Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

A bit of flesh to the bones of the NBA Rookie of the Year bet.

It's been known for years that there's a number of really good players coming into the league this coming season. This is slightly different to the past two, where we've been on the winner of this award at 6-1 and 14-1, as really there wasn't much talent and we had to look around for players going to bad teams that would get plenty of court time, plus were pretty talented.

This year should be a tougher field to find a bet, but circumstances have prevailed and I think it's a two horse race between the favourite, Jabari Parker, and Nerlens Noel, who was drafted last year, and was the consensus number one pick in a poor year before getting injured in Feb and dropping down the picks, missing all of last year with a knee injury. I think it's down to these two basically because you can put a line through all the competitors.

Number one pick Andrew Wiggins has gone to Cleveland. They weren't that bad last year, and actually only had a 1.5% of getting the first pick, which they did for the third time in four years. This means their team isn't that bad and Wiggins won't be thrust into a starring role on it. They have now signed LeBron and this is even more so the case. There's talk of him being traded for Kevin Love, which would alter his outlook completely (he'd be a star on a crap team and back into the betting) but he's been assured he won't be dealt and it's unlikely. LBJ didn't mention either Wiggins or last year's number one Anthony Bennett in his letter (he listed 4 others) so it could be done, but it's doubtful. If he's dealt we'll revisit this.

Number two pick Parker ticks all the boxes and is rightly favourite. Super talented, will go straight into Milwaukee's starting 5 and is instantly their best player. Some question marks remain, Jason Kidd's coaching, a packed front court that might hold him back slightly if Kidd shares the minutes around. He's NBA ready tho and his team are desperate.

Philly took Joel Embiid third. He was touted to go first but is injured and out for 4 to 6 months, much like Noel the year before. This takes him out of the Rookie of the Year race, which is good for us looking for a bet.

Julies Randle of the Lakers is third in the betting and is a danger. He looks like he'll slot straight in at power forward and could be a double double man straight away. However, the Lakers have a lot of money to spend on free agents and Kobe should be fully fit. It's hard to see a rookie getting enough of the ball to impress, and if the Lakers line up a similar kind of roster as last year, with loads of fun nomadic players looking like they're on the playground, it's not great for a rookie to shine. He'll be close tho.

Marcus Smart of the Celtics might benefit if they trade their All-Star point guard Rajon Rondo. If that happens he may have a chance, if it doesn't he doesn't. I don't see him as a threat whatever happens, not good enough.

Utah have Dante Exum and he's the great unknown in this. He's a 19 year old guard from Australia and not much is known about him. He's sposed to be pretty good, but I can't believe a kid from Australia will come in and blow away a draft class as good as this. Utah drafted a guard last year, Trey Burke, and they'll have to fight each other for the ball, although Gordon Hayward leaving will help a bit. Hard to judge how good he'll be just yet. His old man played with Michael Jordan at North Carolina then headed to play pro in Australia.

Doug McDermott is next in the list and surely as he's a no channer then we don't need to go any further. 'Dougie McBuckets' is instant offence but playing for the Bulls he'll have to learn to be a great defender to get on the court, and that takes time. He'll be a slow burner.

That brings us back to Nerlens Noel. Everything about this guy makes me wanna back him more. As we know from last year when we successfully backed Michael Carter-Williams, the Sixers are rubbish. They're rubbish with a purpose tho, they traded away their decent players for draft picks and now have the start of a young, exciting roster. Noel being injured all year meant they had another bad year and therefore got another high pick, and they've rinse repeated with Embiid so this year they won't be much good again.

It's been well known that even tho Noel has been out for 18 months, he's been fit and ready for at least 6 months, there just was no point playing him. Instead, he's been worked really hard on his basics. They've reconstructed his shot, which seems to be working a treat. His Achilles heal was his free throw shooting, just over 50% in his year in college. He hit his first nine in the summer league this week and shot 80% over 4 games. His shot looks great. His coach Brett Brown has been working one on one with him for months, much more so that any normal player/coach relationship. They know he's their future.

He's 6'11" and has a 7'4" wingspan. He is super athletic and can jump out the building. Defensively he's going to get loads of blocks and offensively some huge play of the day style dunks. He played really well in the summer league last week and said afterwards he hasn't thought about his knee in months.

The one drawback is that as Philly are gonna be crap again, they may limit his minutes and try and protect him with little reward for the risk. If they keep resting him or limit him to 20 minutes a game he won't be a runner. But with his teammate having won RotY last year and having been sat idle for 18 months, maybe up to half of that when he was fit, he'll be raring to go.

Here's our boy in action last week, fresh from injury, looks sharp already (and I don't just mean the flat top).



So we have £40 on Noel at 10-1, I think we should cover that with a bet on Parker to get our money back, suggest £20 at 3-1

That is a cracking write up Jeff, thanks.

Are Basketball players generally described as having a "wingspan"?

Love it.

[arbboy]

A bit of flesh to the bones of the NBA Rookie of the Year bet.

It's been known for years that there's a number of really good players coming into the league this coming season. This is slightly different to the past two, where we've been on the winner of this award at 6-1 and 14-1, as really there wasn't much talent and we had to look around for players going to bad teams that would get plenty of court time, plus were pretty talented.

This year should be a tougher field to find a bet, but circumstances have prevailed and I think it's a two horse race between the favourite, Jabari Parker, and Nerlens Noel, who was drafted last year, and was the consensus number one pick in a poor year before getting injured in Feb and dropping down the picks, missing all of last year with a knee injury. I think it's down to these two basically because you can put a line through all the competitors.

Number one pick Andrew Wiggins has gone to Cleveland. They weren't that bad last year, and actually only had a 1.5% of getting the first pick, which they did for the third time in four years. This means their team isn't that bad and Wiggins won't be thrust into a starring role on it. They have now signed LeBron and this is even more so the case. There's talk of him being traded for Kevin Love, which would alter his outlook completely (he'd be a star on a crap team and back into the betting) but he's been assured he won't be dealt and it's unlikely. LBJ didn't mention either Wiggins or last year's number one Anthony Bennett in his letter (he listed 4 others) so it could be done, but it's doubtful. If he's dealt we'll revisit this.

Number two pick Parker ticks all the boxes and is rightly favourite. Super talented, will go straight into Milwaukee's starting 5 and is instantly their best player. Some question marks remain, Jason Kidd's coaching, a packed front court that might hold him back slightly if Kidd shares the minutes around. He's NBA ready tho and his team are desperate.

Philly took Joel Embiid third. He was touted to go first but is injured and out for 4 to 6 months, much like Noel the year before. This takes him out of the Rookie of the Year race, which is good for us looking for a bet.

Julies Randle of the Lakers is third in the betting and is a danger. He looks like he'll slot straight in at power forward and could be a double double man straight away. However, the Lakers have a lot of money to spend on free agents and Kobe should be fully fit. It's hard to see a rookie getting enough of the ball to impress, and if the Lakers line up a similar kind of roster as last year, with loads of fun nomadic players looking like they're on the playground, it's not great for a rookie to shine. He'll be close tho.

Marcus Smart of the Celtics might benefit if they trade their All-Star point guard Rajon Rondo. If that happens he may have a chance, if it doesn't he doesn't. I don't see him as a threat whatever happens, not good enough.

Utah have Dante Exum and he's the great unknown in this. He's a 19 year old guard from Australia and not much is known about him. He's sposed to be pretty good, but I can't believe a kid from Australia will come in and blow away a draft class as good as this. Utah drafted a guard last year, Trey Burke, and they'll have to fight each other for the ball, although Gordon Hayward leaving will help a bit. Hard to judge how good he'll be just yet. His old man played with Michael Jordan at North Carolina then headed to play pro in Australia.

Doug McDermott is next in the list and surely as he's a no channer then we don't need to go any further. 'Dougie McBuckets' is instant offence but playing for the Bulls he'll have to learn to be a great defender to get on the court, and that takes time. He'll be a slow burner.

That brings us back to Nerlens Noel. Everything about this guy makes me wanna back him more. As we know from last year when we successfully backed Michael Carter-Williams, the Sixers are rubbish. They're rubbish with a purpose tho, they traded away their decent players for draft picks and now have the start of a young, exciting roster. Noel being injured all year meant they had another bad year and therefore got another high pick, and they've rinse repeated with Embiid so this year they won't be much good again.

It's been well known that even tho Noel has been out for 18 months, he's been fit and ready for at least 6 months, there just was no point playing him. Instead, he's been worked really hard on his basics. They've reconstructed his shot, which seems to be working a treat. His Achilles heal was his free throw shooting, just over 50% in his year in college. He hit his first nine in the summer league this week and shot 80% over 4 games. His shot looks great. His coach Brett Brown has been working one on one with him for months, much more so that any normal player/coach relationship. They know he's their future.

He's 6'11" and has a 7'4" wingspan. He is super athletic and can jump out the building. Defensively he's going to get loads of blocks and offensively some huge play of the day style dunks. He played really well in the summer league last week and said afterwards he hasn't thought about his knee in months.

The one drawback is that as Philly are gonna be crap again, they may limit his minutes and try and protect him with little reward for the risk. If they keep resting him or limit him to 20 minutes a game he won't be a runner. But with his teammate having won RotY last year and having been sat idle for 18 months, maybe up to half of that when he was fit, he'll be raring to go.

Here's our boy in action last week, fresh from injury, looks sharp already (and I don't just mean the flat top).



So we have £40 on Noel at 10-1, I think we should cover that with a bet on Parker to get our money back, suggest £20 at 3-1

That is a cracking write up Jeff, thanks.

Are Basketball players generally described as having a "wingspan"?

Love it.

Yes it's a key element of a basketball natural skillset.  Longer the arms the greater the ability to block shots and make steals on defence which are the two key defensive stats in basketball so it's a big issue.  Recently during tryouts hand size has also started to be measured as an extension of the above.

[horseplayer]

Not good enough, no excuses with that one

Have a good weekend all

[tikay]

Ok, as promised the other day, I've done a little bit of homework regarding the Fishomania final tomorrow (live on sky from Noon).

Let's get one thing clear here, all of the 16 finalists can fish bloody well, but as it is with the sport I love, the draw and the weather can make a lot of difference.

Odds are here.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/fishomania/winner

The draw has been made and there are a couple of excellent anglers in the areas where I think a few fish will be caught.  Last years winning peg was peg 7, and I expect this area to fish well.

Pemb Wrighting is on this peg and I actually fancied him to fish well before the draw so at 14/1 with Corals and Fred it's a good price especially for 3 places 1/4 odds.

Andy Power is also in a good area and can be had at 11/1.......paddy's have him at 13/2!....again go E/W 1/4 odds.

Hot favourite, and last years winner Jamie Hughes is on an end peg, which is always something that you want in match fishing, but at 15/8, no way.  You can get 9/2 but that is still too short where the difference between anglers ability is small here.

The wind always seems to push into pegs 5 - 8 and this is the area I like.

Recommend

£5 E/W Pemb Wrighting @ 14/1 (Peg 7)
£5 E/W Andy Power @ 11/1 (Peg 5)

I look forward to this event every year, most will be bored to tears, but there's not many sports where average Joe can turn up and compete against the best in the country to try and reach the final.

Pemb Wrighting has just landed 3 nice carp, back to back, which puts him right in this.

[Matt.NFFC.]

Ok, as promised the other day, I've done a little bit of homework regarding the Fishomania final tomorrow (live on sky from Noon).

Let's get one thing clear here, all of the 16 finalists can fish bloody well, but as it is with the sport I love, the draw and the weather can make a lot of difference.

Odds are here.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/fishomania/winner

The draw has been made and there are a couple of excellent anglers in the areas where I think a few fish will be caught.  Last years winning peg was peg 7, and I expect this area to fish well.

Pemb Wrighting is on this peg and I actually fancied him to fish well before the draw so at 14/1 with Corals and Fred it's a good price especially for 3 places 1/4 odds.

Andy Power is also in a good area and can be had at 11/1.......paddy's have him at 13/2!....again go E/W 1/4 odds.

Hot favourite, and last years winner Jamie Hughes is on an end peg, which is always something that you want in match fishing, but at 15/8, no way.  You can get 9/2 but that is still too short where the difference between anglers ability is small here.

The wind always seems to push into pegs 5 - 8 and this is the area I like.

Recommend

£5 E/W Pemb Wrighting @ 14/1 (Peg 7)
£5 E/W Andy Power @ 11/1 (Peg 5)

I look forward to this event every year, most will be bored to tears, but there's not many sports where average Joe can turn up and compete against the best in the country to try and reach the final.

Pemb Wrighting has just landed 3 nice carp, back to back, which puts him right in this.

Yep, and now Sky Sports goes on the blink ffs.

[sonour]

PP are now doing the money back if 2nd or 3rd offer in shops.

It's on one race per day

Up to £50 per selection

No limit on number of selections

[JaffaCake]

Is that Middlesbrough legend Christian Karembeu with Wenger?

it is.

Rather see a pic of his missus.

Did Miami let the cat out of the bag with their draft pick tonight? Selected the guy lbj talked up as the best guard in college ball during the NCAA tourney and when they got him lbj tweeted saying he's his fave player in the draft. Would be weird to now leave the heat after that. Looks like he's opted out to re-sign for less to get a better squad. I've backed Cleveland at 60 and 50-1 but think this signals lbj stays in Miami. Think they'll shorten to 5/2 from. 7/2 once that happens officially

Got accused of pre-after timing with my Cleveland bets....just to prove Fred was made aware of them weeks ago, even tho at the time of posting I thought the pendulum had swung towards Miami again! Go Cavs!!

[arbboy]

heart rate monitors on the fishing guys!!!! comical scenes.  One guy's heart rate is 140bpm sitting still fishing.  He is in a world of pain and needs to get to the gym asap.

[tikay]

With just minutes to go, Andy Power is in 2nd place.

[arbboy]

only sky could actually make this as exciting as they have!

[BigAdz]

Dentists Paradise at the fishing...

[tikay]

only sky could actually make this as exciting as they have!

It's superb.

Think Pemb is 4th or 5th, too.

Fun sweat.

[Matt.NFFC.]

We've had a great run....

[tikay]

We've had a great run....

We got 3rd and 4th.

Good work Matt, think you.

[BigAdz]

We've had a great run....

Thanks for the effort on that one Matt. Good fun.