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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13570865 times)
Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16593
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71505 on:
March 18, 2014, 12:45:05 PM »
Quote from: gherkin on March 18, 2014, 12:35:00 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 10:24:47 AM
Home for a free bet?
Derbyshire 7-1 to win County Championship Div Two (which starts in 19 days) Wlliam Hill
fourth favourites behind surrey, hants and essex. At least 4 of the 9 teams in this are genuine outsiders due to financial considerations, squad depth and strength. derbyshire have just produced their 8th profit in 9 years and have no such concerns
market skewed because surrey have big names, but actually they are rebuilding with youngsters and can be opposed at the price
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/winner
Derbyshire just got relegated last season, actually a very creditable performance, have one of the best domestic batsmen in madsen, an overseas in chanderpaul who churns out runs and a lot of young talent (particularly spinners, which is unusual for them)
Most importantly of all they play at Derby (yes, they do) which produces result wickets.....and this is vital with 24 points for winning a game with max bonus points compared to a maxmium of 11 for the draw
you need to win games, and surrey play at the oval, which is not prepared to produce result wickets. hampshire at the ageas also, only result wickets in the second half of the season when they dry out to take spin
secondary bet £15 e/w derbyshire william hill 7-1 1/5 top 3. I have them in my top three every day of the week at this stage
--
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-1/county-championship-division-1/winner
cc1 is genuinely tough, i could make a case for six of the teams in a really tight heat, and i won't be recommending a bet this season. hopefully gherkin has some ideas.
I like it, they played well last year in D1 and should comfortably finish in the top 5. Gloucester at 12/1 and Glamorgan at 16/1 imply they have some sort of realistic chance, which they don't. The only thing I'd say for anyone else looking to follow is that the price might drift slightly. The 7/2 on Surrey won't last (it will be 3/1 before the season starts) which may push out a couple of other teams prices.
I'll have a look at D1 in a couple of weeks when they put some more markets up. Warwickshire were 13/2 not so long ago, you can barely get 5/1 now - definitely missed an opportunity there.
On a side note, has anyone seen England's bowling in the warm up game against WI? So clueless!! There are some interesting warm up games tomorrow but I can't see anything from a betting point of view
Apart from the fact he doesn't bowl much and he isn't there, we can still blame Pieterson, right?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
doubleup
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Posts: 7065
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71506 on:
March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71507 on:
March 18, 2014, 12:50:06 PM »
Quote from: doubleup on March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
It interests me just how likely i am to live to 60/65/70 etc. I wouldn't have a clue how to price it up.
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Doobs
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Posts: 16593
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71508 on:
March 18, 2014, 12:58:49 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:50:06 PM
Quote from: doubleup on March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
It interests me just how likely i am to live to 60/65/70 etc. I wouldn't have a clue how to price it up.
Am guessing that you have over 90% chance of getting to 65. Depends on your health, habits, underlying illnesses, where you live etc. If you lived in Central Glasgow, are a lot of deep fried Mars Bars or had heart problems it could be way lower.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71509 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:07:18 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 12:58:49 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:50:06 PM
Quote from: doubleup on March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
It interests me just how likely i am to live to 60/65/70 etc. I wouldn't have a clue how to price it up.
Am guessing that you have over 90% chance of getting to 65. Depends on your health, habits, underlying illnesses, where you live etc. If you lived in Central Glasgow, are a lot of deep fried Mars Bars or had heart problems it could be way lower.
Celitc Vin odds on then to go before 60 then if Glasgow and deep fried mars bars are the measuring sticks!!!!! Shouldn't joke about death but vin would take it in the spirit it was meant because he loves DF mars bars!
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doubleup
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Posts: 7065
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71510 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:13:37 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:50:06 PM
Quote from: doubleup on March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
It interests me just how likely i am to live to 60/65/70 etc. I wouldn't have a clue how to price it up.
You really don't want to know - I did an OU probability course years ago and ended up severely out of my depth with stuff like this
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sonour
Hero Member
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Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71511 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:20:07 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:02:42 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 12:00:27 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 11:37:42 AM
its that time again
Luckily this is with Ladbrokes, so we can't do any damage.
£50 take out with a 'virgin' account. 1% account you will be able to win 50p. Might need Mrs Bandit and the cake shop to help us out.
Let me know what you want Tikay and I'll see what I can do this afternoon.
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tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71512 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:23:35 PM »
Quote from: sonour on March 18, 2014, 01:20:07 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:02:42 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 12:00:27 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 11:37:42 AM
its that time again
Luckily this is with Ladbrokes, so we can't do any damage.
£50 take out with a 'virgin' account. 1% account you will be able to win 50p. Might need Mrs Bandit and the cake shop to help us out.
Let me know what you want Tikay and I'll see what I can do this afternoon.
Thanks Lisa.
I can't decide, so it has to be "Tough Decisions" please, up to £25.
Can't lose.
PS - You have a PM.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
celtic
Global Moderator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 19116
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71513 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:26:51 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 01:07:18 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 12:58:49 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:50:06 PM
Quote from: doubleup on March 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
Bookies aren't allowed to take bets on deaths, people find it distasteful.
It used to be that it would effectively be a life insurance contract and that is only allowed with an insurable interest.
It interests me just how likely i am to live to 60/65/70 etc. I wouldn't have a clue how to price it up.
Am guessing that you have over 90% chance of getting to 65. Depends on your health, habits, underlying illnesses, where you live etc. If you lived in Central Glasgow, are a lot of deep fried Mars Bars or had heart problems it could be way lower.
Celitc Vin odds on then to go before 60 then if Glasgow and deep fried mars bars are the measuring sticks!!!!! Shouldn't joke about death but vin would take it in the spirit it was meant because he loves DF mars bars!
If you can get 4/11 or better on me going before 60, we could make a killing
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Keefy is back
But for how long?
sonour
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71514 on:
March 18, 2014, 01:34:55 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 18, 2014, 01:23:35 PM
Quote from: sonour on March 18, 2014, 01:20:07 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 18, 2014, 12:02:42 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2014, 12:00:27 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 11:37:42 AM
its that time again
Luckily this is with Ladbrokes, so we can't do any damage.
£50 take out with a 'virgin' account. 1% account you will be able to win 50p. Might need Mrs Bandit and the cake shop to help us out.
Let me know what you want Tikay and I'll see what I can do this afternoon.
Thanks Lisa.
I can't decide, so it has to be "Tough Decisions" please, up to £25.
Can't lose.
PS - You have a PM.
Thank you. I have replied.
Logged
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71515 on:
March 18, 2014, 02:20:26 PM »
Please add Krishmar Santokie £10 e/w 100-1 Betfred to the T20 World Cup bets
if you can't get 100-1, no bother
WI 3rd spinner, opens the bowling with Badree. Just breaking through, batsman don't know how to play him
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71516 on:
March 18, 2014, 02:35:27 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 02:20:26 PM
Please add Krishmar Santokie £10 e/w 100-1 Betfred to the T20 World Cup bets
if you can't get 100-1, no bother
WI 3rd spinner, opens the bowling with Badree. Just breaking through, batsman don't know how to play him
We were Restricted to £4 EW, but that's not so bad when the price is 100/1.
3/18/2014 14:06:57 PM 307/
333 W:4.00 S:4.00 Single Twenty20 World Cup 2014/Top Tournament Wicket Taker Santokie, Krishmar 100/1 Open O £8.00 £0.00
BET PLACED
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Snowball
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1464
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71517 on:
March 18, 2014, 02:36:59 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 02:20:26 PM
Please add Krishmar Santokie £10 e/w 100-1 Betfred to the T20 World Cup bets
if you can't get 100-1, no bother
WI 3rd spinner, opens the bowling with Badree. Just breaking through, batsman don't know how to play him
I was just going to look at him for WI top Bowler before you posted, he's not a spinner tho???
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sonour
Hero Member
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Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71518 on:
March 18, 2014, 02:43:36 PM »
Budget Bingo Buzzwords
Tough Decisions
£25 @ 6/4
ON
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71519 on:
March 18, 2014, 02:48:16 PM »
Quote from: Snowball on March 18, 2014, 02:36:59 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 18, 2014, 02:20:26 PM
Please add Krishmar Santokie £10 e/w 100-1 Betfred to the T20 World Cup bets
if you can't get 100-1, no bother
WI 3rd spinner, opens the bowling with Badree. Just breaking through, batsman don't know how to play him
I was just going to look at him for WI top Bowler before you posted, he's not a spinner tho???
slow bowler. hardly medium pace. bopara-like
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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