Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

and i saw this

Tony Martin is the rightful favourite, but Tom Dumoulin is the value bet...

 http://btfr.co/TDF-Stage1

i think this was suggested yesterday on here

do we want to be on Dum, or not?

[TightEnd]

final part of the brain dump

Cilic and Isner went off at 10-10 in the fifth last night

two massive servers, cilic was a break up early in the 5th, was broken back and here we are

Cilic serves first

both fit and durable, used to long matches

is cilic serving first enough to justify 4/6 and 7/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/marin-cilic-v-john-isner/winner

or is it a toss up and Isner is some value?

[JohnCharver]

Isner must hate wimbledon.

70-68 still cant believe it.

[Tonji]

and i saw this

Tony Martin is the rightful favourite, but Tom Dumoulin is the value bet...

 http://btfr.co/TDF-Stage1

i think this was suggested yesterday on here

do we want to be on Dum, or not?

Personally sitting this stage out. I have some doubts after he was beaten in the Dutch TT championships last week and he blamed it on fatigue. Not quite as bullish after hearing some dutch media reports last night.

Sagan available at around 2.00 on betty still if fred wants to get involved, points classification.

[TightEnd]

Sagan available at around 2.00 on betty still if fred wants to get involved, points classification.

Up to you and the team, let me know

Tonji = Time trialler. good all-rounder

cheapwetsuit = climber. often uphill but he'll occasionally win a big mountain stage unexpectedly out of nowhere

nellberg = sprinter. Emerges at the end of stages with a quick burst, then disappears again til the same time the next stage

[Tonji]

Sagan available at around 2.00 on betty still if fred wants to get involved, points classification.

Up to you and the team, let me know

Tonji = Time trialler. good all-rounder

cheapwetsuit = climber. often uphill but he'll occasionally win a big mountain stage unexpectedly out of nowhere

nellberg = sprinter. Emerges at the end of stages with a quick burst, then disappears again til the same time the next stage

yep wheel out a fifty 

[TightEnd]

 Tour De France 2015 Peter Sagan (Points Classification - Race) Odds: 1/1 Stake: 50.00 Possible Return:  100.00

[BigAdz]

Quite like two today as we seem a bit slack in sweats.


First is on the box in 2.35

I have been waiting for Gabriels Kaka to run back at Sandown since he came from nowhere to finish second in this race here last year in similar conditions to today.

He faces a couple of Johnstone horses that I was keen to find reasons to also back, especially Mister Universe, who I had visions of setting a steady pace and then quickening up the home straight. However with Jacob Black and Ifwecan also keen front runners, this should be set up for a closer.

GK is now back off its last winning mark, and has been running like this has been the plan for a while.

He has Pat Dobbs on his back who, I think rides Sandown as well as anyone, and despite a poor draw, it should not affect his hold up tactics.

I note Linfoot has put it up, but Fahey has also played down his chances in his SL column(always a good sign, I've found) stating he wont like conditions, but they are the same as last year. He is also much better off with Ifwecan who he finished one place behind in third in the race last year, who is 10 points shorter in places. His price remains a generous looking 18-1.

Try £15 ew


Later at Beverley, I like the chances of KMac's favourite horse Thatcherite in the 3.00.

He is back off his winning mark at his fav track with a decent draw. He has been running in races not suited to his style of running recently, but a large field with a strong pace, suits his style. Expect him to encounter loads of problems and hopefully find gaps late on the rail.

Try £10 ew at 11-1. GL

[TightEnd]

04/07/2015 11:30AM
Single
Each Way
£ 30.00
2 x £ 15.00
11. Gabrial's Kaka - 2:35 Sandown - Win or Each Way @ 18/1

£10.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
5f Handicap
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3,4    Thatcherite    11/1    
Total stake   £ 20.00
Estimated return   £ 157.50
Full stake   £ 20.00
Full estimated return   £ 157.50

[Peter-27]

Hi all,

Sorry for the late post. Here are my pre-qualifying bet suggestions:

Race Winner: Nico Rosberg at 2/1 with CoralReef. Has looked good all weekend. Had car problems in practice three, and may not get pole as a result. However, even if he doesn't, I still expect him to have the better of Lewis over a race distance. Suggest £10.

To reach Q3: Pastor Maldonado at 6/4 with Fembrokes. This is value, should be EVS. Suggest £12.50 (£10 feels too low, £15 feels too high).

Not to be classified: Jenson Button at 11/10 with BlueSkyBet. Over evens on this is a bit silly, especially on a mechanically tough circuit like Britain. Suggest £10.

[Chompy]

Perez can be backed at 4-1 for Group D. We still like peter?

[TightEnd]

Nico Rosberg2/1Race Winner - 05/07/2015
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£30.00
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Return: £30.


your bets (1)

Single - 2015 British Grand Prix

P Maldonado - |Qualifying| - |To reach Q3|

Odds: 6/4

1 lines at £13.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £13.00

Potential Return:£32.50

Time : 4/7/2015-12:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000942



we can't use skybet, which you know

[Peter-27]

Perez can be backed at 4-1 for Group D. We still like peter?

Yes, I saw this. Bit disappointed I didn't hold off on my suggestion until now.

While I am less confident, I am still confident.

I would say:

Perez 55%
Kvyat 20%
Verstappen 15%
Sainz 10%

[TightEnd]

Perez can be backed at 4-1 for Group D. We still like peter?

Yes, I saw this. Bit disappointed I didn't hold off on my suggestion until now.

While I am less confident, I am still confident.

I would say:

Perez 55%
Kvyat 20%
Verstappen 15%
Sainz 10%

the toro rosso percentages are that low?

look to be tremendously quick in all free practices

[Peter-27]

Perez can be backed at 4-1 for Group D. We still like peter?

Yes, I saw this. Bit disappointed I didn't hold off on my suggestion until now.

While I am less confident, I am still confident.

I would say:

Perez 55%
Kvyat 20%
Verstappen 15%
Sainz 10%

the toro rosso percentages are that low?

look to be tremendously quick in all free practices

Yep, they're quick over one lap, but others were carrying more fuel.

In addition, both Toro Rosso and Red Bull's pace both drop off considerably when on high fuel (a race situation) in comparison to other teams. Furthermore, they both suffer high tyre temperatures on high fuel compared to other teams - on this circuit, that will cause a big issue.

Given how this qualifying is going, that Perez percentage is rising considerably. I think I have a handle on what's going on here Will post after quali.