Tips for Tikay

[moonandback]

Wow just woke up to see Wisconsin beat Kentucky 71 to 64 last night so we get to play a team that we already  beat by 10 for the championship.
couldnt put anyone off having a saver on wisconsin but I dont think you will get the right price its 10/11 each at the moment which in my opinion is a great price for Duke as nothing has changed since their last meeting except we get to play on a nuetral  
court not on their home court!
Anyway go Duke.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £21.12

Outstanding Bets £3999.94

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

A loss of £78 yesterday

+£42 Anthony Joshua beat his latest pasty patsy in the third round for the profit



losses

-£25 Leicester won



-£25 QPR won away.

Click to see full-size image.

-£10 The Dallas Mavericks hopes of winning the NBA South West Division are no more after a loss last night to Golden State

-£60 Guernsey beat Sittingbourne 3-0 yesterday but cannot now reach the play offs after Whyteleafe won yesterday. Burgess Hill won the division yesterday, the first team to do so in the first nine steps of English football, with over 100 points

As it is April now, we have the headwinds of stale ante-post losses to deal with in the next two months, and obviously are sweating some nice bets too

ongoing positions

Football

Liking the look of the £83 at 3-1 Arsenal to win the PL w/o Chelsea after their 4-1 win yesterday. We'll need it to pay for the Welbeck Arsenal top scorer bet. on the bench again yesterday

1. Chelsea 70 points 2. Arsenal 63 points 3. Man United 62 points 4. Man City 61 points

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All eyes on Selhurst tomorrow where Palace could substantially help the Arsenal bet and the many Palace bets with a result

The Liverpool handicap bet, the embers of which flickered for several months, now appears to be close to being extinguished

Rooney scored for Man U. Its an outside chance, particularly having been played in midfield for much of the season, but there is still the hope of a top 4 finish for the golden boot

19 - Costa, Kane 17 - Aguero 16 - Austin 14 - Alexis, Giroud 12 - Berahino, Hazard, Rooney

Click to see full-size image.

Stoke lost at Chelsea, and are 10th and our top ten bet is looking over its shoulder at Everton, showing some late season form 5 points behind in 11th

Click to see full-size image.

West Ham are 9th and our top ten bet is looking over its shoulder at Everton, showing some late season form 5 points behind in 11th

Click to see full-size image.

WBA relegation bet, unlikely but still a possibility outside the bottom 6 but still needing a couple of results for safety

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In the Bundesliga Mainz drew 0-0 at Werder. Soon we will be able to write this one off, they are 17 points off 4th with 7 to play

NCAA

Duke have reached the NCAA Basketball finals, where they will play Wisconsin. The Badgers knocked off unbeaten Kentucky to give us a real chance of the scoop here at 10-1

Click to see full-size image.

NBA

The LA Clippers won their 9th game out of the last ten last night,



and the Portland Trailblazers won again. A loser the Toronto Raptors lost by a point in Boston

F1E

Nelson Piquet Jnr won at Long Beach and after 6 of 11 rounds of the inaugural series he is a pointg behind Lucas De Grassi. we have him at 10-1 for the title. The series concludes with two races in London in an iconic street circuit setting. Up the Mall? Olympic Park? round regents park? No, Battersea Park



NHL

Minnesota Wild lost 3-2 to Detroit last night

AFL

Greater Western Sydney Giants kick off 2015 AFL campaign with nine-point win over St Kilda

Click to see full-size image.

MLB

The Cardinals and the Cubs kick off the 2015 MLB season tonight



Finally, this may only interest me, but Jordan Speith has not three putted in 278 holes of tournament golf.

[hector62]

Morning Mr T's.

The Houston tennis tournament begins today, a clay tournament in the USA. It looks like an open tournament with 4 players vying for favouritism and of the 4 3 of them are far better on hard courts. I think I have some value for us further down the betting in a player we have backed before and seems in good form so far this season. Frederico Delbonis is a young Argentinian who won his maiden ATP title last year at Sao Paulo on clay. I think he is in the easier half of the draw and is priced at 40-1 and I make him around the 16's mark.

Suggest £5 e/w Delbonis @ 40-1 with betfred or betvictor.

[TightEnd]

 Houston - Mens Federico Delbonis (EW) (Outright - Outright) Odds: 40/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  310.00

[Peter-27]

F1E

Nelson Piquet Jnr won at Long Beach and after 6 of 11 rounds of the inaugural series he is a pointg behind Lucas De Grassi. we have him at 10-1 for the title. The series concludes with two races in London in an iconic street circuit setting. Up the Mall? Olympic Park? round regents park? No, Battersea Park

F. 1. E. ... AHHHHHH 

[TightEnd]

Wow just woke up to see Wisconsin beat Kentucky 71 to 64 last night so we get to play a team that we already  beat by 10 for the championship.
couldnt put anyone off having a saver on wisconsin but I dont think you will get the right price its 10/11 each at the moment which in my opinion is a great price for Duke as nothing has changed since their last meeting except we get to play on a nuetral  
court not on their home court!
Anyway go Duke.

Hi, the upset was very welcome wasn't it?

Evens the Badgers is around in a place

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/ncaab/duke-blue-devils-at-wisconsin-badgers/winner


its your choice as the idea generator, we can cover off as a thread bet or run it

i expect we'll do it off thread whatever, but for on here, your call

[Larry David]

Dont get the negativity on this site. Good on you for backing the Swans in play. Unfortunately we dont have that option in SA. For what its worth i bet big on Collingwood and Crows this weekend and also have Port in a treble, and also have watched many many years of AFL.  I thought it was a good start for an outside bet but what the hell

You think that was bad, just wait until Larry starts chirping at you

    One day left don't worry.

[BigAdz]

Congrats and TY again to Peter, a proper find for Fred, and quickly established as possibly our most reliably profitable contributor.

Not sure I can recall a losing weekend from him. TY.

 

[Larry David]

Morning Mr T's.

The Houston tennis tournament begins today, a clay tournament in the USA. It looks like an open tournament with 4 players vying for favouritism and of the 4 3 of them are far better on hard courts. I think I have some value for us further down the betting in a player we have backed before and seems in good form so far this season. Frederico Delbonis is a young Argentinian who won his maiden ATP title last year at Sao Paulo on clay. I think he is in the easier half of the draw and is priced at 40-1 and I make him around the 16's mark.

Suggest £5 e/w Delbonis @ 40-1 with betfred or betvictor.

Looks a good shout this.  One of the biggest bottle jobs on the tour,complete bag of nerves but at 40/1 you can't go wrong given he has a big game when he applies himself minus the choking.  He avoids bautista agut,sock and giraldo until the semi-final.  Should make semi final if he turns up.

[kukushkin88]

Remarkable stat on Spieth but it got me thinking, you can usually only end up with a stat like that if you miss lots of greens. Quick check of the stats he's 147th GIR, I'm a big fan of Spieth but surely GIR is a massive stat at Augusta. I'd be interested in what the golf guys think but I think we should perhaps be taking him on. Very interested in what Ralph, Doobs, Doubleup, Adz etc think.

Jimmy Walker's stats do look quite Augusta friendly.

[superwomble]

Talking of Duke, I saw this on Twitter earlier. This is Duke's Jahlil Okafor's hand on regular sized basketball!

[jakally]

Remarkable stat on Spieth but it got me thinking, you can usually only end up with a stat like that if you miss lots of greens. Quick check of the stats he's 147th GIR, I'm a big fan of Spieth but surely GIR is a massive stat at Augusta. I'd be interested in what the golf guys think but I think we should perhaps be taking him on. Very interested in what Ralph, Doobs, Doubleup, Adz etc think.

Jimmy Walker's stats do look quite Augusta friendly.

Was looking at this earlier.

To me it looks that Driving Distance is the most important factor at Augusta, followed by GIR / Putt Avg.
Spieth falls down on both driving and GIR.

Rory, Jimmy Walker, Bubba and Adam Scott seem to have the best stats for the Masters, from the top 15 in the betting. (Plus Mickleson if he gets back to form).

[Peter-27]

Congrats and TY again to Peter, a proper find for Fred, and quickly established as possibly our most reliably profitable contributor.

Not sure I can recall a losing weekend from him. TY.

 

Thank you very much

I've been keeping my own personal record of bets that TFT have taken and my ROI is currently 39.48%. It'll probably be hard to maintain the figure this high over a long term, but I'll do my best to keep in profit I think I had one losing week early on - but results have been pretty good otherwise

[BigAdz]

Remarkable stat on Spieth but it got me thinking, you can usually only end up with a stat like that if you miss lots of greens. Quick check of the stats he's 147th GIR, I'm a big fan of Spieth but surely GIR is a massive stat at Augusta. I'd be interested in what the golf guys think but I think we should perhaps be taking him on. Very interested in what Ralph, Doobs, Doubleup, Adz etc think.

Jimmy Walker's stats do look quite Augusta friendly.

Personally, I just see Jordy as a stat buster.

He finished tied second there last year with similar stats, I assume, and on his first attempt.

He appears to be getting better and more confident each week. You only have to listen to him and his caddie dismantle each shot, to know he is learning at every step.

If stats won every tourny, even Ralph would make money at golf betting.

[Karabiner]

He(Spieth) played really well there last year and seems to be in the form of his life currently but he's too short for me @~10/1.

LOL at me being a stats afficionado.