 11 games and has W 2  D 4  L 5 for 10 pointsso just under a pont a game

Lets say they need 40 points minimum to survive, maybe less this year who knows

there are 16 games to go

they have 14 points

So need just under 2 points a game to get to 40


ie still needs a big pick up in form for them not to be an odds on bet here. Remy M'Vila and co should see them improve further but 26 points or say 7 wins 5 draws in 16 games? No sir

Personally, I am letting it run, but expecting it to go closer to the wire than pre-Redknapp obviously

Very pleased you responded thusly Rich, as even though I am often described as lily-livered in respect of greening out, I don't think we should be sacrificing our equity on this one. We are on at 8/5, & I'm very happy with our position. I have often pondered a press on this, but the price kept shrinking. I would not wager more, or much more, now, as the price seems to have found its correct level. At 8/5, it remains, imo, a fabulous bet.

See also next Post......

[BigAdz]

But they didn't unless I watched a parallel universe eviction?

Or was I undone by irony.....again?

[TheDazzler]

Leeds at 3.3 tonight?

Only thing I could remotely find.

 

Any chance you could change your avatar to Basil Rathbone, Camel? The definitive Sherlock Holmes (surely no comeback on that? No closet Jeremy Brett or Christopher Lee fans, right?)

Sorry, only just seen this -- couldn't let it pass.  Jeremy Brett was a brilliant Holmes, and the closest to Doyle's character (imo).

This is where I do my Derren Brown impression and reveal an envelope, within which there is a card. The card is shown to the camera and reads: Only Kinboshi will disagree



I bet you think George Lazenby was the best Bond as well.

You'll be be telling us next that you prefer Roast Beef Monster Munch.

Maybe Richard Orford is your favourite Sky Poker presenter?

I must concur with Kinboshi, Brett was my favourite Holmes by a long chalk.
I'd imagine most serious fans would have no problem with that and it is by no means as clear cut a case as the Bond Connery vs Moore issue. If anything, I'd imagine serious fans would likely favour Brett over Rathbone.
Actually speaking of Roger Moore (I met him once, an absolute gent), he once played Sherlock Holmes in 'Sherlock Holmes in New York' with Patrick Macnee as Watson. Here it is, in all its glory
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kzTDgzI6ypE

[tikay]

I opine to the view that the person who decides if we green out or "save" on a bet should be the owner of the bet.

Is that a fair & reasonable view?

I think we ought to consider getting a Ruling on this, so we don't have any arguments about it in the future.

I therefore call upon Compliance Officer Coobs - herein known as CODoobs when officiating - to make a Ruling.

[tikay]

But they didn't unless I watched a parallel universe eviction?

Or was I undone by irony.....again?

Heidi Spencer did not get evicted? What? Say it ain't so?

CBB Guru Chompy promised us it was a good bet. When was he ever wrong on matters of such import?